Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees: Final Score & Box Score — Jun 18, 2026

FINAL+4CHW

CHW

39-34

NYY

45-28

Yankee Stadium · Bronx, New York

44,809 attended

Line movement

200 snapshots

NYY spread

-1.5

open PK · -1.5

Total

O/U 9.5

open O/U 9.5

NYY no-vig %

58.4%

open 58.3% · +0.2

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = NYY favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.

Logged before first pitch · graded in public

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.6%

ensemble · NYY favored

Elo Static
59.5%
P(NYY win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
57.4%
P(NYY win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
59.7%
P(NYY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

1.03 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

93% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+6.0pp

best edge · CHW · DraftKings

CHW

★ best

+179DraftKings

edge +6.0pp · implied 33.7%

NYY

no live price

Book	CHW	NYY	Best edge
DraftKings	+179★	-240	+6.0

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

NYY vs CHW.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

125

projections · 79 high confidence

Strikeouts

Cam SchlittlerNYY
6.8± 3.2medium
Davis MartinCHW
6.2± 3.1low
Ryan WeathersNYY
6.2± 3.6low

Hits

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
1.3± 0.8high
Sam AntonacciCHW
1.1± 0.6high
Cody BellingerNYY
1.1± 1.2high

Total bases

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
2.4± 1.8high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
2.2± 3.0high
Sam AntonacciCHW
2.0± 1.6high

RBIs

Paul GoldschmidtNYY
0.9± 1.1high
Jose CaballeroNYY
0.8± 1.1high
Colson MontgomeryCHW
0.7± 1.3high

Earned runs

Ryan WeathersNYY
2.7± 3.1low
Erick FeddeCHW
2.4± 2.7medium
Anthony KayCHW
2.3± 2.1medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CHW

league avg

NYY

.733

OPS

.719

▶

.772

.321

OBP

.319

▶

.332

4.65

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.17

4.41

Team ERA

4.19

▶

3.34

1.33

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.18

8.3

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

CHW wins

CHW 5 · NYY 1 (by 4)

Model verdict

✗ Missed

Picked NYY +10pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CHW	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5
NYY	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1

Final play

“End of the 9th inning”

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. Meidroth2B	.277	4	0	1	0	0	0	3
R. GrichukDH	.292	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
M. Vargas3B	.240	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
C. MontgomerySS	.230	3	1	2	1	1	1	0
E. QueroC	.191	4	0	0	0	0	0	0
B. MontgomeryRF	.194	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
L. AcunaCF	.207	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
J. PerezCF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
T. PetersCF	.291	2	1	0	0	0	0	0
A. BenintendiDH	.242	1	1	1	4	1	0	0
S. AntonacciLF	.281	2	1	1	0	0	0	0
J. Gonzalez1B	.190	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team		32	5	6	5	2	1	11

Player

.277

.292

.240

.230

.191

.194

.207

.000

.291

.242

.281

.190

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. HudsonRP	1.2	1	0	0	0	2	27
S. BurkeSP	7.1	5	1	1	1	8	88
Team	9.0	6	1	1	1	10	115

Player

B. HudsonRP

1.2

S. BurkeSP

7.1

Team

9.0

115

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. Rice1B	.291	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
P. Goldschmidt1B	.300	4	0	1	0	0	0	1
C. BellingerLF	.275	4	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. DominguezDH	.191	4	0	0	0	0	0	2
J. Chisholm Jr.2B	.228	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. JonesRF	.245	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
J. CaballeroSS	.265	3	0	1	0	0	0	2
R. McMahon3B	.211	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
J.C. EscarraC	.188	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. VolpeSS	.250	1	0	1	0	0	1	0
Team		30	1	6	1	1	1	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
R. WeathersSP	6.1	3	1	1	1	8	88
F. CruzRP	0.2	1	1	1	0	1	10
T. HillRP	0.1	0	2	2	0	1	10
C. DovalRP	1.2	2	1	1	0	1	16
Team	9.0	6	5	5	1	11	124

Team

CHW

NYY

3 sub-models, blended.

Where to bet this game.

NYY vs CHW.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Where to bet this game.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

NYY vs CHW.

3 sub-models, blended.