Apr 17, 26sim 99
159
22(H)0
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+3ARI
TOR
7-12
36
ARI
12-8
Chase Field · Phoenix, Arizona
32,747 attended
Line movement
12 snapshots
ARI spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 8.5
open O/U 8.5
ARI no-vig %
56.3%
open 56.3%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = ARI favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
ARI wins
TOR 3 · ARI 6 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked ARI +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
