May 1, 26sim 95
192
24(H)7
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+5ATL
ATL
39-19
83
CIN
29-27
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
29,996 attended
Line movement
200 snapshots
CIN spread
+1.5
open +1.5
Total
O/U 9.5
open O/U 9.5
CIN no-vig %
43.7%
open 43.7%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = CIN favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ATL wins
ATL 8 · CIN 3 (by 5)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ATL +6pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
