Jul 16, 25sim 96
2086
19(H)49
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+19LA
WSH
11-11
8099
LA
8-14
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks held off Washington Mystics, 99–80. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Shakira Austin
C · #0
14.2Game score
16
Pts
8
Reb
2
Ast
LA · top performer
Dearica Hamby
F · #5
21.6Game score
26
Pts
6
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Washington Mystics at Los Angeles Sparks · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
WSH11-11
8099
LA8-14
WSH11-11LA8-14
WSH
11-11
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -26 | |
| 27 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -21 | |
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -12 | |
| 27 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -16 | |
| 32 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
| 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +7 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | |
| 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13 | |
| Team | 80 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 17 | ||
| DNP: G. Amoore | ||||||||
LA
8-14
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +13 | |
| 29 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10 | |
| 29 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +15 | |
| 34 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +13 | |
| 32 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +22 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +16 | |
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +1 | |
| Team | 99 | 30 | 28 | 9 | 4 | 10 | ||
| DNP: C. Brink | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
43
FG %
54
22
Ast
28
Season series
LA wins series 3-1
Jul 16WSH80@LA99today
WSH80@LA99todayJul 22LA93@WSH86
LA93@WSH86Aug 17LA86@WSH95
LA86@WSH95Sep 1WSH78@LA81
WSH78@LA81Headlines · top performers
Game flowWSH ↔ LA
Biggest swing: 7pp · 2nd Quarter · 9:46
WSHS. Austin
CGame leader · 27 min
16 PTS · 8 REB · 2 AST
LAD. Hamby
FGame leader · 26 min
26 PTS · 6 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
LA beat WSH 99-80. D. Hamby paced them with 26 PTS, 6 REB, 4 AST. LA outscored the other side 33-12 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LA vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
54 PTS · 26 REB · 16 AST
GS 38
Bench(6)
26 PTS · 9 REB · 6 AST
GS 20
LAstarters 87% of ptsStarters(5)
86 PTS · 26 REB · 24 AST
GS 79
Bench(5)
13 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
GS 8
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLA2nd Quarter · 9:46 · 22-29
+7pp→ 77% WP
Julie Allemand · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Azura Stevens assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 22 | 12 | 23 | 23 | 80 |
| LA | 26 | 33 | 20 | 20 | 99 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · LA won 2
22
26
Q1
Austin 6
Plum 9
12
33
Q2
Dolson 3
Feagin 14
23
20
Q3
Iriafen 6
Jackson 11
23
20
Q4
Sutton 7
Stevens 5
WSH
LA
Shooting comparison
WSH
LA
43%
30-69
FG
54%
38-71
38%
8-21
3PT
39%
9-23
86%
12-14
FT
64%
14-22
Play-by-play · 389 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 80·LA 99
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 80·LA 99
- Q4·1.2
Sarah Ashlee Barker defensive rebound
WSH 80·LA 99
- Q4·6.0
Sika Kone misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 80·LA 99
- Q4·24.1
Sania Feagin makes 1-foot layup (Rae Burrell assists)
·
WSH 80·LA 99
- Q4·32.0
Sarah Ashlee Barker defensive rebound
WSH 80·LA 97
- Q4·37.0
Emily Engstler misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH 80·LA 97
- Q4·53.2
Sania Feagin makes 1-foot layup (Julie Vanloo assists)
·
WSH 80·LA 97
- Q4·1:09
Aaliyah Edwards makes 7-foot step back jumpshot (Lucy Olsen assists)
·
WSH 80·LA 95
- Q4·1:15
Lucy Olsen defensive rebound
WSH 78·LA 95
- Q4·1:20
Emma Cannon misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 78·LA 95
- Q4·1:37
Aaliyah Edwards makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 78·LA 95
- Q4·1:37
Aaliyah Edwards makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 77·LA 95
- Q4·1:37
Sania Feagin shooting foul
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·1:39
Aaliyah Edwards offensive rebound
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·1:40
Sania Feagin blocks Aaliyah Edwards 's 14-foot pullup jump shot
·
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·1:56
Aaliyah Edwards defensive rebound
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·1:57
Julie Vanloo misses 26-foot three point jumper
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Sika Kone makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 76·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Sarah Ashlee Barker enters the game for Azura Stevens
·
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Rae Burrell enters the game for Julie Allemand
·
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Julie Vanloo enters the game for Kelsey Plum
·
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Emma Cannon enters the game for Dearica Hamby
·
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Sania Feagin enters the game for Rickea Jackson
·
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Sika Kone makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 75·LA 95
- Q4·2:15
Julie Allemand shooting foul
WSH 74·LA 95
- Q4·2:17
Sika Kone defensive rebound
WSH 74·LA 95
- Q4·2:21
Azura Stevens misses 26-foot three point jumper
WSH 74·LA 95
- Q4·2:36
Mystics Full timeout
WSH 74·LA 95
- Q4·2:42
Lucy Olsen bad pass (Julie Allemand steals)
·
WSH 74·LA 95
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
LA
Home
30-69
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
38-71
43
FG %
54
8-21
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-23
12-14
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
14-22
22
Assists
28
17
Turnovers
10
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 16 players in cohort
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LA vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Shakira AustinWSH17.1± 6.1low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
Rebounds
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.6± 5.6low
- Shakira AustinWSH8.7± 4.7low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
- Georgia AmooreWSH3.6± 2.4low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Shakira AustinWSH1.1± 1.6low
- Angela DugalicWSH0.6± 0.7low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
- Rori HarmonWSH1.4± 1.7low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
WSH
league avg
LA
45.7%
FG%
44.7
▶50.7%
28.0%
3PT %
32.6
▶34.3%
83.4
PPG
85.4
▶91.6
18.7
Assists / G
18.0
▶21.1
15.6
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
16.4