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Izaiyah Nelson headshot

ESPN

PF/C#13 of 37 bigs in 2026· Projected R2

Izaiyah Nelson

Rim-running 5

South Florida·22.7 yo at draft
Early 2nd
ATH composite
74
NCAA dominance
87

Scoring

81

Playmaking

80

Defense

84

Shooting

77

Combine

Max vertical

38.5"p90

Lane agility

11.22sp74

¾ sprint

3.20sp80

Standing reach

108.0"p46

draft60
rank#35
Draft score 60 out of 100, overall rank 35.

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

San Antonio Spurs

#35

San Antonio Spurs

2nd round

Model vs the field

The One

#35

vs

Field

#46

▲ +11Value — the model would take them 11 slots earlier than the field.

across 3 mock boards

Scouting summary

Rim-running 5 profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 97th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 87 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 46th across 3 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

Mock consensus over time

Avg rank across 3 boards

now#46▲ 5.0 spots
#46
2026-05-1416 captures2026-05-29

Draft score breakdown

How the 60-point composite stacks up

chip delta · +18
Athletic compositeweight 40%74
NCAA dominanceweight 40%87
Mock consensusweight 20%54

avg rank 46 across 3 boards

Deterministic signals · v1 rules

  • Elite BPM

    BPM = 97th pct

    +6
  • Elite vertical

    max vertical = 90th pct

    +5
  • High usage + efficient

    USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger

    +5
  • Consensus risers

    latest consensus improved by 10 spots

    +2

Trait grades

0–100 percentile within position group

Scoring
81
Playmaking
80
Defense
84
Shooting
77
Athleticism
74
Size
51

Combine radar · vs. B-bucket

7 of 7 drills measured

cohort n=221 · 2015-2025
WINGSPANSTANDING REACHMAX VERTICALSTANDING VERT¾ SPRINTLANE AGILITYSHUTTLE
  • Wingspan

    med 86.0"

    86.5"

    p56

  • Standing reach

    med 108.0"

    108.0"

    p46

  • Max vertical

    med 34.0"

    38.5"

    p90

  • Standing vert

    med 28.5"

    32.5"

    p82

  • ¾ sprint

    med 3.28s

    3.20s

    p80

  • Lane agility

    med 11.49s

    11.22s

    p74

  • Shuttle

    med 3.12s

    2.90s

    p92

College stats · 2025-26 season

South Florida· Amer

33 games · 67% min

labeled C

Efficiency

  • TS%
    60.9%79
  • eFG%
    56.5%68
  • USG%
    23.7%87
  • ORTG
    126.392

Playmaking

  • AST%
    8.8%71
  • TO%
    11.2%78

Defense

  • STL%
    3.3%98
  • BLK%
    5.9%79
  • DRTG
    94.095
  • DBPM
    +5.092

Rebounding

  • ORB%
    14.4%89
  • DRB%
    21.0%83

Composite

  • BPM
    +9.297
  • OBPM
    +4.395

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs B-bucket of the 2025-26 D1 pool

X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit

Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.

Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · May 30, 2026

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