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PG#8 of 40 guards in 2026· Projected R1
Ebuka Okorie
Lead playmaker
Stanford·6'1" · 186lb·6'8" wing·8'2" reach·9.0" hand·19.2 yo at draft
1st-round non-lottery
ATH composite
56
NCAA dominance
90
Scoring
90
Playmaking
98
Defense
81
Shooting
85
Combine
Max vertical
37.5"p67
Lane agility
10.71sp84
¾ sprint
3.26sp33
Standing reach
98.0"p30
Draft score 65 out of 100, overall rank 25.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionBucket-GetterUSG 89th · efficientPlus Length6'7.8" wing · 80th
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classLead playmaker. Carried by shot creation (89th) and rim protection (74th); no glaring statistical hole.
StrengthsShot creation89Rim protection74
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#25
Los Angeles Lakers
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#25
Field
#24
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Lead playmaker profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 98th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 90 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 24th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#25▼ Faller · down 6
May 30 · #19Jul 27 · #25
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable65.0draft scoreboard #25
Market 62% · consensus 24th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 3rd
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Okorie 24th, our model 3rd. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 65-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%56
NCAA dominanceweight 40%90
Mock consensusweight 20%76
avg rank 24 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 98th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +4
Elite playmaker (G)
AST% = 98th pct
- +2
Young for class
age 19.2 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 61th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. G-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 79.3"
79.8"
p54
Standing reach
med 99.5"
98.0"
p30
Max vertical
med 35.5"
37.5"
p67
Standing vert
med 30.0"
31.5"
p68
¾ sprint
med 3.21s
3.26s
p33
Lane agility
med 11.09s
10.71s
p84
Shuttle
med 3.05s
2.96s
p75
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'1.3"25
Wingspan diff
+6.5"95
Hand length
9.00"95
Hand width
9.25"55
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
19/25 · 76%84
Off-dribble 3PT
23/30 · 77%53
On-move 3PT
11/25 · 44%5
Modified agility
2.96s42
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Stanford Cardinal54 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.10 PPP60
Defense
0.92 allow48
Shot dieteFG 52%3PT rate 36%FT rate 7%
Okorie's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs guards · 2010–2020Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Okorie.
“Top X%” = closer to Okorie than (100−X)% of all drafted guards on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Jerian Grant2015top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.5 career VORP · 279 g
College: Notre Dame '15 · TS 59.2 · BPM 8.2
Wing79.8"vs79.5"Ht6'1"vs6'3"Reach98.0"vs100.0"Weight186 lbvs198 lbPORPAG6.3vs6.3TS%58.9vs59.2BPM6.9vs8.2USG%30.1vs25.6AST%23.9vs33.5 - 2De'Aaron Fox2017top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Star · 2× All-Star · 15.1 career VORP · 603 g
College: Kentucky '17 · TS 54.8 · BPM 7.1
Ht6'1"vs6'2"Wing79.8"vs78.5"Reach98.0"vs100.0"Weight186 lbvs170 lbBPM6.9vs7.1Age19.2vs19.5AST%23.9vs28.6USG%30.1vs27.6TS%58.9vs54.8 - 3John Wall2010top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Star · 5× All-Star · 24.1 career VORP · 647 g
College: Kentucky '10 · TS 56.2 · BPM 7.0
Ht6'1"vs6'3"Agility10.71svs10.84sMax vert37.5"vs39.0"Wing79.8"vs81.3"Std vert31.5"vs30.0"Weight186 lbvs196 lb¾ sprint3.26svs3.14sReach98.0"vs101.5"BPM6.9vs7.0Age19.2vs19.8TS%58.9vs56.2USG%30.1vs26.9AST%23.9vs34.8PORPAG6.3vs4.4 - 4Elfrid Payton2014top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 3.1 career VORP · 524 g
College: Louisiana '14 · TS 54.1 · BPM 6.9
Std vert31.5"vs31.5"Weight186 lbvs185 lbWing79.8"vs80.0"Ht6'1"vs6'3"Shuttle2.96svs2.92sReach98.0"vs98.5"¾ sprint3.26svs3.23sMax vert37.5"vs35.5"Agility10.71svs11.06sBPM6.9vs6.9USG%30.1vs29.5Age19.2vs20.3AST%23.9vs32.3TS%58.9vs54.1PORPAG6.3vs4.0 - 5Jahmi'us Ramsey2020top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.3 career VORP · 39 g
College: Texas Tech '20 · TS 54.4 · BPM 5.3
Ht6'1"vs6'3"Weight186 lbvs193 lbWing79.8"vs78.0"Reach98.0"vs100.5"Age19.2vs19.0BPM6.9vs5.3AST%23.9vs16.1TS%58.9vs54.4USG%30.1vs24.7
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
13/15 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
3 Star1 Starter6 Rotation3 Fringe2 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Damian Lillard2012
Star · 9× All-Star
Floor
Chasson Randle2015
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps. These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Okorie.
College teamStanfordACC#65 T-Rank20-13SOS tough schedule · top 18%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Stanford· ACC
31 games · 82% min
labeled Scoring PG
Efficiency
- TS%58.9%87
- eFG%52.8%79
- USG%30.1%96
- ORTG122.694
- AdjOE144.598
- RIM%56.3%65
Playmaking
- AST%23.9%77
- TO%10.4%88
Defense
- STL%2.7%71
- BLK%1.0%84
- DRTG104.057
- DBPM+0.170
Rebounding
- ORB%2.4%67
- DRB%10.3%70
Composite
- BPM+6.996
- OBPM+6.897
- PORPAG6.399
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs G-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position31 games· 35.1 mpg
Points
23.299
Rebounds
3.688
Assists
3.685
Steals
1.692
Blocks
0.393
ShootingFG 46.5%3PT 35.4%FT 83.2%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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