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FINAL+37GS
WSH

WSH

16-24

6299
GS

GS

20-18

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASat, Aug 30FinalSeriesGS wins series 4-0

Recap · WNBA

olden State Valkyries held off Washington Mystics, 99–62. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WSH · top performer

WSH
Sug Sutton

Sug Sutton

G · #1

12.3Game score

17

Pts

0

Reb

3

Ast

GS · top performer

GS
Carla Leite

Carla Leite

G · #0

19.5Game score

19

Pts

0

Reb

6

Ast

WNBA · Washington Mystics at Golden State Valkyries · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
62
99
WSH16-24GS20-18
WSH

WSH

16-24

62
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
A. ClarkA. Clark★F · #32
26062000-24
K. IriafenK. Iriafen★F · #44
25932001-27
S. AustinS. Austin★C · #0
15622110-17
S. SuttonS. Sutton★G · #1
251703001-19
S. CitronS. Citron★G · #22
271123105-26
E. EngstlerE. EngstlerF · #21
18032002-9
S. DolsonS. DolsonC · #31
16212010-20
M. ScottM. ScottG · #6
10200000-2
L. OlsenL. OlsenG · #33
201321202-15
J. MelbourneJ. MelbourneG · #5
19214201-26
Team6220216212
GS

GS

20-18

99
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
J. SalaunJ. Salaun★F · #13
292061004+25
T. FagbenleT. Fagbenle★C · #14
19532022+9
I. RupertI. Rupert★C · #12
27753201+36
K. CharlesK. Charles★G · #6
251641100+19
V. BurtonV. Burton★G · #22
221555122+23
L. AmihereL. AmihereF · #3
241161400+17
K. MartinK. MartinG · #20
21625100+22
K. ChenK. ChenG · #2
9001000+3
C. LeiteC. LeiteG · #0
191906001+29
Team9931259411

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

36

FG %

55

21

Ast

25

Season series

GS wins series 4-0

May 22WSHWSH74@GSGS76
Jul 31GSGS68@WSHWSH67
Aug 13GSGS88@WSHWSH83
Aug 31WSHWSH62@GSGS99today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowWSH ↔ GS

Biggest swing: 6pp · 1st Quarter · 7:54

WSHWSH
S. Sutton

S. Sutton

G

Game leader · 25 min

17 PTS · 0 REB · 3 AST

GSGS
C. Leite

C. Leite

G

Game leader · 19 min

19 PTS · 0 REB · 6 AST

How it ended

GS beat WSH 99-62. C. Leite led with 19 PTS, 0 REB, 6 AST. GS outscored the other side 32-14 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

GS vs WSH

0255075100Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
WSHWSHstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

43 PTS · 13 REB · 12 AST

GS 28

Bench(5)

19 PTS · 7 REB · 9 AST

GS 7

GSGSstarters 64% of pts

Starters(5)

63 PTS · 23 REB · 12 AST

GS 54

Bench(5)

36 PTS · 8 REB · 13 AST

GS 37

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
GS1st Quarter · 7:54 · 3-3
+6pp→ 60% WP

Veronica Burton · makes 28-foot three pointer (Temi Fagbenle assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
WSH814211962
GS1932272199

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · GS won 4

8
19

Q1

Sutton 3

Burton 7

14
32

Q2

Citron 5

Leite 9

21
27

Q3

Sutton 7

Charles 9

19
21

Q4

Olsen 10

Leite 6

WSH
GS

Shooting comparison

WSH
GS

36%

23-64

FG

55%

33-60

24%

6-25

3PT

39%

12-31

83%

10-12

FT

88%

21-24

Play-by-play · 366 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    WSH 62·GS 99

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    WSH 62·GS 99

  3. Q4·12.3

    Kate Martin makes free throw 3 of 3

    WSH 62·GS 99

  4. Q4·12.3

    Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound

    WSH 62·GS 98

  5. Q4·12.3

    Kate Martin misses free throw 2 of 3

    WSH 62·GS 98

  6. Q4·12.3

    Kate Martin makes free throw 1 of 3

    WSH 62·GS 98

  7. Q4·12.3

    Alysha Clark shooting foul

    WSH 62·GS 97

  8. Q4·30.8

    Madison Scott makes 2-foot layup (Lucy Olsen assists)

    ·

    WSH 62·GS 97

  9. Q4·35.7

    Bree Hall lost ball turnover (Jade Melbourne steals)

    ·

    WSH 60·GS 97

  10. Q4·52.2

    Golden State Valkyries defensive team rebound

    WSH 60·GS 97

  11. Q4·55.8

    Alysha Clark misses 23-foot three point jumper

    WSH 60·GS 97

  12. Q4·1:05

    Kate Martin makes two point shot

    WSH 60·GS 97

  13. Q4·1:05

    Kate Martin offensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  14. Q4·1:09

    Kaila Charles misses 24-foot three point jumper

    WSH 60·GS 95

  15. Q4·1:21

    Lucy Olsen out of bounds bad pass turnover

    WSH 60·GS 95

  16. Q4·1:24

    Alysha Clark defensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  17. Q4·1:27

    Bree Hall misses 26-foot three point shot

    WSH 60·GS 95

  18. Q4·1:30

    Kaila Charles defensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  19. Q4·1:35

    Alysha Clark misses 13-foot two point shot

    WSH 60·GS 95

  20. Q4·1:40

    Emily Engstler defensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  21. Q4·1:43

    Laeticia Amihere misses 23-foot three point jumper

    WSH 60·GS 95

  22. Q4·1:49

    Laeticia Amihere defensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  23. Q4·1:55

    Lucy Olsen misses 14-foot pullup jump shot

    WSH 60·GS 95

  24. Q4·2:05

    Bree Hall personal foul

    WSH 60·GS 95

  25. Q4·2:10

    Bree Hall personal foul

    WSH 60·GS 95

  26. Q4·2:17

    Alysha Clark defensive rebound

    WSH 60·GS 95

  27. Q4·2:21

    Kate Martin misses 27-foot three point jumper

    WSH 60·GS 95

  28. Q4·2:29

    Lucy Olsen kicked ball violation

    WSH 60·GS 95

  29. Q4·2:42

    Lucy Olsen makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Alysha Clark assists)

    ·

    WSH 60·GS 95

  30. Q4·2:58

    Kaila Charles enters the game for Temi Fagbenle

    ·

    WSH 58·GS 95

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

GS

Home

23-64

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

33-60

36

FG %

55

6-25

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

12-31

10-12

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-24

21

Assists

25

12

Turnovers

11

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · WSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(GS win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(GS win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(GS win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

GS vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

95

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Shakira AustinWSH
    17.1± 6.1low
  • Sonia CitronWSH
    15.8± 11.7low
  • Veronica BurtonGS
    15.6± 5.8low

Rebounds

  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    9.6± 5.6low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    8.7± 4.7low
  • Kaila CharlesGS
    6.3± 2.4low

Assists

  • Veronica BurtonGS
    5.5± 4.2low
  • Georgia AmooreWSH
    3.6± 2.4low
  • Gabby WilliamsGS
    2.9± 2.4low

Blocks

  • Kiah StokesGS
    1.8± 2.7low
  • Laeticia AmihereGS
    1.1± 1.5low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    1.1± 1.6low

Steals

  • Gabby WilliamsGS
    1.9± 2.4low
  • Rori HarmonWSH
    1.4± 1.7low
  • Angela DugalicWSH
    1.2± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

WSH

WSH

league avg

GS

GS

45.7%

FG%

◀

44.7

41.3%

28.0%

3PT %

32.6

▶

36.1%

83.4

PPG

85.4

▶

86.4

18.7

Assists / G

18.0

▶

19.1

15.6

Turnovers / G

13.0

▶

10.1

Data via ESPN · wehoop