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PF#17 of 32 bigs in 2026· Projected R2

Tobe Awaka

Rim-running big

Arizona·6'8" · 261lb·7'2" wing·8'9" reach·9.3" hand·22.4 yo at draft

Late 2nd

ATH composite

NCAA dominance

Scoring

Playmaking

Defense

Shooting

Combine

Max vertical

37.5"p89

Lane agility

10.94sp93

¾ sprint

3.19sp89

Standing reach

105.0"p11

Data completeness

grade A · 100/100

7/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known

measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking

Skill signature · earned from the data

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

LockdownSynergy defense 94thGlass CleanerDRB 91st · class

The read · from the percentiles

auto-derived · 2026 class

Rim-running big. Carried by rebounding (97th) and perimeter defense (94th); the question marks are rim protection (16th) and passing (25th).

StrengthsRebounding97Perimeter defense94

WatchRim protection16Passing25

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

#50

Toronto Raptors

2nd round

Model vs the field

The One

#50

Field

#55

In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.

across 3 mock boards

Scouting summary

Rim-running big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 97th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 79 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 55th across 3 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

Our board over time

Where we've had him since May 30

now#50▲ Riser · up 12

May 30 · #62Jul 27 · #50

How the score is built

deterministic · auditable

41.4draft scoreboard #50

Market 62% · consensus 55th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 39th

Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Awaka 55th, our model 39th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.

Draft score breakdown

How the 41-point composite stacks up

chip delta · +22

Athletic compositeweight 40%67

NCAA dominanceweight 40%79

Mock consensusweight 20%45

avg rank 55 across 3 boards

Deterministic signals · v1 rules

Elite BPM
BPM = 97th pct
+6
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
+5
Elite agility
lane agility = 91th pct
+4
Elite rebounder (B)
rebounding profile clears the v1 trigger
+3
Plus vertical
max vertical = 81th pct
+2
Consensus risers
latest consensus improved by 10 spots
+2

Skill radar · the shape of his game

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Avg axis 55th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.

Combine radar · vs. B-bucket

7 of 7 drills measured

cohort n=627 · 2000–2025

Wingspan
med 85.8"
86.3"
p57
Standing reach
med 108.0"
105.0"
p11
Max vertical
med 32.5"
37.5"
p89
Standing vert
med 28.5"
32.5"
p89
¾ sprint
med 3.33s
3.19s
p89
Lane agility
med 11.65s
10.94s
p93
Shuttle
med 3.10s
3.02s
p65

Frame & hands · the tape

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Height

6'8"26

Wingspan diff

+6.3"61

Hand length

9.25"65

Hand width

10.00"61

Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.

Combine drills · controlled setting

percentile vs the 2026 class · at position

Shooting & agility at the combine

Spot-up 3PT

13/25 · 52%48

Off-dribble 3PT

19/30 · 63%86

On-move 3PT

9/25 · 36%14

Modified agility

3.02s29

via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)

Two-way profile · how they play

Synergy · per possession · Arizona Wildcats

58 / 100 two-way score

Offense

1.25 PPP54

Defense

0.78 allow94

Shot dieteFG 59%3PT rate 5%FT rate 8%

Awaka's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions. ⚠ Limited possession sample — read this profile lightly.

NBA comps · measurables + production

vs bigs · 2012–2019

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Awaka.

“Top X%” = closer to Awaka than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1Richaun Holmes2015
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 5.0 career VORP · 489 g
College: Bowling Green '15 · TS 62.3 · BPM 8.0
Std vert32.5"vs32.5"Wing86.3"vs85.5"Ht6'8"vs6'8"Max vert37.5"vs36.0"Agility10.94svs11.24s¾ sprint3.19svs3.32sWeight261 lbvs243 lbReach105.0"vs108.0"Shuttle3.02svs3.31sTS%61.7vs62.3AST%6.4vs7.2BPM8.6vs8.0PORPAG3.2vs3.5Age22.4vs21.7USG%21.0vs25.1
2Patric Young2014
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g
College: Florida '14 · TS 55.7 · BPM 6.7
Max vert37.5"vs37.5"Std vert32.5"vs32.0"Shuttle3.02svs3.06sWing86.3"vs85.8"Ht6'8"vs6'9"Agility10.94svs11.18sReach105.0"vs103.5"Weight261 lbvs247 lb¾ sprint3.19svs3.43sAge22.4vs22.4AST%6.4vs6.7PORPAG3.2vs3.1USG%21.0vs22.6BPM8.6vs6.7TS%61.7vs55.7
3Mfiondu Kabengele2019
top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.2 career VORP · 55 g
College: Florida St. '19 · TS 59.3 · BPM 6.1
Ht6'8"vs6'9"Weight261 lbvs256 lbWing86.3"vs87.0"¾ sprint3.19svs3.25sAgility10.94svs11.21sMax vert37.5"vs35.5"Shuttle3.02svs3.30sStd vert32.5"vs28.0"Reach105.0"vs109.5"PORPAG3.2vs3.5Age22.4vs21.9TS%61.7vs59.3AST%6.4vs3.2BPM8.6vs6.1USG%21.0vs27.5
4Miles Plumlee2012
top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.2 career VORP · 346 g
College: Duke '12 · TS 62.0 · BPM 6.2
Reach105.0"vs105.5"Weight261 lbvs252 lbStd vert32.5"vs34.0"Agility10.94svs10.64sWing86.3"vs84.8"Ht6'8"vs6'11"Max vert37.5"vs40.5"¾ sprint3.19svs3.36sTS%61.7vs62.0AST%6.4vs5.1PORPAG3.2vs2.4BPM8.6vs6.2USG%21.0vs17.6
5Terrence Jones2012
top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 3.6 career VORP · 234 g
College: Kentucky '12 · TS 54.7 · BPM 9.8
Wing86.3"vs86.3"Ht6'8"vs6'8"Weight261 lbvs252 lbReach105.0"vs107.0"Max vert37.5"vs34.5"Std vert32.5"vs29.5"Agility10.94svs11.57s¾ sprint3.19svs3.40sUSG%21.0vs22.3PORPAG3.2vs3.6BPM8.6vs9.8AST%6.4vs8.7Age22.4vs20.5TS%61.7vs54.7

Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)

Comp outcomes · real careers

11/14 reached the NBA

How the closest comps turned out

3 Starter5 Rotation3 Fringe3 Never reached NBA

Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

Ceiling

Derrick Favors2010

Starter · 14.0 VORP

Floor

Rick Jackson2011

Never reached NBA

The 15 nearest blended comps (1 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Awaka.

College teamArizonaB12#2 T-Rank36-3SOS elite schedule · top 4%via BartTorvik

College stats · 2025-26 season

Arizona· B12

39 games · 52% min

labeled PF/C

Efficiency

TS%
61.7%88
eFG%
59.9%86
USG%
21.0%74
ORTG
127.195
AdjOE
136.497
RIM%
64.2%54

Playmaking

AST%
6.4%60
TO%
12.8%77

Defense

STL%
1.0%46
BLK%
3.1%53
DRTG
86.396
DBPM
+3.386

Rebounding

ORB%
20.2%97
DRB%
26.2%93

Composite

BPM
+8.697
OBPM
+5.398
PORPAG
3.296

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

Per-game production · 2025-26

percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position

39 games· 20.8 mpg

Points

9.385

Rebounds

9.197

Assists

0.879

Steals

0.465

Blocks

0.672

ShootingFG 58.7%3PT 41.7%FT 64.2%

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.

X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit

Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.

Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026

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