HomeScoresLiveTonight's picksPlay
LAST NIGHT · MLBW. Castro (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 7 RBI in a win over ATH — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 5 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATH — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Rancho Cucamonga (CAL) (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Webb (SF): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over CHC
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Meyer (MIA): 6.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER in a win over PIT
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Agreed to terms with 2B Luke Ritter on a minor league contract (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Gray (ATL): 26 PTS · 3 REB · 7 AST in a win over TOR
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Reese (ATL): 15 PTS · 17 REB · 1 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBRangers: Placed CF Michael Helman on the 10-day IL (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · NHLB. Bussi (CAR): 22 SV in a win over VGK
TRANSACTION · WNBAWings: Signed G Sug Sutton to a rest-of-season contract (Jun 14)
TRANSACTION · NHLBruins: Signed F Attilio Biasca to a two-year contract (Jun 14)
TRANSACTION · NFLBills: Signed T/G Jude Bowry to a four-year contract (Jun 14)
TONIGHT · WNBAPOR @ MIN, 6/15 - 8:00 PM EDT — MIN -13.5
LAST NIGHT · MLBW. Castro (COL): 4 H · 2 HR · 7 RBI in a win over ATH — Standout Index 96
LAST NIGHT · MLBH. Goodman (COL): 5 H · 2 HR · 4 RBI in a win over ATH — Standout Index 95
TRANSACTION · MLBAngels: Sent 2B Vaughn Grissom on a rehab assignment to Rancho Cucamonga (CAL) (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · MLBL. Webb (SF): 8.0 IP · 7 K in a win over CHC
LAST NIGHT · MLBM. Meyer (MIA): 6.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER in a win over PIT
TRANSACTION · MLBPhillies: Agreed to terms with 2B Luke Ritter on a minor league contract (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Gray (ATL): 26 PTS · 3 REB · 7 AST in a win over TOR
LAST NIGHT · WNBAA. Reese (ATL): 15 PTS · 17 REB · 1 AST in a win over TOR
TRANSACTION · MLBRangers: Placed CF Michael Helman on the 10-day IL (Jun 14)
LAST NIGHT · NHLB. Bussi (CAR): 22 SV in a win over VGK
TRANSACTION · WNBAWings: Signed G Sug Sutton to a rest-of-season contract (Jun 14)
TRANSACTION · NHLBruins: Signed F Attilio Biasca to a two-year contract (Jun 14)
TRANSACTION · NFLBills: Signed T/G Jude Bowry to a four-year contract (Jun 14)
TONIGHT · WNBAPOR @ MIN, 6/15 - 8:00 PM EDT — MIN -13.5
Free during beta —Free during beta — to track favorite players + get game alertsto track favorites + alerts
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THE ONE Analytics
Beta
MLB logoMLBHubScoresOddsPicksEdgesStandingsTrendsTeamsPlayersLeadersMethodologyGlossaryRoadmapAbout
FINAL+6LAA
LAA

LAA

9-9

7
1
NYY

NYY

9-8

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York
37,792 attended

Line movement

20 snapshots

NYY spread

-1.5

open -1.5

Total

O/U 9.5

open O/U 9.5

NYY no-vig %

60.8%

open 60.8%

-1.0-2.0NYY SPREADO/U 10.0O/U 9.0TOTAL64.8%56.8%NYY NO-VIG %May 4, 10 AMJun 15, 4 AM

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

LAA

LAA

league avg

NYY

NYY

.708

OPS

.717

▶

.763

.319

OBP

.319

▶

.330

4.49

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.11

4.62

Team ERA

4.18

▶

3.32

1.43

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.19

9.0

K / 9

◀

8.5

8.7

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

LAA 7 · NYY 1 (by 6)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked NYY +16pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
LAA3001020107
NYY0000000101

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

↳ Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

60%Last 7 · 62-41
61%Last 30 · 300-195
Receipts →

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-175

Close price

-175

Open no-vig

60.8%

Close no-vig

60.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

MLB·Tue, Apr 14·Final/Seriestied 2-2/VegasNYY -175

Recap · MLB

Los Angeles Angels went into New York Yankees and beat them, 7–1. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

LAA +1.5 cashed (NYY lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 9.5 by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1R. WeathersNYY−31.1pp
  2. 2R. DetmersLAA+20.0pp
  3. 3J. SolerLAA+15.3pp

LAA · top performer

LAA
Oswald Peraza

Oswald Peraza

2B

3.000OPS

3-3

AB-H

1

R

1

RBI

NYY · top performer

NYY
Ryan McMahon

Ryan McMahon

3B

1.000OPS

2-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

MLB · Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
Z. NetoSS
.2335000004
M. TroutCF
.2225111102
J. AdellRF
.3155121101
J. SolerDH
.2313211121
V. Grissom2B
.3003120021
L. O'HoppeC
.2164000010
Y. Moncada3B
.1844123102
O. Peraza2B
.2673131110
B. TeodosioLF
.1184010001
- A. Frazier2B
.3161000000
Team3771275612

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
R. DetmersSP
7.04110999
C. SilsethRP
1.00000118
R. ZeferjahnRP
1.01000227
Team9.0511012144

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
P. Goldschmidt1B
.2003000001
A. JudgeRF
.2344010002
A. Rosario3B
.3004010000
G. StantonDH
.2934000003
T. GrishamCF
.1544000003
R. GrichukRF
.0633110001
A. WellsC
.1783010000
J. CaballeroSS
.1793000001
R. McMahon3B
.1282010000
- J. Chisholm Jr.2B
.1771000001
- B. Rice1B
.3620001000
Team311510012

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
R. WeathersSP
5.055521094
P. BlackburnRP
1.03111125
Y. De los SantosRP
2.03112144
B. HeadrickRP
1.01001017
Team9.01277612180

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

LAA

  • R. Detmers
    99 pitches·33% CSW
    • FF
      44%·94.4 mph·5% whiff
    • SL
      29%·86.5 mph·33% whiff
    • CH
      16%·84.7 mph·42% whiff
    • CU
      9%·72.2 mph·100% whiff
    • SI
      1%·94.1 mph·— whiff
  • R. Zeferjahn
    27 pitches·30% CSW
    • FF
      37%·97.5 mph·50% whiff
    • ST
      30%·85.0 mph·25% whiff
    • SI
      19%·96.9 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      11%·87.5 mph·33% whiff
    • UN
      4%·54.8 mph·— whiff
  • C. Silseth
    18 pitches·28% CSW
    • FS
      44%·87.3 mph·80% whiff
    • FF
      39%·96.1 mph·0% whiff
    • SI
      11%·95.8 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      6%·85.7 mph·— whiff

NYY

  • R. Weathers
    94 pitches·33% CSW
    • FF
      32%·95.5 mph·0% whiff
    • CH
      27%·85.0 mph·33% whiff
    • SL
      22%·88.1 mph·42% whiff
    • ST
      19%·81.7 mph·50% whiff
  • Y. De los Santos
    44 pitches·25% CSW
    • SI
      77%·96.2 mph·0% whiff
    • CH
      14%·88.2 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      9%·85.8 mph·0% whiff
  • P. Blackburn
    25 pitches·20% CSW
    • SI
      52%·94.7 mph·0% whiff
    • FC
      28%·92.1 mph·0% whiff
    • CU
      8%·80.5 mph·0% whiff
    • ST
      8%·84.1 mph·100% whiff
    • CH
      4%·87.5 mph·0% whiff
  • B. Headrick
    17 pitches·24% CSW
    • FF
      71%·93.9 mph·0% whiff
    • SL
      18%·84.7 mph·50% whiff
    • SI
      12%·93.7 mph·50% whiff

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

12

Hits

5

7

Runs

1

0

Errors

0

Current series

Series tied 2-2

Apr 13LAALAA10@NYYNYY11
Apr 14LAALAA7@NYYNYY1today
Apr 15LAALAA4@NYYNYY5
Apr 16LAALAA11@NYYNYY4

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Apr 13LAALAA10@NYYNYY11
Apr 14LAALAA7@NYYNYY1today
Apr 15LAALAA4@NYYNYY5
Apr 16LAALAA11@NYYNYY4
Sep 1NYYNYY@LAALAAupcoming
Sep 2NYYNYY@LAALAAupcoming
Sep 3NYYNYY@LAALAAupcoming

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYY -1.5

Total

9.5

High-scoring · +1.0 vs avg

Moneyline

LAALAA+14441%
NYYNYY-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗SpreadBet NYY -1.5↗

Line movement · 20 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

9.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

Game flowLAA ↔ NYY

Biggest swing: 10pp · Top 1st Inning

LAALAA
O. Peraza

O. Peraza

2B

Batter of the gamePerfect day

3-for-3 · 1 HR · 3.000 OPS

R. Detmers

R. Detmers

SP

Starting pitcherQuality start

7.0 IP · 9 K · 1 ER · 4 H

NYYNYY
R. McMahon

R. McMahon

3B

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1.000 OPS

R. Weathers

R. Weathers

SP

Starting pitcher10-K game

5.0 IP · 10 K · 5 ER · 5 H · 2 BB

How it ended

LAA beat NYY 7-1.

Last play

End of the 9th inning

Win probability

NYY vs LAA

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
LAATop 1st Inning · 1-0
+10pp→ 52% WP

Trout · homered to center (432 feet).

LAATop 4th Inning · 4-0
+9pp→ 84% WP

Peraza · homered to left (396 feet).

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
LAA3001020107
NYY0000000101

Period scoring

LAA won 3 · NYY won 0

3
0

Inn 1

Trout 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
0

Inn 3

1
0

Inn 4

Peraza 1

0
0

Inn 5

2
0

Inn 6

Moncada 2

0
0

Inn 7

1
1

Inn 8

Moncada 1

Rice 1

0
0

Inn 9

LAA
NYY

Play-by-play · 599 plays

period
event
player
  1. End 9t

    End of the 9th inning

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  2. B9

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  3. B9

    Grisham struck out swinging.

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  4. B9

    Pitch 6 : Strike 3 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  5. B9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  6. B9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 3

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  7. B9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  8. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  9. B9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  10. B9

    Ryan Zeferjahn pitches to Trent Grisham

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  11. B9

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  12. B9

    Stanton struck out swinging.

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  13. B9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 3 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  14. B9

    Pitch 4 : Strike 2 Looking

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  15. B9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Swinging

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  16. B9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 2

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  17. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  18. B9

    Ryan Zeferjahn pitches to Giancarlo Stanton

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  19. B9

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  20. B9

    Rosario grounded out to shortstop.

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

    −0.5pp

  21. B9

    Pitch 4 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  22. B9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  23. B9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Foul

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  24. B9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  25. B9

    Ryan Zeferjahn pitches to Amed Rosario

    · ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  26. B9

    ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  27. B9

    Judge doubled to left.

    ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

    +0.5pp

  28. B9

    Pitch 12 : Ball In Play

    ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  29. B9

    Pitch 11 : Strike 2 Foul

    ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

  30. B9

    Pitch 10 : Strike 2 Foul

    ·

    LAA 7·NYY 1

Team stats

LAA

Away

Stat

NYY

Home

7

Runs

1

12

Hits

5

0

Errors

0

27

TB

7

5

HR

0

6

BB

0

12

K

12

24

LOB

9

Betting line

NYY -1.5·O/U 9.5·LAA +144/NYY -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

Player projections

NYY vs LAA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 72 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Reid DetmersLAA
    7.0± 4.0low
  • Ryan WeathersNYY
    6.3± 3.9low
  • Cam SchlittlerNYY
    6.2± 2.1medium

Hits

  • Jo AdellLAA
    1.2± 1.6high
  • Paul GoldschmidtNYY
    1.2± 0.8high
  • Denzer GuzmanLAA
    1.0± 1.4low

Total bases

  • Paul GoldschmidtNYY
    2.0± 1.3high
  • Ben RiceNYY
    1.9± 2.0high
  • Jo AdellLAA
    1.7± 2.4high

RBIs

  • Denzer GuzmanLAA
    1.0± 1.6low
  • Jose SiriLAA
    0.8± 1.3high
  • Trey ManciniLAA
    0.8± 1.1low

Earned runs

  • Grayson RodriguezLAA
    3.8± 3.6low
  • Ryan WeathersNYY
    3.0± 3.1low
  • Reid DetmersLAA
    2.6± 3.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

67.5%

ensemble · NYY favored

  • Elo Static

    65.6%

    P(NYY win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    65.2%

    P(NYY win)

    32%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    65.0%

    P(NYY win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.25 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.