Jul 27, 25sim 96
593
19(H)78
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+38SEA
SEA
15-10
9557
CHI
7-17
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
eattle Storm went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 95–57. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SEA · top performer
Skylar Diggins
G · #4
17.6Game score
21
Pts
7
Reb
3
Ast
CHI · top performer
Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
10.3Game score
13
Pts
13
Reb
0
Ast
WNBA · Seattle Storm at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
SEA15-10
9557
CHI7-17
SEA15-10CHI7-17
SEA
15-10
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +28 | |
| 24 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +30 | |
| 23 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +39 | |
| 25 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +34 | |
| 24 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +28 | |
| 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7 | |
| 17 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | |
| 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | |
| 16 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +8 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5 | |
| Team | 95 | 39 | 25 | 11 | 8 | 10 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson | ||||||||
CHI
7-17
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 27 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -25 | |
| 28 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -37 | |
| 29 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -33 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -23 | |
| 32 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -31 | |
| 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -14 | |
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -18 | |
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -9 | |
| Team | 57 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 19 | ||
| DNP: M. Onyenwere, A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, A. Atkins | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
54
FG %
34
25
Ast
14
Season series
SEA wins series 3-0
Jul 25SEA95@CHI57today
SEA95@CHI57todayAug 20SEA94@CHI88
SEA94@CHI88Aug 31CHI69@SEA79
CHI69@SEA79Headlines · top performers
Game flowSEA ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 5pp · 2nd Quarter · 7:37
SEAS. Diggins
GGame leader · 25 min
21 PTS · 7 REB · 3 AST
CHIK. Cardoso
CGame leader · 28 min
13 PTS · 13 REB · 0 AST
How it ended
SEA beat CHI 95-57. S. Diggins led with 21 PTS, 7 REB, 3 AST. SEA outscored the other side 31-17 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs SEA
Starters vs bench
production by unitSEAstarters 66% of ptsStarters(5)
63 PTS · 22 REB · 16 AST
GS 59
Bench(6)
32 PTS · 17 REB · 9 AST
GS 32
CHIstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
44 PTS · 27 REB · 7 AST
GS 21
Bench(4)
13 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST
GS 2
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 26 | 13 | 31 | 25 | 95 |
| CHI | 18 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 57 |
Period scoring
SEA won 4 · CHI won 0
26
18
Q1
Wheeler 6
Cardoso 5
13
8
Q2
Diggins 7
Cardoso 4
31
17
Q3
Diggins 7
Williams 5
25
14
Q4
Brown 9
Lith 6
SEA
CHI
Shooting comparison
SEA
CHI
54%
37-69
FG
34%
21-62
45%
9-20
3PT
19%
4-21
80%
12-15
FT
73%
11-15
Play-by-play · 376 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
SEA 95·CHI 57
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
SEA 95·CHI 57
- Q4·3.1
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 95·CHI 57
- Q4·5.1
Rachel Banham misses 20-foot pullup jump shot
SEA 95·CHI 57
- Q4·24.0
Dominique Malonga makes 25-foot three point jumper (Alysha Clark assists)
·
SEA 95·CHI 57
- Q4·42.0
Hailey Van Lith makes two point shot (Maddy Westbeld assists)
·
SEA 92·CHI 57
- Q4·45.1
Zia Cooke lost ball turnover (Maddy Westbeld steals)
·
SEA 92·CHI 55
- Q4·58.1
Hailey Van Lith makes 18-foot pullup jump shot (Elizabeth Williams assists)
· ·
SEA 92·CHI 55
- Q4·1:09
Sky offensive team rebound
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:09
Dominique Malonga blocks Elizabeth Williams 's 3-foot driving layup
· ·
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:20
Lexie Brown out of bounds bad pass turnover
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:26
Mackenzie Holmes offensive rebound
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:27
Zia Cooke misses 7-foot pullup jump shot
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:40
Rachel Banham lost ball turnover (Mackenzie Holmes steals)
·
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:52
Sky defensive team rebound
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·1:52
Dominique Malonga misses 10-foot two point shot
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·2:11
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·2:15
Rachel Banham misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·2:36
Lexie Brown makes driving layup (Dominique Malonga assists)
·
SEA 92·CHI 53
- Q4·2:55
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 2 of 2
SEA 90·CHI 53
- Q4·2:55
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 1 of 2
SEA 90·CHI 52
- Q4·2:55
Rachel Banham enters the game for Kia Nurse
·
SEA 90·CHI 51
- Q4·2:55
Official timeout
SEA 90·CHI 51
- Q4·2:55
Mackenzie Holmes personal foul
SEA 90·CHI 51
- Q4·3:08
Lexie Brown makes 27-foot three point jumper (Dominique Malonga assists)
·
SEA 90·CHI 51
- Q4·3:17
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 87·CHI 51
- Q4·3:21
Elizabeth Williams misses 14-foot jumper
·
SEA 87·CHI 51
- Q4·3:33
Alysha Clark makes 6-foot driving floating jump shot (Zia Cooke assists)
·
SEA 87·CHI 51
- Q4·3:53
Dominique Malonga defensive rebound
SEA 85·CHI 51
- Q4·3:55
Kia Nurse misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
SEA 85·CHI 51
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
37-69
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
21-62
54
FG %
34
9-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-21
12-15
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
11-15
25
Assists
14
10
Turnovers
19
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · SEA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs SEA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Dominique MalongaSEA13.6± 9.4low
- Skylar DigginsCHI13.3± 9.9low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
- Mackenzie HolmesSEA5.0± 3.8low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
Blocks
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jade MelbourneSEA1.2± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
SEA
league avg
CHI
41.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
34.1%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
79.5
PPG
85.4
▶82.8
17.0
Assists / G
18.0
▶19.3
13.6
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.0