Jun 26, 25sim 96
685
5(H)75
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+19IND
DAL
6-16
83102
IND
11-10
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ndiana Fever held off Dallas Wings, 102–83. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Li Yueru
C · #28
16.9Game score
16
Pts
5
Reb
2
Ast
IND · top performer
Caitlin Clark
G · #22
20.1Game score
14
Pts
3
Reb
13
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Indiana Fever · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL6-16
83102
IND11-10
DAL6-16IND11-10
DAL
6-16
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -12 | |
| 19 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13 | |
| 28 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -23 | |
| 33 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -20 | |
TS%.62099+ eFG%.58299+ AST/TO2.786 | ||||||||
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | |
| 23 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7 | |
| 22 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | |
| Team | 83 | 33 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 17 | ||
| DNP: M. Siegrist, T. Harris, D. Carrington | ||||||||
IND
11-10
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 24 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +22 | |
| 26 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +31 | |
| 26 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +30 | |
| 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +12 | |
| 25 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | |
| 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 20 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | |
| Team | 102 | 33 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 8 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
48
FG %
52
24
Ast
30
Season series
IND wins series 3-1
Jun 27IND94@DAL86
IND94@DAL86Jul 13DAL83@IND102today
DAL83@IND102todayAug 1IND88@DAL78
IND88@DAL78Aug 12DAL81@IND80
DAL81@IND80Headlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ IND
Biggest swing: 8pp · 1st Quarter · 3:00
DALL. Yueru
CGame leader · 26 min
16 PTS · 5 REB · 2 AST
INDC. Clark
GGame leader · 25 min
14 PTS · 3 REB · 13 AST
How it ended
IND beat DAL 102-83. C. Clark led with 14 PTS, 3 REB, 13 AST. IND outscored the other side 36-15 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
IND vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
59 PTS · 19 REB · 16 AST
GS 45
Bench(4)
24 PTS · 14 REB · 8 AST
GS 14
INDstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
72 PTS · 14 REB · 20 AST
GS 73
Bench(6)
30 PTS · 19 REB · 10 AST
GS 22
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactIND1st Quarter · 4:10 · 18-19
+7pp→ 67% WP
Sophie Cunningham · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Aari McDonald assists)
IND1st Quarter · 3:00 · 20-24
+8pp→ 76% WP
Teaira McCowan · offensive foul
IND2nd Quarter · 6:58 · 31-35
+7pp→ 74% WP
Caitlin Clark · blocks JJ Quinerly's driving layup
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 27 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 83 |
| IND | 28 | 36 | 20 | 18 | 102 |
Period scoring
DAL won 2 · IND won 2
27
28
Q1
Bueckers 7
Mitchell 9
15
36
Q2
McCowan 5
Howard 10
21
20
Q3
Bueckers 7
Mitchell 5
20
18
Q4
Quinerly 6
Howard 4
DAL
IND
Shooting comparison
DAL
IND
48%
34-71
FG
52%
40-77
42%
8-19
3PT
33%
8-24
64%
7-11
FT
74%
14-19
Play-by-play · 394 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 83·IND 102
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 83·IND 102
- Q4·7.1
Damiris Dantas defensive rebound
DAL 83·IND 102
- Q4·11.0
Haley Jones misses 15-foot two point shot
DAL 83·IND 102
- Q4·28.1
Sydney Colson makes 28-foot three point jumper (Sophie Cunningham assists)
·
DAL 83·IND 102
- Q4·50.1
Luisa Geiselsoder makes two point shot (Aziaha James assists)
·
DAL 83·IND 99
- Q4·56.1
Aziaha James defensive rebound
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·59.0
Damiris Dantas misses 26-foot three point jumper
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:00
Brianna Turner offensive rebound
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:02
Damiris Dantas misses two point shot
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:21
Makayla Timpson defensive rebound
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:24
JJ Quinerly misses 14-foot pullup jump shot
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:33
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:37
Damiris Dantas misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:53
Luisa Geiselsoder makes 30-foot three point shot (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
·
DAL 81·IND 99
- Q4·1:57
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
DAL 78·IND 99
- Q4·2:01
Haley Jones blocks Sydney Colson 's 25-foot three point jumper
·
DAL 78·IND 99
- Q4·2:18
Haley Jones makes two point shot (Aziaha James assists)
·
DAL 78·IND 99
- Q4·2:25
Brianna Turner lost ball turnover (Aziaha James steals)
·
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:26
Brianna Turner offensive rebound
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:29
Damiris Dantas misses 8-foot two point shot
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:41
Wings Full timeout
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:50
Brianna Turner defensive rebound
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:52
Aziaha James misses running pullup jump shot
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·2:57
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·3:01
Damiris Dantas misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·3:23
JJ Quinerly makes two point shot
DAL 76·IND 99
- Q4·3:29
Luisa Geiselsoder defensive rebound
DAL 74·IND 99
- Q4·3:31
Makayla Timpson misses free throw 2 of 2
DAL 74·IND 99
- Q4·3:31
Haley Jones enters the game for Paige Bueckers
·
DAL 74·IND 99
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
IND
Home
34-71
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
40-77
48
FG %
52
8-19
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-24
7-11
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
14-19
24
Assists
30
17
Turnovers
8
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 15 players in cohort
Paige BueckersDAL · GTS%.62099+
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
IND vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
115
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Caitlin ClarkIND19.4± 9.7low
- Kelsey MitchellIND19.3± 7.5low
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Aliyah BostonIND6.6± 6.4low
- Monique BillingsIND5.1± 3.3low
Assists
- Caitlin ClarkIND7.0± 3.5low
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
- Azzi FuddDAL0.8± 1.5low
- Caitlin ClarkIND0.8± 0.9low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Aliyah BostonIND1.1± 1.6low
- Caitlin ClarkIND1.1± 1.4low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
IND
46.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
45.4%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
32.1%
88.9
PPG
85.4
▶92.9
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
22.3
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.4