Aug 2, 25sim 94
6108
14(H)106
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+6LA
LA
19-20
9185
SEA
22-20
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks went into Seattle Storm and beat them, 91–85.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Dearica Hamby
F · #5
25.7Game score
27
Pts
11
Reb
2
Ast
SEA · top performer
Skylar Diggins
G · #4
18.9Game score
21
Pts
2
Reb
6
Ast
WNBA · Los Angeles Sparks at Seattle Storm · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
LA19-20
9185
SEA22-20
LA19-20SEA22-20
LA
19-20
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 35 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +9 | |
| 26 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 32 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +3 | |
| 35 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | +10 | |
| 31 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6 | |
| 13 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -8 | |
| 20 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6 | |
| Team | 91 | 37 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 18 | ||
| DNP: E. Cannon, S. Feagin, A. Pili, J. Vanloo | ||||||||
SEA
22-20
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 34 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -11 | |
| 33 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -9 | |
| 31 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15 | |
| 30 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 28 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
USG%.28786 AST/TO1.857 TS%.54843 | ||||||||
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +14 | |
| 23 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | |
| Team | 85 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 14 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson, M. Holmes, L. Brown, Z. Cooke | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
42
22
Ast
22
Season series
LA wins series 3-1
Jun 18SEA98@LA67
SEA98@LA67Aug 2LA108@SEA106
LA108@SEA106Aug 11SEA91@LA94
SEA91@LA94Sep 2LA91@SEA85today
LA91@SEA85todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowLA ↔ SEA
Biggest swing: 24pp · 4th Quarter · 1:28
LAD. Hamby
FGame leader · 35 min
27 PTS · 11 REB · 2 AST
SEAS. Diggins
GGame leader · 30 min
21 PTS · 2 REB · 6 AST
How it ended
LA beat SEA 91-85. D. Hamby paced them with 27 PTS, 11 REB, 2 AST. LA outscored the other side 23-12 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
SEA vs LA
Starters vs bench
production by unitLAstarters 76% of ptsStarters(5)
69 PTS · 27 REB · 18 AST
GS 56
Bench(3)
22 PTS · 10 REB · 4 AST
GS 16
SEAstarters 80% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 17 REB · 20 AST
GS 51
Bench(3)
17 PTS · 6 REB · 2 AST
GS 11
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLA1st Quarter · 4:47 · 13-10
+22pp→ 42% WP
Erica Wheeler · enters the game for Brittney Sykes
LA4th Quarter · 3:10 · 78-83
+18pp→ 24% WP
Gabby Williams · shooting foul
LA4th Quarter · 1:28 · 86-85
+24pp→ 77% WP
Ezi Magbegor · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 20 | 19 | 29 | 23 | 91 |
| SEA | 25 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 85 |
Period scoring
LA won 2 · SEA won 2
20
25
Q1
Hamby 6
Sykes 9
19
28
Q2
Jackson 5
Wheeler 23
29
20
Q3
Jackson 9
Sykes 30
23
12
Q4
Hamby 11
Diggins 4
LA
SEA
Shooting comparison
LA
SEA
52%
35-67
FG
42%
31-73
22%
4-18
3PT
41%
13-32
89%
17-19
FT
67%
10-15
Play-by-play · 380 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LA 91·SEA 85
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LA 91·SEA 85
- Q4·12.8
Julie Allemand defensive rebound
LA 91·SEA 85
- Q4·16.0
Nneka Ogwumike misses 16-foot pullup jump shot
LA 91·SEA 85
−0.7pp
- Q4·21.3
Storm Full timeout
LA 91·SEA 85
- Q4·21.3
Rickea Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 91·SEA 85
- Q4·21.3
Rickea Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 90·SEA 85
- Q4·21.3
Gabby Williams personal foul
LA 89·SEA 85
−3pp
- Q4·24.0
Rae Burrell defensive rebound
LA 89·SEA 85
−2pp
- Q4·29.5
Rickea Jackson blocks Nneka Ogwumike 's 4-foot driving layup
·
LA 89·SEA 85
−3pp
- Q4·32.9
Storm Full timeout
LA 89·SEA 85
- Q4·32.9
Julie Allemand makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 89·SEA 85
+4pp
- Q4·32.9
Julie Allemand makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 88·SEA 85
−0.7pp
- Q4·32.9
Erica Wheeler personal foulBIG MOMENT
LA 87·SEA 85
−10pp
- Q4·33.4
Julie Allemand defensive rebound
LA 87·SEA 85
−5pp
- Q4·36.6
Skylar Diggins misses driving layupBIG MOMENT
LA 87·SEA 85
−13pp
- Q4·51.4
Nneka Ogwumike defensive rebound
LA 87·SEA 85
+3pp
- Q4·55.2
Kelsey Plum misses 7-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
LA 87·SEA 85
+9pp
- Q4·1:15
Sparks defensive team rebound
LA 87·SEA 85
−3pp
- Q4·1:17
Erica Wheeler misses 24-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
LA 87·SEA 85
−10pp
- Q4·1:28
Dearica Hamby makes free throw 1 of 1BIG MOMENT
LA 87·SEA 85
+11pp
- Q4·1:28
Ezi Magbegor shooting foulBIG MOMENT
LA 86·SEA 85
−24pp
- Q4·1:28
Dearica Hamby makes 5-foot two point shot (Rae Burrell assists)BIG MOMENT
·
LA 86·SEA 85
−11pp
- Q4·1:45
Kelsey Plum defensive rebound
LA 84·SEA 85
−3pp
- Q4·1:50
Nneka Ogwumike misses 24-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
LA 84·SEA 85
−9pp
- Q4·2:08
Rickea Jackson makes 8-foot pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
LA 84·SEA 85
−6pp
- Q4·2:16
Dearica Hamby defensive rebound
LA 82·SEA 85
−2pp
- Q4·2:19
Gabby Williams misses driving layupBIG MOMENT
LA 82·SEA 85
−5pp
- Q4·2:33
Dearica Hamby makes 4-foot two point shot (Rae Burrell assists)
·
LA 82·SEA 85
−4pp
- Q4·2:47
Skylar Diggins makes two point shotBIG MOMENT
LA 80·SEA 85
+5pp
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
35-67
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
31-73
52
FG %
42
4-18
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
13-32
17-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
10-15
22
Assists
22
18
Turnovers
14
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
SEA vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
100
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
- Dearica HambyLA16.0± 8.0low
Rebounds
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA6.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
- Erica WheelerLA1.2± 1.3low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
LA
league avg
SEA
50.7%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.6%
34.3%
3PT %
32.6
34.1%
91.6
PPG
◀
85.4
79.5
21.1
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.0
16.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶13.6