Matchup orbital
LAD
LAD
20-12
Sat, 7:15 PM EDT
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
STL
STL
19-13
Place your bet
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Pregame · scouting report
The matchup, end-to-end.
Probable starters, projected lineups, head-to-head this season, our model edge against the market — every angle on one surface.
Away starter
Roki Sasaki
SP · #11
1-2
W-L
6.35
ERA
1.81
WHIP
22
K
22.2
IP
Last 3 starts
Home starter
Michael McGreevy
SP · #36
1-2
W-L
2.97
ERA
0.90
WHIP
21
K
33.1
IP
Last 3 starts
Vegas line
Model edge
Head to head
Place a bet
Take LAD on the model side.
Our model leans this way; both DraftKings and FanDuel are open below.
Model side · moneyline
21+ in most states. Lines refreshed at the moment of fetch. We may earn a referral fee on book signups — your odds and terms are unchanged.
Projected lineups
Top of the order, top of mind.
Posted by ESPN ~30 minutes before first pitch.
LAD
- 1.S. OhtaniDH
- 2.F. Freeman1B
- 3.W. SmithC
- 4.K. TuckerRF
- 5.T. HernandezLF
- 6.M. Muncy3B
- 7.A. PagesCF
- 8.H. KimSS
- 9.A. Freeland2B
STL
- 1.J. Wetherholt2B
- 2.I. HerreraC
- 3.A. Burleson1B
- 4.J. WalkerRF
- 5.N. GormanDH
- 6.M. WinnSS
- 7.N. ChurchLF
- 8.R. Urias3B
- 9.V. Scott IICF
LADLADWin prob axisSTLLAD -136/STL +113Pass · no valueLAD★
Dodgers
20-12
STL
Cardinals
19-13
LAD20-12
LAD
19-13STL
STL
Preview · MLB
os Angeles Dodgers visit St. Louis Cardinals Saturday at 5/2 - 7:15 PM EDT. STL arrives on a 5-game win streak (7-5 in their last 12).
Vegas opened LAD as a 1.5-point favorite with the total at 9.0. STL's moneyline implies a 47% break-even, LAD the inverse. STL is on a back-to-back.
For bettors: the LAD side carries the favorite-tax, the dog gets the points and a plus-money payout. The 9.0 total reads high-scoring vs the league average.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
STL leads series 1-0
LAD2@STL7LAD@STLtodayLAD@STLupcomingSeason series
STL leads series 1-0
LAD2@STL7LAD@STLtodayLAD@STLupcomingSTL@LADupcomingSTL@LADupcomingSTL@LADupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAD -1.5
Total
9.0
High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg
0.5pt· 6.2h
Moneyline
LAD-13658%STL+11347%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 49 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
+1.5 since open
Total
9.0
0.0 since open
Pitching matchup · today
ESPN · season statsLADSPR. Sasaki
#11 · 1-2
ERA
6.35
K
22
SV
—
Last 3 starts
CHC5.0 IP · 4 ER · 5 KW(1-2)
COL4.2 IP · 3 ER · 2 K-
TEX4.0 IP · 2 ER · 6 KL(0-2)STLSPM. McGreevy
#36 · 1-2
ERA
2.97
K
21
SV
—
Last 3 starts
SEA6.0 IP · 1 ER · 6 K-
MIA5.2 IP · 4 ER · 3 KL(1-2)
CLE5.0 IP · 2 ER · 2 K-Starting lineups
ESPN · 1-9 batting orderLAD5L · 3R · 1S- 1L
S. Ohtani
DH
- 2L
F. Freeman
1B
- 3R
W. Smith
C
- 4L
K. Tucker
RF
- 5R
T. Hernandez
LF
- 6L
M. Muncy
3B
- 7R
A. Pages
CF
- 8L
H. Kim
SS
- 9B
A. Freeland
2B
STL5L · 4R- 1L
J. Wetherholt
2B
- 2R
I. Herrera
C
- 3L
A. Burleson
1B
- 4R
J. Walker
RF
- 5L
N. Gorman
DH
- 6R
M. Winn
SS
- 7L
N. Church
LF
- 8R
R. Urias
3B
- 9L
V. Scott II
CF
Scouting report
LAD @ STL
Rest going in
0 days
last game May 1
0 days
last game May 1
Model edge vs market
Lean onlyMarket
LAD -1.5
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Market
9.0
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Market
LAD -136
Model
On the roadmap
Edge
—
Model spread derived from 21-day power-rank delta · not a true point-spread model. Total + ML model wires roadmap. Bet responsibly · 21+
Tale of the tape
20-12
Record
19-13
#2
Conf rank
#6
+1.9
Pt diff
+0.1
L3
Streak
W5
4-6
Last 10
6-4
Bullpen used yesterday
LAD
3.3 bullpen IP · heavy
- J. Dreyer1.1 IP21 P
- E. Henriquez1.0 IP24 P
- K. Hurt1.0 IP12 P
L 7-2 · May 1
STL
3.3 bullpen IP · heavy
- G. Soriano1.1 IP25 P
- G. Graceffo1.0 IP17 P
- M. Svanson1.0 IP16 P
W 7-2 · May 1
Composite signals from ESPN standings + 21-day power rolling. NBA pace / ORtg / DRtg from ESPN core team-stats; NFL yards-per-game from nflverse aggregation. Park factors, weather, KenPom-class metrics still on the roadmap.
Team stats
LAD
Away
Stat
STL
Home
293
Hits
262
12
Errors
17
169
Runs
162
Player box score
LAD
20-12
S. Ohtani★
DH
OPS
0.678
H-AB
30-115
RBI
13
HR
6
F. Freeman★
1B
OPS
0.608
H-AB
32-120
RBI
15
HR
3
W. Smith★
C
OPS
0.641
H-AB
25-92
RBI
15
HR
3
K. Tucker★
RF
OPS
0.551
H-AB
28-118
RBI
16
HR
3
T. Hernández★
LF
OPS
0.594
H-AB
24-101
RBI
17
HR
4
M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.837
H-AB
30-104
RBI
12
HR
9
A. Pages★
CF
OPS
0.767
H-AB
37-116
RBI
25
HR
5
H. Kim★
SS
OPS
0.661
H-AB
17-56
RBI
7
HR
1
A. Freeland★
2B
OPS
0.506
H-AB
18-77
RBI
6
HR
1
H-AB
-----
RBI
--
HR
--
| Player | H-AB | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Ohtani★DH | 30-115 | 13 | 6 | 0.678 |
F. Freeman★1B | 32-120 | 15 | 3 | 0.608 |
W. Smith★C | 25-92 | 15 | 3 | 0.641 |
K. Tucker★RF | 28-118 | 16 | 3 | 0.551 |
T. Hernández★LF | 24-101 | 17 | 4 | 0.594 |
M. Muncy★3B | 30-104 | 12 | 9 | 0.837 |
A. Pages★CF | 37-116 | 25 | 5 | 0.767 |
H. Kim★SS | 17-56 | 7 | 1 | 0.661 |
A. Freeland★2B | 18-77 | 6 | 1 | 0.506 |
| Team | ----- | -- | -- | — |
R. Sasaki★
SP
IP
--.--
H
--
ER
--
K
--
IP
--.--
H
--
ER
--
K
--
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Sasaki★SP | --.-- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | --.-- | -- | -- | -- |
STL
19-13
J. Wetherholt★
2B
OPS
0.664
H-AB
30-122
RBI
16
HR
7
I. Herrera★
C
OPS
0.614
H-AB
29-114
RBI
14
HR
4
A. Burleson★
1B
OPS
0.680
H-AB
34-122
RBI
26
HR
5
J. Walker★
RF
OPS
0.842
H-AB
37-120
RBI
25
HR
9
N. Gorman★
3B
OPS
0.589
H-AB
24-107
RBI
21
HR
5
M. Winn★
SS
OPS
0.559
H-AB
27-102
RBI
13
HR
1
N. Church★
LF
OPS
0.640
H-AB
21-89
RBI
16
HR
5
R. Urias★
3B
OPS
0.453
H-AB
9-53
RBI
5
HR
2
V. Scott II★
CF
OPS
0.378
H-AB
14-82
RBI
5
HR
1
H-AB
-----
RBI
--
HR
--
| Player | H-AB | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wetherholt★2B | 30-122 | 16 | 7 | 0.664 |
I. Herrera★C | 29-114 | 14 | 4 | 0.614 |
A. Burleson★1B | 34-122 | 26 | 5 | 0.680 |
J. Walker★RF | 37-120 | 25 | 9 | 0.842 |
N. Gorman★3B | 24-107 | 21 | 5 | 0.589 |
M. Winn★SS | 27-102 | 13 | 1 | 0.559 |
N. Church★LF | 21-89 | 16 | 5 | 0.640 |
R. Urias★3B | 9-53 | 5 | 2 | 0.453 |
V. Scott II★CF | 14-82 | 5 | 1 | 0.378 |
| Team | ----- | -- | -- | — |
M. McGreevy★
SP
IP
--.--
H
--
ER
--
K
--
IP
--.--
H
--
ER
--
K
--
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. McGreevy★SP | --.-- | -- | -- | -- |
| Team | --.-- | -- | -- | -- |
Betting line
LAD -1.5·O/U 9·LAD -136/STL +113