Aug 12, 25sim 97
381
5(H)80
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+22IND
CHI
8-23
7092
IND
18-14
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ndiana Fever held off Chicago Sky, 92–70. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Rachel Banham
G · #24
8.1Game score
11
Pts
0
Reb
3
Ast
IND · top performer
Kelsey Mitchell
G · #0
22.1Game score
26
Pts
3
Reb
8
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Indiana Fever · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI8-23
7092
IND18-14
CHI8-23IND18-14
CHI
8-23
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -15 | |
| 31 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -14 | |
| 20 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -22 | |
| 26 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -24 | |
| 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | |
| 22 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 | |
| 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -14 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
| Team | 70 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 11 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot | ||||||||
IND
18-14
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 19 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +16 | |
| 24 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +19 | |
| 33 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +17 | |
| 28 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +18 | |
| 32 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +22 | |
| 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | |
| 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9 | |
| 17 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +9 | |
| 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | |
| Team | 92 | 38 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | ||
| DNP: S. Colson, A. McDonald, C. Clark | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
38
FG %
47
19
Ast
21
Season series
IND wins series 5-0
May 17CHI58@IND93
CHI58@IND93Jun 8IND79@CHI52
IND79@CHI52Jul 27IND93@CHI78
IND93@CHI78Aug 10CHI70@IND92today
CHI70@IND92todaySep 5CHI77@IND97
CHI77@IND97Headlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ IND
Biggest swing: 11pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:02
CHIR. Banham
GGame leader · 26 min
11 PTS · 0 REB · 3 AST
INDK. Mitchell
GGame leader · 33 min
26 PTS · 3 REB · 8 AST
How it ended
IND beat CHI 92-70. K. Mitchell paced them with 26 PTS, 3 REB, 8 AST. IND outscored the other side 25-16 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
IND vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 57% of ptsStarters(5)
40 PTS · 28 REB · 11 AST
GS 29
Bench(5)
30 PTS · 12 REB · 8 AST
GS 19
INDstarters 88% of ptsStarters(5)
81 PTS · 23 REB · 16 AST
GS 74
Bench(4)
11 PTS · 15 REB · 5 AST
GS 14
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCHI2nd Quarter · 3:02 · 34-39
+11pp→ 19% WP
Natasha Howard · lost ball turnover (Michaela Onyenwere steals)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 16 | 21 | 17 | 16 | 70 |
| IND | 25 | 23 | 26 | 18 | 92 |
Period scoring
CHI won 0 · IND won 4
16
25
Q1
Cardoso 6
Mitchell 8
21
23
Q2
Atkins 6
Cunningham 10
17
26
Q3
Allen 7
Mitchell 9
16
18
Q4
Westbeld 6
Hull 9
CHI
IND
Shooting comparison
CHI
IND
38%
28-73
FG
47%
33-70
34%
11-32
3PT
39%
11-28
75%
3-4
FT
79%
15-19
Play-by-play · 360 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 70·IND 92
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 70·IND 92
- Q4·1.6
Maddy Westbeld makes 24-foot three point jumper (Hailey Van Lith assists)
·
CHI 70·IND 92
- Q4·18.2
Lexie Hull makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot (Brianna Turner assists)
·
CHI 67·IND 92
- Q4·35.1
Chloe Bibby enters the game for Kelsey Mitchell
·
CHI 67·IND 89
- Q4·35.1
Fever timeout
CHI 67·IND 89
- Q4·41.2
Maddy Westbeld makes 23-foot three pointer
CHI 67·IND 89
- Q4·43.4
Maddy Westbeld offensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 89
- Q4·47.1
Kia Nurse misses 23-foot three point jumper
CHI 64·IND 89
- Q4·1:10
Kelsey Mitchell makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brianna Turner assists)
·
CHI 64·IND 89
- Q4·1:12
Brianna Turner offensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:13
Damiris Dantas misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:31
Brianna Turner defensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:34
Elizabeth Williams misses 17-foot jumper
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:37
Sky offensive team rebound
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:37
(01:37) [Fever] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Fever] retain their timeout
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:37
Fever Coach's Challenge
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:38
Brianna Turner blocks Kia Nurse 's 4-foot driving layup
·
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·1:55
Kelsey Mitchell makes 22-foot step back jumpshot
CHI 64·IND 86
- Q4·2:15
Makayla Timpson defensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·2:19
Hailey Van Lith misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·2:30
Lexie Hull out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·2:44
Makayla Timpson defensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·2:48
Elizabeth Williams misses 13-foot jumper
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·2:59
Elizabeth Williams defensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·3:01
Kelsey Mitchell misses 1-foot tip shot
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·3:01
Kelsey Mitchell offensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·3:03
Kelsey Mitchell misses 3-foot two point shot
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·3:07
Makayla Timpson offensive rebound
CHI 64·IND 84
- Q4·3:11
Damiris Dantas misses 11-foot two point shot
CHI 64·IND 84
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
IND
Home
28-73
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
33-70
38
FG %
47
11-32
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
11-28
3-4
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-19
19
Assists
21
11
Turnovers
7
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
IND vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Caitlin ClarkIND19.4± 9.7low
- Kelsey MitchellIND19.3± 7.5low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Aliyah BostonIND6.6± 6.4low
- Monique BillingsIND5.1± 3.3low
Assists
- Caitlin ClarkIND7.0± 3.5low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
- Aliyah BostonIND1.1± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
IND
41.1%
FG%
44.7
▶45.4%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
▶32.1%
82.8
PPG
85.4
▶92.9
19.3
Assists / G
18.0
▶22.3
11.0
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.4