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Matchup orbital

CHW

0

CHW

CHW

16-17

Mid 2nd

Win prob

39/61

AWAY · HOME

SD

0

SD

SD

19-13

Live · model leanMid 2ndPolls every 30s

54.2%

SD wins · current

Pre-game: 60.6% SD

CHW 0 · 0 SD

Tied

Petco Park · San Diego, California

Probable starters

The mound matchup

A. Kay

1-1 · 6.12 ERA

vs

G. Canning

Line movement

48 snapshots

SD spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 8.0

open O/U 8.0

SD implied %

62.5%

open 64.4% · -1.9

+0.5-2.0SD SPREADO/U 9.0O/U 7.5TOTAL70.0%58.5%SD IMPLIED %MODEL 60.6%May 2, 5 PMMay 3, 4 PM

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SD favored. Pure CLV joins once moneyline closing-line ingest catches up across leagues.

The One modelEdge
Sun, May 3
CHW

CHW

White Sox

16-17

vs61%SD

SD★

Padres

19-13

SD
CHW 39%win prob61% SD
SD 1522 · CHW 1471Box score→

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21+

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

56%Last 7 · 62-49
55%Last 30 · 233-194
Receipts →
← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Sun, May 3Mid 2nd
CHW

CHW16-17

CHW

@

19-13SD

SD

SD
SeriesCHW lead series 2-0/VegasSD -167
Line just movedMoneyline ↗ 19 over 6.1hjust now
● LIVEMiddle 2nd
Updated 0s ago
CHW
CHW16-170
0:00
SD
SD19-130

Tonight's box score

Every player. Every line.

CHW · SD

CHW

CHW

16-17

0
S. Antonacci

S. Antonacci★

LF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Murakami

M. Murakami★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Benintendi

A. Benintendi★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Montgomery

C. Montgomery★

SS

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Meidroth

C. Meidroth★

2B

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Kelenic

J. Kelenic★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Peters

T. Peters★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Acuna

L. Acuna★

CF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

D. Romo

D. Romo★

C

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

1-6

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

PlayerH-ABRRBIHROPS
S. Antonacci
S. Antonacci★LF
0-0000—
M. Murakami
M. Murakami★1B
0-10000.000
A. Benintendi
A. Benintendi★LF
0-10000.000
C. Montgomery
C. Montgomery★SS
0-0000—
C. Meidroth
C. Meidroth★2B
1-10002.000
J. Kelenic
J. Kelenic★RF
0-10000.000
T. Peters
T. Peters★CF
0-10000.000
L. Acuna
L. Acuna★CF
0-0000—
D. Romo
D. Romo★C
0-0000—
Team1-6000—
A. Kay

A. Kay★

SP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

Team total

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

2

PlayerIPHERK
A. Kay
A. Kay★SP
1.0002
Team1.0002
SD

SD

19-13

0
R. Laureano

R. Laureano★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Andujar

M. Andujar★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Merrill

J. Merrill★

CF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Machado

M. Machado★

3B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

X. Bogaerts

X. Bogaerts★

SS

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. France

T. France★

1B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Castellanos

N. Castellanos★

RF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

F. Fermin

F. Fermin★

C

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Cronenworth

J. Cronenworth★

2B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

PlayerH-ABRRBIHROPS
R. Laureano
R. Laureano★LF
0-10000.000
M. Andujar
M. Andujar★3B
0-10000.000
J. Merrill
J. Merrill★CF
0-10000.000
M. Machado
M. Machado★3B
0-0000—
X. Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts★SS
0-0000—
T. France
T. France★1B
0-0000—
N. Castellanos
N. Castellanos★RF
0-0000—
F. Fermin
F. Fermin★C
0-0000—
J. Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth★2B
0-0000—
Team0-3000—
G. Canning

G. Canning★

SP

IP

2.0

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

1.2

H

1

ER

0

K

1

PlayerIPHERK
G. Canning
G. Canning★SP
2.0101
Team1.2101

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

1

Hits

0

0

Runs

0

0

Errors

0

Current series

CHW lead series 2-0

May 2CHWCHW8@SDSD2
May 3CHWCHW4@SDSD0
May 3CHWCHW@SDSDtoday

Season series

CHW lead series 2-0

May 2CHWCHW8@SDSD2
May 3CHWCHW4@SDSD0
May 3CHWCHW@SDSDtoday

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SD -1.5

Total

8.0

Defensive · -0.5 vs avg

↘0.5pt· 6.1h

Moneyline

CHWCHW+13842%
SDSD-16763%

↗19· 6.1h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet SD -1.5↗SpreadBet SD -1.5↗

Line movement · 48 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

8.0

0.0 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
CHWCHWSP
A. Kay

A. Kay

#18 · 1-1

ERA

6.12

K

15

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/27vsLAALAA4.0 IP · 4 ER · 2 K-
4/23@ARIARI3.2 IP · 8 ER · 1 KL(1-1)
4/16vsTBTB2.2 IP · 1 ER · 1 K-
VS
SDSDSP
G. Canning

G. Canning

#17 · —

ERA

—

K

—

SV

—

Last 3 starts

6/26vsATLATL2.2 IP · 0 ER · 3 K-
6/21@PHIPHI5.0 IP · 3 ER · 4 KW(7-3)
6/15vsTBTB4.1 IP · 6 ER · 2 KL(6-3)

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
CHWCHW6L · 2R · 1S
  1. 1

    S. Antonacci

    LF · #17

    L
  2. 2

    M. Murakami

    1B · #5

    L
  3. 3

    A. Benintendi

    DH · #23

    L
  4. 4

    C. Montgomery

    3B · #12

    L
  5. 5

    C. Meidroth

    2B · #10

    R
  6. 6

    J. Kelenic

    RF · #24

    L
  7. 7

    T. Peters

    CF · #29

    L
  8. 8

    L. Acuna

    SS · #0

    R
  9. 9

    D. Romo

    C · #36

    B
SDSD2L · 7R
  1. 1

    R. Laureano

    LF · #5

    R
  2. 2

    M. Andujar

    DH · #41

    R
  3. 3

    J. Merrill

    CF · #3

    L
  4. 4

    M. Machado

    3B · #13

    R
  5. 5

    X. Bogaerts

    SS · #2

    R
  6. 6

    T. France

    1B · #25

    R
  7. 7

    N. Castellanos

    RF · #21

    R
  8. 8

    F. Fermin

    C · #54

    R
  9. 9

    J. Cronenworth

    2B · #9

    L

Live · top performers so far

Mid 2nd
Game flowCHW ↔ SD
Just happened

Pitch · 2 : Ball 1

CHWCHW
C. Meidroth

C. Meidroth

2B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

A. Kay

A. Kay

SP

Starting pitcher

1.0 IP · 2 K · 0 ER

SDSD
R. Laureano

R. Laureano

LF

Batter of the game

0-for-1 · 0.000 OPS

G. Canning

G. Canning

SP

Starting pitcher

2.0 IP · 1 K · 0 ER · 1 H · 2 BB

On pace: 7 IP · 4 K · 0 ER

Win probability

SD vs CHW

0255075100I2

Linescore (innings)

Team12R
CHW000
SD0—0

Game flow · key plays

  1. T2

    Kelenic grounded out to shortstop.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    +2pp

  2. B1

    Andujar grounded out to shortstop.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    −2pp

  3. B1

    Laureano struck out swinging.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    +2pp

  4. T1

    Montgomery walked, Antonacci to second.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    −2pp

  5. T1

    Benintendi struck out swinging.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    +3pp

  6. T1

    Murakami flied out to left.

    CHW 0·SD 0

    +3pp

Team stats

CHW

Away

Stat

SD

Home

1

Hits

0

0

Errors

0

0

Runs

0

Betting line

SD -1.5·O/U 8·CHW +138/SD -167

DraftKings · via ESPN