Matchup orbital

STL

7

STL

STL

13-8

Final

Win prob

49/51

AWAY · HOME

HOU

5

HOU

HOU

8-15

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

STL wins

STL 7 · HOU 5 (by 2)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked HOU +1pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team12345678910R
STL00004000037
HOU00100003015

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Sun, Apr 19Final
STL

STL13-8

STL

@

8-15HOU

HOU

HOU
SeriesSTL wins series 3-0VegasHOU -154

Recap · MLB

t. Louis Cardinals went into Houston Astros and beat them, 7–5.

STL +1.5 cashed (HOU lost outright). Total cleared the 9.0 OVER by 3.0.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal/10
STL
STLWIN13-87
FINAL
HOU
HOU8-155

Current series

STL wins series 3-0

Apr 18STLSTL9@HOUHOU4
Apr 18STLSTL7@HOUHOU5
Apr 19STLSTL7@HOUHOU5today

Season series

STL wins series 3-0

Apr 18STLSTL9@HOUHOU4
Apr 18STLSTL7@HOUHOU5
Apr 19STLSTL7@HOUHOU5today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

HOU -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+12844%
HOUHOU-15461%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet HOU -1.5↗SpreadBet HOU -1.5↗

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.0

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSTL ↔ HOU

Biggest swing: 41pp · Bottom 8th Inning

STLSTL
M. Winn

M. Winn

SS

Batter of the game

3-for-5 · 1 R · 1.200 OPS

M. Liberatore

M. Liberatore

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

6.0 IP · 4 K · 1 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

HOUHOU
J. Altuve

J. Altuve

2B

Batter of the game

3-for-5 · 1 R · 1.200 OPS

M. Burrows

M. Burrows

SP

Starting pitcher

4.2 IP · 7 K · 4 ER · 3 H · 2 BB

How it ended

STL beat HOU 7-5. Paredes's play in the bottom 8th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (41pp).

Win probability

HOU vs STL

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9I10

Score progression

0 lead changes

STL7
HOU5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
STLTop 5th Inning · 3-1
+23pp→ 73% WP

Wetherholt · singled to right, Church scored and Pagés scored, Scott II to third.

HOUBottom 8th Inning · 4-4
+41pp→ 58% WP

Paredes · singled to right, Altuve scored and Walker scored.

STLTop 10th Inning · 7-4
+39pp→ 93% WP

Winn · doubled to left, Herrera scored, Urías scored and Walker scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team12345678910R
STL00004000037
HOU00100003015

Period scoring

STL won 2 · HOU won 2

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
1

Inn 3

Correa 1

0
0

Inn 4

4
0

Inn 5

Wetherholt 2

0
0

Inn 6

0
0

Inn 7

0
3

Inn 8

Paredes 2

0
0

Inn 9

3
1

Inn 10

Winn 3

Altuve 1

STL
HOU

Game flow · key plays

  1. B10

    Trammell reached on infield single to second, Harris to third.

    STL 7·HOU 4

    +14pp

  2. T10

    Winn doubled to left, Herrera scored, Urías scored and Walker scored.

    STL 7·HOU 4

    −39pp

  3. T9

    Fermín doubled to center.

    STL 4·HOU 4

    −21pp

  4. B8

    Paredes singled to right, Altuve scored and Walker scored.

    STL 4·HOU 4

    +41pp

  5. T5

    Wetherholt singled to right, Church scored and Pagés scored, Scott II to third.

    STL 3·HOU 1

    −23pp

  6. T5

    Scott II walked, Winn scored, Pagés to second, Church to third.

    STL 1·HOU 1

    −16pp

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

HOU

Home

8

Hits

8

1

Errors

1

7

Runs

5

Player box score

STL

STL

13-8

7
J. Wetherholt

J. Wetherholt★

2B

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

2

HR

0

I. Herrera

I. Herrera★

C

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

A. Burleson

A. Burleson★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Walker

J. Walker★

RF

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Gorman

N. Gorman★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Winn

M. Winn★

SS

OPS

1.200

H-AB

3-5

R

1

RBI

3

HR

0

N. Church

N. Church★

LF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

P. Pages

P. Pages★

C

OPS

0.650

H-AB

1-4

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Scott II

V. Scott II★

CF

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Fermin

J. Fermin

LF

OPS

1.000

H-AB

1-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Y. Pozo

Y. Pozo

C

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

8-39

R

7

RBI

7

HR

0

M. Liberatore

M. Liberatore★

SP

IP

6.0

H

3

ER

1

K

4

R. Stanek

R. Stanek

RP

IP

1.0

H

0

ER

0

K

0

J. Romero

J. Romero

RP

IP

0.2

H

2

ER

3

K

0

R. O'Brien

R. O'Brien

RP

IP

1.1

H

1

ER

0

K

2

J. Bruihl

J. Bruihl

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

G. Graceffo

G. Graceffo

RP

IP

0.1

H

1

ER

0

K

0

Team total

IP

10.0

H

8

ER

4

K

6

Betting line

HOU -1.5·O/U 9·STL +128/HOU -154

DraftKings · via ESPN