Matchup orbital

ATH

4

ATH

ATH

13-12

Final

Win prob

47/53

AWAY · HOME

SEA

5

SEA

SEA

11-15

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

SEA wins

ATH 4 · SEA 5 (by 1)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked SEA +3pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
ATH2010000014
SEA1010011015

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

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MLBGame · Wed, Apr 22Final
ATH

ATH13-12

ATH

@

11-15SEA

SEA

SEA
SeriesATH wins series 2-1VegasSEA -192

Recap · MLB

eattle Mariners held off Athletics, 5–4. It came down to the final possession.

ATH +1.5 cashed (SEA won by 1). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

FINALFinal
ATH
ATH13-124
FINAL
SEA
SEAWIN11-155

Current series

ATH wins series 2-1

Apr 21ATHATH6@SEASEA4
Apr 22ATHATH5@SEASEA2
Apr 22ATHATH4@SEASEA5today

Season series

ATH leads series 2-1

Apr 21ATHATH6@SEASEA4
Apr 22ATHATH5@SEASEA2
Apr 22ATHATH4@SEASEA5today
May 26SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming
May 27SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming
May 27SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming
Sep 4ATHATH@SEASEAupcoming
Sep 5ATHATH@SEASEAupcoming
Sep 6ATHATH@SEASEAupcoming
Sep 6ATHATH@SEASEAupcoming
Sep 12SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming
Sep 13SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming
Sep 13SEASEA@ATHATHupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

SEA -1.5

Total

7.5

Defensive · -1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

ATHATH+15739%
SEASEA-19266%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 2 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

7.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowATH SEA

Biggest swing: 38pp · Bottom 9th Inning

ATHATH
N. Kurtz

N. Kurtz

1B

Batter of the game

2-for-4 · 1 HR · 1.850 OPS

A. Civale

A. Civale

SP

Starting pitcher

5.1 IP · 5 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 1 BB

SEASEA
C. Raleigh

C. Raleigh

C

Batter of the game

3-for-5 · 1 HR · 1.800 OPS

L. Gilbert

L. Gilbert

SP

Starting pitcher

4.0 IP · 3 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 2 BB

How it ended

SEA beat ATH 5-4. Naylor's play in the bottom 9th inning drove the biggest swing of the night (38pp).

Win probability

SEA vs ATH

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Score progression

0 lead changes

ATH4
SEA5

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
ATHTop 9th Inning · 4-4
+37pp44% WP

Kurtz · homered to center (438 feet).

ATHBottom 9th Inning · 4-4
+18pp47% WP

Crawford · grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Rivas out at second.

SEABottom 9th Inning · 4-5
+38pp100% WP

Naylor · singled to left, Raleigh scored, Rodríguez to second.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
ATH2010000014
SEA1010011015

Period scoring

ATH won 1 · SEA won 2

2
1

Inn 1

Soderstrom 1

Arozarena 1

0
0

Inn 2

1
1

Inn 3

Wilson 1

Raleigh 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
0

Inn 5

0
1

Inn 6

Refsnyder 1

0
1

Inn 7

Rodr 1

0
0

Inn 8

1
1

Inn 9

Kurtz 1

Naylor 1

ATH
SEA

Game flow · key plays

  1. B9

    Naylor singled to left, Raleigh scored, Rodríguez to second.

    ATH 4·SEA 5

    +38pp

  2. B9

    Crawford grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Rivas out at second.

    ATH 4·SEA 4

    18pp

  3. T9

    Kurtz homered to center (438 feet).

    ATH 4·SEA 4

    37pp

  4. B6

    Garver doubled to center, Naylor to third.

    ATH 3·SEA 2

    +15pp

  5. B3

    Raleigh homered to right (405 feet).

    ATH 3·SEA 2

    +13pp

  6. T3

    Wilson doubled to left, Cortes scored.

    ATH 3·SEA 1

    13pp

Team stats

ATH

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

9

Hits

14

0

Errors

2

4

Runs

5

Player box score

ATH

ATH

13-12

4
N. Kurtz

N. Kurtz

1B

OPS

1.850

H-AB

2-4

R

2

RBI

1

HR

1

S. Langeliers

S. Langeliers

C

OPS

0.400

H-AB

1-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Cortes

C. Cortes

RF

OPS

0.800

H-AB

2-5

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Soderstrom

T. Soderstrom

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Wilson

J. Wilson

SS

OPS

1.000

H-AB

2-4

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. McNeil

J. McNeil

2B

OPS

0.667

H-AB

1-3

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

M. Muncy

M. Muncy

3B

OPS

0.333

H-AB

0-2

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Butler

L. Butler

RF

OPS

0.250

H-AB

0-3

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

A. Wynns

A. Wynns

C

OPS

0.500

H-AB

1-4

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

9-33

R

4

RBI

4

HR

1

A. Civale

A. Civale

SP

IP

5.1

H

6

ER

3

K

5

B. Basso

RP

IP

0.2

H

1

ER

0

K

0

M. Leiter Jr.

M. Leiter Jr.

RP

IP

1.0

H

2

ER

1

K

1

J. Sterner

J. Sterner

RP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

0

K

2

J. Kuhnel

J. Kuhnel

RP

IP

0.2

H

4

ER

1

K

0

Team total

IP

8.2

H

14

ER

5

K

8

Betting line

SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·ATH +157/SEA -192

DraftKings · via ESPN