Matchup orbital
3
TEX
TEX
11-10
Final
Win prob
AWAY · HOME
7
SEA
SEA
9-13
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
SEA wins
TEX 3 · SEA 7 (by 4)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked SEA +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
TEX11-10
TEX
9-13SEA
SEA
Recap · MLB
eattle Mariners held off Texas Rangers, 7–3.
SEA -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
Current series
SEA wins series 2-1
TEX5@SEA0TEX3@SEA7todayTEX2@SEA5Season series
TEX leads series 4-1
SEA1@TEX2SEA2@TEX3SEA0@TEX3TEX5@SEA0TEX3@SEA7todayTEX2@SEA5SEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingSEA@TEXupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingTEX@SEAupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SEA -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
TEX+11946%SEA-14359%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 3 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 10pp · Top 4th Inning
TEX
J. Smith
2BBatter of the gamePerfect day
1-for-1 · 1 R · 2.000 OPS
N. Eovaldi
SPStarting pitcher
5.0 IP · 3 K · 2 ER · 8 H · 1 BB
SEA
L. Raley
RFBatter of the game
1-for-3 · 1 HR · 1.833 OPS
G. Kirby
SPStarting pitcher
5.2 IP · 5 K · 1 ER · 7 H · 2 BB
How it ended
SEA beat TEX 7-3.
Win probability
SEA vs TEX
Score progression
0 lead changes
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDuran · flied out to center.
Canzone · singled to center, Arozarena scored and Raley scored.
Raleigh · walked.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | 7 |
Period scoring
TEX won 0 · SEA won 3
Inn 1
Rodr 1
Inn 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Canzone 2
Inn 5
Inn 6
Jung 1
Raley 1
Inn 7
Inn 8
Young 2
Inn 9
Carter 1
Game flow · key plays
- B7
Raleigh walked.
TEX 1·SEA 4
+8pp
- B6
Raley homered to right (381 feet).
TEX 1·SEA 4
+8pp
- B4
Canzone singled to center, Arozarena scored and Raley scored.
TEX 0·SEA 3
+10pp
- T4
Higashioka flied out to center.
TEX 0·SEA 1
+7pp
- T4
Duran flied out to center.
TEX 0·SEA 1
+10pp
- T4
Carter walked, Jung to second, Pederson to third.
TEX 0·SEA 1
−8pp
Team stats
TEX
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
11
Hits
11
2
Errors
0
3
Runs
7
Player box score
TEX
11-10
B. Nimmo★
RF
OPS
0.333
H-AB
1-6
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Seager★
SS
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
W. Langford★
LF
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Burger★
1B
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Pederson★
1B
OPS
1.167
H-AB
1-2
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Jung★
3B
OPS
1.850
H-AB
2-4
R
1
RBI
1
HR
1
E. Carter★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
0-2
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
E. Duran★
LF
OPS
1.200
H-AB
3-5
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
K. Higashioka★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Smith
2B
OPS
2.000
H-AB
1-1
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
H-AB
11-37
R
3
RBI
3
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B. Nimmo★RF | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
C. Seager★SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
W. Langford★LF | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.200 |
J. Burger★1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Pederson★1B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.167 |
J. Jung★3B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.850 |
E. Carter★CF | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
E. Duran★LF | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.200 |
K. Higashioka★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Smith2B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.000 |
| Team | 11-37 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — |
N. Eovaldi★
SP
IP
5.0
H
8
ER
2
K
3
C. Quantrill
RP
IP
3.0
H
3
ER
3
K
5
IP
8.0
H
11
ER
5
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
N. Eovaldi★SP | 5.0 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
C. QuantrillRP | 3.0 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Team | 8.0 | 11 | 5 | 8 |
SEA
9-13
J.P. Crawford★
SS
OPS
0.800
H-AB
2-5
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
C. Raleigh★
C
OPS
0.200
H-AB
0-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
J. Rodriguez★
CF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
J. Naylor★
1B
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
0
RBI
0
HR
0
R. Arozarena★
LF
OPS
0.500
H-AB
1-4
R
1
RBI
0
HR
0
L. Raley★
RF
OPS
1.833
H-AB
1-3
R
3
RBI
1
HR
1
D. Canzone★
RF
OPS
1.500
H-AB
3-4
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0
C. Young★
2B
OPS
1.417
H-AB
2-3
R
1
RBI
2
HR
0
L. Rivas★
3B
OPS
0.000
H-AB
0-3
R
0
RBI
1
HR
0
H-AB
11-34
R
7
RBI
7
HR
1
| Player | H-AB | R | RBI | HR | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.P. Crawford★SS | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.800 |
C. Raleigh★C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.200 |
J. Rodriguez★CF | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
J. Naylor★1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
R. Arozarena★LF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
L. Raley★RF | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.833 |
D. Canzone★RF | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.500 |
C. Young★2B | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.417 |
L. Rivas★3B | 0-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Team | 11-34 | 7 | 7 | 1 | — |
G. Kirby★
SP
IP
5.2
H
7
ER
1
K
5
M. Brash
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
0
G. Speier
RP
IP
0.2
H
0
ER
0
K
1
E. Bazardo
RP
IP
1.0
H
0
ER
0
K
0
J. Ferrer
RP
IP
0.1
H
1
ER
0
K
0
C. Wilcox
RP
IP
0.2
H
3
ER
2
K
1
A. Munoz
RP
IP
0.1
H
0
ER
0
K
1
IP
9.0
H
11
ER
3
K
8
| Player | IP | H | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|
G. Kirby★SP | 5.2 | 7 | 1 | 5 |
M. BrashRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
G. SpeierRP | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
E. BazardoRP | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J. FerrerRP | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
C. WilcoxRP | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
A. MunozRP | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Team | 9.0 | 11 | 3 | 8 |
Betting line
SEA -1.5·O/U 7.5·TEX +119/SEA -143