Matchup orbital
2
TEX
TEX
11-11
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
5
SEA
SEA
10-13
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
SEA wins
TEX 2 · SEA 5 (by 3)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked SEA +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
TEX11-11
TEX
10-13SEA
SEA
Recap · MLB
eattle Mariners held off Texas Rangers, 5–2.
SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 7.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
SEA wins series 2-1
TEX5@SEA0TEX3@SEA7TEX2@SEA5todaySeason series
TEX leads series 4-2
SEA1@TEX2SEA2@TEX3SEA0@TEX3TEX5@SEA0TEX3@SEA7TEX2@SEA5todaySEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
TEX+11946%SEA-14359%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 16pp · Bottom 1st Inning
TEX
B. Nimmo
RFBatter of the game
2-for-4 · 1.000 OPS
M. Gore
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 5 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
SEA
J.P. Crawford
SSBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS
B. Woo
SPStarting pitcher
7.0 IP · 6 K · 2 ER · 4 H · 1 BB
How it ended
SEA beat TEX 5-2.
Win probability
SEA vs TEX
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactRefsnyder · homered to left (385 feet).
Crawford · homered to right (369 feet), Garver scored.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| SEA | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 |
Period scoring
TEX won 1 · SEA won 3
Inn 1
Refsnyder 1
Inn 2
Crawford 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Arozarena 2
Inn 6
Inn 7
Jung 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Game flow · key plays
- T9
Burger struck out, Burger to first on wild pitch by Muñoz.
TEX 2·SEA 5
−4pp
- T7
Smith grounded out to second.
TEX 2·SEA 5
+5pp
- T7
Carter doubled to right, Langford scored, Pederson to third.
TEX 2·SEA 5
−5pp
- B5
Arozarena homered to left (347 feet), Rodríguez scored.
TEX 0·SEA 5
+6pp
- B2
Crawford homered to right (369 feet), Garver scored.
TEX 0·SEA 3
+13pp
- B1
Refsnyder homered to left (385 feet).
TEX 0·SEA 1
+16pp
Team stats
TEX
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
5
Hits
8
0
Errors
0
2
Runs
5
Player box score
TEX
11-11
B. Nimmo★
RF
OPS
1.000
H-AB
2-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Seager★
SS
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Langford★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Burger★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Pederson★
1B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Jung★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
E. Carter★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Smith★
2B
OPS
0.667
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
D. Jansen★
C
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
S. Haggerty
LF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
5-31
R
2
RBI
2
HR
0
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Nimmo★RF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 |
C. Seager★SS | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
W. Langford★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Burger★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Pederson★1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
J. Jung★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
E. Carter★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Smith★2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.667 |
D. Jansen★C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
S. HaggertyLF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 5-31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | — |
M. Gore★
SP
IP
5.0
H
7
ER
5
K
5
T. Alexander
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
1
J. Beeks
RP
IP
0.2
H
1
ER
0
K
1
G. Collyer
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0
J. Junis
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
IP
8.0
H
8
ER
5
K
7
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Gore★SP | 5.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
T. AlexanderRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
J. BeeksRP | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
G. CollyerRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J. JunisRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | 8.0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
SEA
10-13
R. Refsnyder★
RF
OPS
1.250
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
1.750
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
M. Garver★
C
OPS
0.250
H-AB
0-3
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Joe★
1B
OPS
0.833
H-AB
1-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
1
RBI
2
HR
1
C. Young★
2B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Raley
RF
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-1
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
8-32
R
5
RBI
5
HR
3
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Refsnyder★RF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.250 |
C. Raleigh★C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Rodriguez★CF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
R. Arozarena★LF | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.750 |
M. Garver★C | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
C. Joe★1B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.833 |
J.P. Crawford★SS | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.833 |
C. Young★2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
L. RaleyRF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 8-32 | 5 | 5 | 3 | — |
B. Woo★
SP
IP
7.0
H
4
ER
2
K
6
G. Speier
RP
IP
1.0
H
1
ER
0
K
2
A. Munoz
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
3
IP
9.0
H
5
ER
2
K
11
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Woo★SP | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
G. SpeierRP | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
A. MunozRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Team | 9.0 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·TEX +119/SEA -143