Tamin Lipsey

Lead playmaker. Carried by rebounding (83rd); the question marks are rim protection (3rd) and scoring efficiency (21st).

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

#49

Denver Nuggets

2nd round

Model vs the field

The One

#49

vs

Field

#64

In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.

across 2 mock boards

Scouting summary

Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 87 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 64th across 2 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

37 / 100 two-way score

Lipsey's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Lipsey.

“Top X%” = closer to Lipsey than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1Miles McBride2021

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · 2.0 career VORP · 277 g

   College: West Virginia '21 · TS 54.3 · BPM 9.1

   USG%22.9vs23.0AST%28.0vs28.6TS%54.0vs54.3BPM9.6vs9.1PORPAG4.3vs5.3
2. 2DeAndre Bembry2016

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · -0.4 career VORP · 296 g

   College: Saint Joseph's '16 · TS 53.9 · BPM 8.8

   TS%54.0vs53.9BPM9.6vs8.8USG%22.9vs24.5AST%28.0vs24.1Age23.0vs22.0
3. 3Ron Baker2016

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g

   College: Wichita St. '16 · TS 55.3 · BPM 9.5

   BPM9.6vs9.5USG%22.9vs22.2TS%54.0vs55.3PORPAG4.3vs3.6AST%28.0vs21.5
4. 4Donovan Mitchell2017

   top 2%

   production only · matched on 5 of 4 production

   Became: Star · 7× All-Star · 29.4 career VORP · 609 g

   College: Louisville '17 · TS 53.4 · BPM 10.0

   PORPAG4.3vs4.2USG%22.9vs23.3BPM9.6vs10.0TS%54.0vs53.4AST%28.0vs16.0
5. 5Tristen Newton2024

   top 1%

   production only · matched on 6 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0.0 career VORP · 9 g

   College: Connecticut '24 · TS 56.1 · BPM 9.7

   BPM9.6vs9.7Age23.0vs23.2AST%28.0vs31.2TS%54.0vs56.1PORPAG4.3vs5.2USG%22.9vs26.1

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (3 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Lipsey.

Name match to Iowa St., prospect card says Iowa State — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

34 games· 31.4 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.