WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+9PHX

18-18

7281

PHX

22-14

WNBAFri, Aug 22FinalSeriesPHX wins series 4-0

Recap · WNBA

hoenix Mercury held off Golden State Valkyries, 81–72.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

GS · top performer

Veronica Burton

G · #22

13.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHX · top performer

Alyssa Thomas

F · #25

20.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. SalaunF · #13	29	15	7-12	1-5	0-1	-8	2	1
T. FagbenleC · #14	16	4	1-3	0-1	2-2	-5	0	1
I. RupertC · #12	26	9	3-9	3-6	—	+7	5	2
T. HayesG · #15	21	5	2-5	1-3	—	-2	1	3
V. BurtonG · #22	25	11	5-10	1-5	—	-12	5	8
Bench
L. AmihereF · #3	22	6	1-9	0-2	4-5	-12	8	0
K. CharlesG · #6	26	9	2-7	1-3	4-6	-9	5	0
K. MartinG · #20	12	7	3-6	1-4	—	+4	4	2
K. ChenG · #2	7	0	—	—	—	+5	0	0
C. LeiteG · #0	16	6	1-6	0-2	4-5	-13	1	3
Team		72	25-67	8-31	14-19		31	20
DNP: K. Thornton, M. Billings, C. Zandalasini

DNP: K. Thornton, M. Billings, C. Zandalasini

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
A. ThomasF · #25	37	13	5-9	—	3-6	+19	12	16
N. MackF · #4	13	3	1-1	—	1-2	-3	4	0
S. SaballyF · #0	27	12	3-9	1-3	5-5	+8	5	2
K. CopperG · #2	29	12	5-14	2-5	—	+9	4	1
M. Akoa MakaniG · #8	28	18	6-9	4-6	2-2	+10	1	0
Bench
D. BonnerF · #14	24	14	5-9	4-6	—	+18	6	2
K. WestbeldF · #24	13	3	1-4	1-4	—	+2	0	1
K. BrownC · #21	2	0	—	—	—	-10	0	0
S. WhitcombG · #33	17	6	2-5	2-5	—	+18	1	3
K. LaksaG · #9	2	0	0-1	0-1	—	-10	0	0
K. WilliamsG · #23	2	0	0-1	0-1	—	-10	0	0
L. HeldG · #1	6	0	0-2	0-1	—	-6	0	0
Team		81	28-64	14-32	11-15		33	25

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Season series

PHX wins series 4-0

Jun 6

GS77@

PHX86

Jul 15

PHX78@

GS77

Aug 20

PHX98@

GS91

Aug 23

GS72@

PHX81today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowGS ↔ PHX

Biggest swing: 7pp · 3rd Quarter · 4:13

V. Burton

Game leader · 25 min

11 PTS · 5 REB · 8 AST

PHX

A. Thomas

Game leader · 37 minTriple-double

13 PTS · 12 REB · 16 AST

How it ended

PHX beat GS 81-72. A. Thomas stuffed the line with 13 PTS, 12 REB, and 16 AST. PHX outscored the other side 24-16 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHX vs GS

Starters vs bench

production by unit

GSstarters 61% of pts

Starters(5)

44 PTS · 13 REB · 15 AST

GS 38

Bench(5)

28 PTS · 18 REB · 5 AST

GS 20

PHXstarters 72% of pts

Starters(5)

58 PTS · 26 REB · 19 AST

GS 49

Bench(7)

23 PTS · 7 REB · 6 AST

GS 15

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHX1st Quarter · 0.0 · 15-17

+7pp→ 71% WP

Laeticia Amihere · misses driving layup

PHX3rd Quarter · 4:13 · 47-53

+7pp→ 78% WP

DeWanna Bonner · makes 28-foot three point jumper (Kathryn Westbeld assists)

GS3rd Quarter · 3:22 · 48-55

+6pp→ 20% WP

Laeticia Amihere · makes free throw 1 of 2

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
GS	15	16	23	18	72
PHX	17	24	26	14	81

Period scoring

GS won 1 · PHX won 3

Salaun 7

Whitcomb 6

Salaun 6

Makani 11

Fagbenle 4

Bonner 6

Martin 7

Salaun 6

PHX

Shooting comparison

PHX

37%

25-67

44%

28-64

26%

8-31

3PT

44%

14-32

74%

14-19

73%

11-15

Play-by-play · 381 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 72·PHX 81
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 72·PHX 81
Q4·15.9
Kate Martin makes 26-foot running pullup jump shot
GS 72·PHX 81
Q4·18.8
Lexi Held lost ball turnover (Kaila Charles steals)
·
GS 69·PHX 81
Q4·37.4
Kate Martin makes tip shot
GS 69·PHX 81
Q4·37.4
Kate Martin offensive rebound
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·41.5
Iliana Rupert misses 26-foot three point jumper
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·43.0
Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·43.0
Kitija Laksa blocks Kaila Charles 's 5-foot two point shot
·
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·46.3
Kaila Charles defensive rebound
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·50.1
Kathryn Westbeld misses 28-foot three point jumper
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·1:02
Kate Martin makes 4-foot layup (Iliana Rupert assists)
·
GS 67·PHX 81
Q4·1:12
Kate Martin defensive rebound
GS 65·PHX 81
Q4·1:15
Kitija Laksa misses 22-foot three point jumper
GS 65·PHX 81
Q4·1:32
Iliana Rupert makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kate Martin assists)
·
GS 65·PHX 81
Q4·1:40
Kate Martin defensive rebound
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·1:45
Kiana Williams misses 24-foot three point jumper
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Kalani Brown enters the game for Sami Whitcomb
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Lexi Held enters the game for Alyssa Thomas
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Kiana Williams enters the game for DeWanna Bonner
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Kathryn Westbeld enters the game for Monique Akoa Makani
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Kitija Laksa enters the game for Satou Sabally
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
Mercury Full timeout
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:05
DeWanna Bonner defensive rebound
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:08
Sami Whitcomb blocks Iliana Rupert 's 3-foot two point shot
·
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:10
Iliana Rupert offensive rebound
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:11
Iliana Rupert misses layup
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:26
Monique Akoa Makani out of bounds lost ball turnover
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:49
Kaila Charles makes free throw 2 of 2
GS 62·PHX 81
Q4·2:49
Golden State Valkyries offensive team rebound
GS 61·PHX 81

Team stats

Away

Stat

PHX

Home

25-67

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

28-64

FG %

8-31

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

14-32

14-19

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

11-15

Assists

Turnovers

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS25/67 · 37%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/10

70%

In the paint5/18

28%

Mid-range5/8

63%

Top-of-arc 36/23

26%

Left corner 31/2

50%

Right corner 31/5

20%

PHX28/64 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/10

70%

In the paint6/16

38%

Mid-range1/6

17%

Top-of-arc 37/20

35%

Left corner 33/5

60%

Right corner 34/7

57%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 players in cohort

Natasha MackPHX · F
TS%.70899+
Kahleah CopperPHX · G
USG%.30599
Veronica BurtonGS · G
AST/TO3.797
Alyssa ThomasPHX · F
AST/TO2.389
Kaila CharlesGS · G
ORB%.10186

Shot map + zone breakdown

wehoop via ESPN PBP

GS25/67 · 37%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/10

70%

In the paint5/18

28%

Mid-range5/8

63%

Top-of-arc 36/23

26%

Left corner 31/2

50%

Right corner 31/5

20%

PHX28/64 · 44%

● made · ○ missed

At the rim7/10

70%

In the paint6/16

38%

Mid-range1/6

17%

Top-of-arc 37/20

35%

Left corner 33/5

60%

Right corner 34/7

57%

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

62.5%

ensemble · PHX favored

Elo Static
65.2%
P(PHX win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
65.0%
P(PHX win)
32%
weight
Pace Efficiency
67.0%
P(PHX win)
35%
weight

Disagreement

0.91 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

94% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHX vs GS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

115

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

Kahleah CopperPHX
19.0± 9.8medium
Gabby WilliamsGS
15.9± 10.3low
Veronica BurtonGS
14.1± 7.4medium

Rebounds

Natasha MackPHX
8.1± 3.5medium
Alyssa ThomasPHX
7.0± 3.1medium
Kayla ThorntonGS
4.9± 2.9medium

Assists

Alyssa ThomasPHX
8.1± 2.5medium
Veronica BurtonGS
5.3± 2.8medium
Monique Akoa MakaniPHX
3.1± 2.0low

Blocks

Kiah StokesGS
1.6± 1.6medium
Natasha MackPHX
1.3± 1.3medium
Veronica BurtonGS
1.0± 1.8medium

Steals

Alyssa ThomasPHX
1.8± 1.3medium
Gabby WilliamsGS
1.7± 1.6low
Monique Akoa MakaniPHX
1.6± 1.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

league avg

PHX

40.6%

FG%

44.3

▶

42.0%

35.9%

3PT %

◀

33.0

31.5%

84.6

PPG

◀

85.2

82.2

18.9

Assists / G

18.0

19.0

9.8

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

12.9

Data via ESPN · wehoop