Jun 4, 25sim 93
377
14(H)83
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+7LA
LA
9-14
9386
WSH
11-12
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks went into Washington Mystics and beat them, 93–86.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Dearica Hamby
F · #5
20.4Game score
24
Pts
14
Reb
3
Ast
WSH · top performer
Shakira Austin
C · #0
14.6Game score
17
Pts
6
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Los Angeles Sparks at Washington Mystics · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
LA9-14
9386
WSH11-12
LA9-14WSH11-12
LA
9-14
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 33 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | +8 | |
| 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | |
| 35 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | |
| 32 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +1 | |
| 29 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +13 | |
| Team | 93 | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 16 | ||
| DNP: E. Cannon, C. Brink | ||||||||
WSH
11-12
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | |
| 28 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -16 | |
| 33 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -10 | |
USG%.28786 AST/TO1.857 TS%.54843 | ||||||||
| 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | |
| 30 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +6 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +7 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
| 18 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | |
| Team | 86 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 15 | ||
| DNP: E. Engstler, G. Amoore | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
51
FG %
49
24
Ast
22
Season series
LA wins series 3-1
Jul 16WSH80@LA99
WSH80@LA99Jul 22LA93@WSH86today
LA93@WSH86todayAug 17LA86@WSH95
LA86@WSH95Sep 1WSH78@LA81
WSH78@LA81Headlines · top performers
Game flowLA ↔ WSH
Biggest swing: 14pp · 4th Quarter · 5:02
LAD. Hamby
FGame leader · 33 min
24 PTS · 14 REB · 3 AST
WSHS. Austin
CGame leader · 28 min
17 PTS · 6 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
LA beat WSH 93-86. D. Hamby led with 24 PTS, 14 REB, 3 AST. LA outscored the other side 24-9 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
WSH vs LA
Starters vs bench
production by unitLAstarters 86% of ptsStarters(5)
80 PTS · 29 REB · 19 AST
GS 66
Bench(4)
13 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST
GS 7
WSHstarters 73% of ptsStarters(5)
63 PTS · 19 REB · 18 AST
GS 50
Bench(4)
23 PTS · 7 REB · 4 AST
GS 20
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactWSH4th Quarter · 9:49 · 67-67
+13pp→ 64% WP
Rae Burrell · shooting foul
LA4th Quarter · 6:09 · 74-73
+12pp→ 67% WP
Stefanie Dolson · shooting foul
LA4th Quarter · 5:02 · 76-75
+14pp→ 70% WP
Stefanie Dolson · shooting foul
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 16 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 93 |
| WSH | 26 | 9 | 32 | 19 | 86 |
Period scoring
LA won 2 · WSH won 2
16
26
Q1
Hamby 3
Austin 6
24
9
Q2
Hamby 8
Iriafen 3
27
32
Q3
Jackson 10
Sykes 7
26
19
Q4
Hamby 10
Citron 7
LA
WSH
Shooting comparison
LA
WSH
51%
35-68
FG
49%
30-61
42%
13-31
3PT
50%
7-14
71%
10-14
FT
76%
19-25
Play-by-play · 377 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LA 93·WSH 86
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LA 93·WSH 86
- Q4·9.0
Brittney Sykes makes 26-foot three point jumper (Sonia Citron assists)
·
LA 93·WSH 86
- Q4·12.2
Mystics offensive team rebound
LA 93·WSH 83
- Q4·12.2
Dearica Hamby blocks Sonia Citron 's 3-foot two point shot
·
LA 93·WSH 83
- Q4·16.1
Kelsey Plum bad pass (Sonia Citron steals)
·
LA 93·WSH 83
- Q4·37.1
Sonia Citron makes 23-foot three point jumper (Shakira Austin assists)
·
LA 93·WSH 83
- Q4·48.1
Kelsey Plum makes 26-foot three pointer
LA 93·WSH 80
- Q4·59.0
Dearica Hamby offensive rebound
LA 90·WSH 80
- Q4·1:00
Julie Allemand misses driving layup
LA 90·WSH 80
- Q4·1:26
Shakira Austin makes layup (Brittney Sykes assists)
·
LA 90·WSH 80
- Q4·1:34
Sug Sutton offensive rebound
LA 90·WSH 78
- Q4·1:37
Shakira Austin misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
LA 90·WSH 78
- Q4·1:54
Dearica Hamby makes 13-foot jumper (Rickea Jackson assists)
·
LA 90·WSH 78
−0.6pp
- Q4·2:13
Brittney Sykes out of bounds bad pass turnover
LA 88·WSH 78
−1pp
- Q4·2:29
Kiki Iriafen enters the game for Stefanie Dolson
·
LA 88·WSH 78
- Q4·2:29
Mystics Full timeout
LA 88·WSH 78
- Q4·2:29
Rickea Jackson makes 26-foot three pointer (Dearica Hamby assists)
·
LA 88·WSH 78
−3pp
- Q4·2:46
Kelsey Plum defensive rebound
LA 85·WSH 78
−0.9pp
- Q4·2:46
Brittney Sykes misses driving layup
LA 85·WSH 78
−3pp
- Q4·2:48
Brittney Sykes offensive rebound
LA 85·WSH 78
+3pp
- Q4·2:50
Sonia Citron misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
LA 85·WSH 78
−3pp
- Q4·3:04
Dearica Hamby makes two point shot (Kelsey Plum assists)
·
LA 85·WSH 78
−4pp
- Q4·3:10
Sug Sutton lost ball turnover (Kelsey Plum steals)
·
LA 83·WSH 78
−5pp
- Q4·3:23
Sug Sutton offensive rebound
LA 83·WSH 78
+3pp
- Q4·3:26
Brittney Sykes misses 24-foot three point jumper
LA 83·WSH 78
−4pp
- Q4·3:43
Dearica Hamby makes driving layup (Kelsey Plum assists)BIG MOMENT
·
LA 83·WSH 78
−7pp
- Q4·4:03
Stefanie Dolson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Sonia Citron assists)BIG MOMENT
·
LA 81·WSH 78
+10pp
- Q4·4:27
Julie Allemand makes free throw 1 of 1
LA 81·WSH 75
+3pp
- Q4·4:27
Mystics Full timeout
LA 80·WSH 75
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
WSH
Home
35-68
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
30-61
51
FG %
49
13-31
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
7-14
10-14
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
19-25
24
Assists
22
16
Turnovers
15
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 16 players in cohort
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28786
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WSH win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
WSH vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Shakira AustinWSH17.1± 6.1low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
Rebounds
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.6± 5.6low
- Shakira AustinWSH8.7± 4.7low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
- Georgia AmooreWSH3.6± 2.4low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Shakira AustinWSH1.1± 1.6low
- Angela DugalicWSH0.6± 0.7low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
- Rori HarmonWSH1.4± 1.7low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
LA
league avg
WSH
50.7%
FG%
◀
44.7
45.7%
34.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
28.0%
91.6
PPG
◀
85.4
83.4
21.1
Assists / G
◀
18.0
18.7
16.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶15.6