Tarris Reed Jr.

Skilled big. Carried by perimeter defense (98th) and rim protection (88th); no glaring statistical hole.

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

#20

San Antonio Spurs

1st round

Model vs the field

The One

#20

vs

Field

#32

▲ +12Value — the model would take them 12 slots earlier than the field.

across 3 mock boards

Scouting summary

Skilled big profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 32nd across 3 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

67 / 100 two-way score

Jr.'s offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Jr..

“Top X%” = closer to Jr. than (100−X)% of all drafted bigs on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1N'Faly Dante2024

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0 g

   College: Oregon '24 · TS 68.6 · BPM 10.2

   Max vert33.0"vs33.0"Weight264 lbvs260 lbReach110.0"vs111.0"Ht6'10"vs6'10"Wing88.3"vs90.0"Std vert29.5"vs27.0"Agility11.03svs11.55sShuttle2.77svs3.00s¾ sprint3.30svs3.00sAge22.9vs22.7USG%26.5vs24.2BPM12.9vs10.2AST%17.8vs11.2TS%61.4vs68.6
2. 2Neemias Queta2021

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · 2.8 career VORP · 186 g

   College: Utah St. '21 · TS 59.3 · BPM 12.9

   Max vert33.0"vs33.0"¾ sprint3.30svs3.29sWing88.3"vs88.0"Ht6'10"vs6'11"Weight264 lbvs248 lbStd vert29.5"vs27.0"Reach110.0"vs112.5"Agility11.03svs11.85sShuttle2.77svs3.50sBPM12.9vs12.9AST%17.8vs18.4PORPAG4.3vs3.9USG%26.5vs24.9TS%61.4vs59.3Age22.9vs21.9
3. 3Walker Kessler2022

   top 2%

   measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · 5.1 career VORP · 201 g

   College: Auburn '22 · TS 62.7 · BPM 15.7

   Wing88.3"vs88.3"Weight264 lbvs256 lbHt6'10"vs7'0"Reach110.0"vs113.0"TS%61.4vs62.7PORPAG4.3vs3.6BPM12.9vs15.7Age22.9vs20.9USG%26.5vs19.0AST%17.8vs7.0
4. 4Nikola Vucevic2011

   top 2%

   measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Star · 2× All-Star · 33.2 career VORP · 1036 g

   College: USC '11 · TS 57.8 · BPM 8.2

   Wing88.3"vs88.5"Weight264 lbvs260 lb¾ sprint3.30svs3.27sHt6'10"vs6'10"Reach110.0"vs112.5"Agility11.03svs12.02sStd vert29.5"vs23.5"Max vert33.0"vs25.0"USG%26.5vs25.1PORPAG4.3vs5.0TS%61.4vs57.8AST%17.8vs11.0BPM12.9vs8.2Age22.9vs20.7
5. 5Thomas Sorber2025

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0 g

   College: Georgetown '25 · TS 58.0 · BPM 7.5

   Weight264 lbvs263 lbReach110.0"vs109.0"Wing88.3"vs90.0"Ht6'10"vs6'9"AST%17.8vs15.6USG%26.5vs24.2PORPAG4.3vs3.3TS%61.4vs58.0BPM12.9vs7.5

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (3 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Jr..

Name match to Connecticut, prospect card says UConn — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

35 games· 27.3 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.