Jun 27, 25sim 95
594
3(H)86
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+8DAL
WSH
8-9
7179
DAL
5-13
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
allas Wings held off Washington Mystics, 79–71.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Sonia Citron
G · #22
19.1Game score
22
Pts
10
Reb
2
Ast
DAL · top performer
Myisha Hines-Allen
F · #2
15.3Game score
13
Pts
6
Reb
5
Ast
WNBA · Washington Mystics at Dallas Wings · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
WSH8-9
7179
DAL5-13
WSH8-9DAL5-13
WSH
8-9
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -1 | |
| 29 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +3 | |
| 26 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6 | |
USG%.28786 AST/TO1.857 TS%.54843 | ||||||||
| 30 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8 | |
| 39 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
| 13 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -10 | |
| 24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -14 | |
| Team | 71 | 26 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 13 | ||
DAL
5-13
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 23 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8 | |
| 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | |
| 34 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +7 | |
| 33 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +7 | |
| 22 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +13 | |
| 33 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +10 | |
| 21 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +23 | |
| Team | 79 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 19 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
34
FG %
47
14
Ast
18
Season series
WSH wins series 2-1
Jun 22DAL88@WSH91
DAL88@WSH91Jun 29WSH71@DAL79today
WSH71@DAL79todayAug 10WSH91@DAL78
WSH91@DAL78Headlines · top performers
Game flowWSH ↔ DAL
Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 3:25
WSHS. Citron
GGame leader · 39 min
22 PTS · 10 REB · 2 AST
DALM. Hines-Allen
FGame leader · 22 min
13 PTS · 6 REB · 5 AST
How it ended
DAL beat WSH 79-71. M. Hines-Allen led with 13 PTS, 6 REB, 5 AST. DAL outscored the other side 28-9 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DAL vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 93% of ptsStarters(5)
66 PTS · 20 REB · 11 AST
GS 44
Bench(4)
5 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST
GS 0
DALstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
43 PTS · 23 REB · 10 AST
GS 24
Bench(3)
36 PTS · 18 REB · 8 AST
GS 34
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactWSH3rd Quarter · 7:33 · 43-45
+7pp→ 32% WP
Sonia Citron · makes 27-foot three point jumper (Brittney Sykes assists)
DAL3rd Quarter · 5:55 · 45-50
+7pp→ 74% WP
Aziaha James · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
WSH3rd Quarter · 3:25 · 51-54
+8pp→ 29% WP
Sonia Citron · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Sug Sutton assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 9 | 22 | 25 | 15 | 71 |
| DAL | 28 | 17 | 19 | 15 | 79 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · DAL won 1
9
28
Q1
Citron 3
Quinerly 8
22
17
Q2
Sutton 5
Quinerly 5
25
19
Q3
Citron 11
James 6
15
15
Q4
Austin 5
Smith 4
WSH
DAL
Shooting comparison
WSH
DAL
34%
22-64
FG
47%
29-62
28%
5-18
3PT
36%
4-11
88%
22-25
FT
94%
17-18
Play-by-play · 392 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 71·DAL 79
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 71·DAL 79
- Q4·7.1
shot clock turnover
WSH 71·DAL 79
- Q4·31.1
Shakira Austin lost ball turnover (Arike Ogunbowale steals)
·
WSH 71·DAL 79
+1pp
- Q4·42.1
Myisha Hines-Allen makes driving layup
WSH 71·DAL 79
+1pp
- Q4·54.1
Shakira Austin makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 71·DAL 77
+0.5pp
- Q4·54.1
Mystics offensive team rebound
WSH 70·DAL 77
+2pp
- Q4·54.1
Shakira Austin misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 70·DAL 77
+3pp
- Q4·54.1
Myisha Hines-Allen personal foul
WSH 70·DAL 77
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:02
Aziaha James personal foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 70·DAL 77
−7pp
- Q4·1:12
Sonia Citron defensive rebound
WSH 70·DAL 77
- Q4·1:16
Myisha Hines-Allen misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 70·DAL 77
−0.8pp
- Q4·1:32
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
WSH 70·DAL 77
+0.5pp
- Q4·1:35
Aziaha James blocks Sonia Citron 's 13-foot pullup jump shot
·
WSH 70·DAL 77
+1pp
- Q4·1:43
Sonia Citron offensive rebound
WSH 70·DAL 77
−1pp
- Q4·1:45
Sonia Citron misses two point shot
WSH 70·DAL 77
+2pp
- Q4·1:51
Arike Ogunbowale bad pass (Kiki Iriafen steals)
·
WSH 70·DAL 77
−2pp
- Q4·2:02
Shakira Austin makes layup (Brittney Sykes assists)
·
WSH 70·DAL 77
- Q4·2:18
JJ Quinerly makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 68·DAL 77
−0.8pp
- Q4·2:18
Kiki Iriafen enters the game for Aaliyah Edwards
·
WSH 68·DAL 76
- Q4·2:18
JJ Quinerly makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 68·DAL 76
- Q4·2:18
Sonia Citron personal foul
WSH 68·DAL 75
+1pp
- Q4·2:21
Brittney Sykes makes driving layup
WSH 68·DAL 75
- Q4·2:32
shot clock turnover
WSH 66·DAL 75
−0.9pp
- Q4·2:32
Wings offensive team rebound
WSH 66·DAL 75
+0.7pp
- Q4·2:33
Arike Ogunbowale misses 12-foot pullup jump shot
WSH 66·DAL 75
- Q4·2:53
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
WSH 66·DAL 75
- Q4·2:56
Shakira Austin misses 8-foot two point shot
WSH 66·DAL 75
+1pp
- Q4·3:08
Myisha Hines-Allen turnover
WSH 66·DAL 75
- Q4·3:08
Myisha Hines-Allen offensive foul
WSH 66·DAL 75
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
DAL
Home
22-64
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
29-62
34
FG %
47
5-18
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-11
22-25
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-18
14
Assists
18
13
Turnovers
19
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 15 players in cohort
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DAL vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Shakira AustinWSH17.1± 6.1low
- Sonia CitronWSH15.8± 11.7low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.6± 5.6low
- Shakira AustinWSH8.7± 4.7low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
- Georgia AmooreWSH3.6± 2.4low
Blocks
- Shakira AustinWSH1.1± 1.6low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
- Azzi FuddDAL0.8± 1.5low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Rori HarmonWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Angela DugalicWSH1.2± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
WSH
league avg
DAL
45.7%
FG%
44.7
▶46.6%
28.0%
3PT %
32.6
▶37.3%
83.4
PPG
85.4
▶88.9
18.7
Assists / G
18.0
▶23.4
15.6
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶10.3