Apr 18, 26sim 99
247
18(H)5
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+2BAL
BAL
11-12
75
KC
7-16
Kauffman Stadium · Kansas City, Missouri
13,589 attended
Line movement
28 snapshots
KC spread
+1.5
open +1.5
Total
O/U 9.0
open O/U 9.0
KC no-vig %
48.9%
open 48.9%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = KC favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
BAL wins
BAL 7 · KC 5 (by 2)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked KC +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 |
| KC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Final play
“End of the 12th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
