Ryan Conwell

Developmental guard. Carried by rebounding (91st) and shot creation (77th); the question marks are passing (29th) and rim protection (34th).

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

#38

Chicago Bulls

2nd round

Model vs the field

The One

#38

vs

Field

#39

In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.

across 3 mock boards

Scouting summary

Developmental guard profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 95th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 79 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 39th across 3 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

51 / 100 two-way score

Conwell's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.

Closest NBA comparisons

Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Conwell.

“Top X%” = closer to Conwell than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.

1. 1Darius Johnson-Odom2012

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production

   Became: Fringe NBA · -0.1 career VORP · 7 g

   College: Marquette '12 · TS 56.8 · BPM 4.3

   Wing79.0"vs79.0"¾ sprint3.21svs3.21sReach96.5"vs96.0"Agility10.69svs10.76sWeight215 lbvs212 lbStd vert32.5"vs33.5"Max vert39.5"vs41.5"Ht6'2"vs6'2"TS%56.6vs56.8AST%16.5vs17.7BPM5.2vs4.3USG%27.5vs25.4Age22.0vs22.7
2. 2Otega Oweh2025

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Too early to grade · 0 g

   College: Kentucky '25 · TS 57.7 · BPM 5.8

   ¾ sprint3.21svs3.20sWeight215 lbvs213 lbShuttle2.86svs2.90sAgility10.69svs10.90sWing79.0"vs80.5"Ht6'2"vs6'4"Max vert39.5"vs35.0"Reach96.5"vs101.5"Std vert32.5"vs27.5"Age22.0vs22.0PORPAG4.0vs3.9BPM5.2vs5.8TS%56.6vs57.7USG%27.5vs25.4AST%16.5vs11.3
3. 3Jaylen Nowell2019

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Rotation player · -0.1 career VORP · 205 g

   College: Washington '19 · TS 59.1 · BPM 3.5

   Wing79.0"vs79.3"Ht6'2"vs6'3"Agility10.69svs10.76s¾ sprint3.21svs3.23sStd vert32.5"vs32.0"Max vert39.5"vs38.5"Reach96.5"vs98.0"Weight215 lbvs202 lbShuttle2.86svs3.13sPORPAG4.0vs3.8AST%16.5vs20.8USG%27.5vs25.1TS%56.6vs59.1BPM5.2vs3.5Age22.0vs20.0
4. 4Gary Harris2014

   top 2%

   measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Starter · 2.6 career VORP · 666 g

   College: Michigan St. '14 · TS 56.1 · BPM 8.4

   Wing79.0"vs78.8"Reach96.5"vs96.0"Ht6'2"vs6'3"Weight215 lbvs205 lbAST%16.5vs16.8TS%56.6vs56.1USG%27.5vs25.3PORPAG4.0vs4.6BPM5.2vs8.4Age22.0vs19.8
5. 5Dez Wells2015

   top 1%

   measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production

   Became: Never reached the NBA · 0 g

   College: Maryland '15 · TS 55.9 · BPM 4.5

   Ht6'2"vs6'3"¾ sprint3.21svs3.20sMax vert39.5"vs39.0"Agility10.69svs10.56sStd vert32.5"vs31.5"Weight215 lbvs209 lbShuttle2.86svs3.05sWing79.0"vs81.5"Reach96.5"vs100.5"TS%56.6vs55.9BPM5.2vs4.5PORPAG4.0vs3.3Age22.0vs23.2USG%27.5vs31.0AST%16.5vs24.6

How the closest comps turned out

Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.

The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Conwell.

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)

34 games· 30.9 mpg

per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position

Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.