Mar 31, 26sim 95
21
18(H)8
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+1CIN
BOS
1-1
56
CIN
1-1
Great American Ball Park · Cincinnati, Ohio
38,298 attended
Line movement
11 snapshots
CIN spread
+1.5
open +1.5
Total
O/U 7.5
open O/U 7.5
CIN no-vig %
44.9%
open 44.9%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = CIN favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
CIN wins
BOS 5 · CIN 6 (by 1)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked BOS +3pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| CIN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
