
ESPN
Developmental guard
Scoring
81
Playmaking
55
Defense
62
Shooting
82
Combine
Max vertical
33.0"p18
Lane agility
10.77sp81
¾ sprint
3.19sp60
Standing reach
98.5"p36
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionThe read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental guard. Carried by perimeter defense (90th); the question marks are passing (11th) and rim protection (17th).
Draft outlook
Projected landing

#51
Washington Wizards
2nd roundModel vs the field
The One
#51
Field
#45
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 77 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 45th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
How the score is built
deterministic · auditableOur blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Sharp 45th, our model 59th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
avg rank 45 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
Short wingspan for position
wingspan = 5th pct
Heavy-legged
max vertical = 14th pct
Consensus risers
latest consensus improved by 20 spots
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 45th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
Wingspan
med 79.3"
75.0"
p9
Standing reach
med 99.5"
98.5"
p36
Max vertical
med 35.5"
33.0"
p18
Standing vert
med 30.0"
27.5"
p18
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.19s
p60
Lane agility
med 11.09s
10.77s
p81
Shuttle
med 3.05s
2.80s
p92
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionWingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionvia stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Houston CougarsSharp's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2014–2025Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Sharp.
“Top X%” = closer to Sharp than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Star · 1× All-Star · 9.0 career VORP · 394 g
College: Kentucky '19 · TS 58.0 · BPM 7.8
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 0.2 career VORP · 90 g
College: Duke '24 · TS 61.1 · BPM 7.0
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · -0.1 career VORP · 11 g
College: VCU '25 · TS 59.4 · BPM 8.5
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 4.1 career VORP · 504 g
College: Virginia '14 · TS 56.5 · BPM 8.3
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 6.3 career VORP · 538 g
College: Duke '17 · TS 62.9 · BPM 8.0
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/11 reached the NBAMedian outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Tyler Herro2019
Star · 1× All-Star
Floor
Collin Gillespie2022
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (4 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Sharp.
College stats · 2025-26 season
37 games · 73% min
labeled Combo G
Efficiency
Playmaking
Defense
Rebounding
Composite
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at positionper-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
Plus pick-by-pick grades on draft night — and we grade our own board against the actual draft, misses included. Free, double opt-in.