Matchup orbital
2
LAD
LAD
20-12
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
7
STL
STL
19-13
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
STL wins
LAD 2 · STL 7 (by 5)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked LAD +6pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| STL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
LAD20-12
LAD
19-13STL
STL
Recap · MLB
t. Louis Cardinals held off Los Angeles Dodgers, 7–2.
STL +1.5 cashed (LAD lost outright). Total cleared the 8.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
STL leads series 1-0
LAD2@STL7todayLAD@STLupcomingLAD@STLupcomingSeason series
STL leads series 1-0
LAD2@STL7todayLAD@STLupcomingLAD@STLupcomingSTL@LADupcomingSTL@LADupcomingSTL@LADupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAD -1.5
Total
8.5
Standard · 0.0 vs avg
Moneyline
LAD-17564%STL+14441%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 15 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
8.5
+0.5 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 27pp · Bottom 1st Inning
LAD
F. Freeman
1BBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1 R · 1.000 OPS
E. Sheehan
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 8 K · 4 ER · 8 H
STL
J. Walker
RFBatter of the gamePerfect day
4-for-4 · 2 R · 2.000 OPS
M. Liberatore
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 4 K · 2 ER · 5 H · 2 BB
How it ended
STL beat LAD 7-2. Gorman's play in the bottom 1st inning drove the biggest swing of the night (27pp).
Win probability
STL vs LAD
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactGorman · homered to right (388 feet), Walker scored.
Muncy · doubled to center, Pages scored.
Pages · grounded into double play, pitcher to second to first, T. Hernández out at second.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| STL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | — | 7 |
Period scoring
LAD won 2 · STL won 3
Inn 1
Gorman 3
Inn 2
Muncy 1
Inn 3
Burleson 1
Inn 4
Inn 5
Inn 6
Tucker 1
Inn 7
Walker 2
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T7
Muncy walked.
LAD 2·STL 4
−8pp
- B6
Winn singled to center.
LAD 2·STL 4
+9pp
- T4
Pages grounded into double play, pitcher to second to first, T. Hernández out at second.
LAD 1·STL 4
+10pp
- B3
Burleson homered to right (390 feet).
LAD 1·STL 4
+9pp
- T2
Muncy doubled to center, Pages scored.
LAD 1·STL 3
−10pp
- B1
Gorman homered to right (388 feet), Walker scored.
LAD 0·STL 3
+27pp
Team stats
LAD
Away
Stat
STL
Home
7
Hits
12
2
Errors
0
2
Runs
7
Player box score
LAD
20-12
S. Ohtani★
DH
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
F. Freeman★
1B
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Smith★
C
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
T. Hernández★
LF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
K. Tucker★
RF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
A. Pages★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
M. Muncy★
3B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
M. Rojas★
SS
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Espinal★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H. Kim
SS
OPS
1.000
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
7-32
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S. Ohtani★DH | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
F. Freeman★1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
W. Smith★C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
T. Hernández★LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
K. Tucker★RF | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 |
A. Pages★CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
M. Muncy★3B | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.833 |
M. Rojas★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. Espinal★3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
H. KimSS | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
| Team | 7-32 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
E. Sheehan★
SP
IP
4.2
H
8
ER
4
K
8
J. Dreyer
RP
IP
1.1
H
2
ER
0
K
1
E. Henriquez
RP
IP
1.0
H
2
ER
2
K
0
K. Hurt
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
2
IP
8.0
H
12
ER
6
K
11
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
E. Sheehan★SP | 4.2 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
J. DreyerRP | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
E. HenriquezRP | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
K. HurtRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | 8.0 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
STL
19-13
J. Wetherholt★
2B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-5
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
I. Herrera★
C
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
2
RBI
0
HR
0
A. Burleson★
1B
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
2
RBI
1
HR
1
J. Walker★
RF
OPS
2.000
H-AB
4-4
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
N. Gorman★
3B
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
M. Winn★
SS
OPS
1.333
H-AB
2-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
N. Church★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
P. Pages★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
V. Scott II★
CF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
12-36
R
7
RBI
6
HR
2
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Wetherholt★2B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
I. Herrera★C | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
A. Burleson★1B | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
J. Walker★RF | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.000 |
N. Gorman★3B | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.250 |
M. Winn★SS | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.333 |
N. Church★LF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
P. Pages★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
V. Scott II★CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 12-36 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — |
M. Liberatore★
SP
IP
5.2
H
5
ER
2
K
4
G. Soriano
RP
IP
1.1
H
0
ER
0
K
1
G. Graceffo
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
1
M. Svanson
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
0
IP
9.0
H
7
ER
2
K
6
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Liberatore★SP | 5.2 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
G. SorianoRP | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
G. GraceffoRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
M. SvansonRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 9.0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
Betting line
LAD -1.5·O/U 8.5·LAD -175/STL +144