May 30, 25sim 95
1885
5(H)83
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+6SEA
DAL
1-7
7783
SEA
4-4
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
eattle Storm held off Dallas Wings, 83–77.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Myisha Hines-Allen
F · #2
16.8Game score
16
Pts
12
Reb
3
Ast
SEA · top performer
Gabby Williams
F · #5
16.2Game score
18
Pts
3
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Seattle Storm · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL1-7
7783
SEA4-4
DAL1-7SEA4-4
DAL
1-7
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 23 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | |
| 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | |
| 30 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | |
| 34 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 38 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | |
| 22 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -9 | |
| 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | |
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -10 | |
| Team | 77 | 48 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 14 | ||
| DNP: T. Harris, P. Bueckers | ||||||||
SEA
4-4
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -17 | |
| 31 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10 | |
| 31 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 30 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +15 | |
| 33 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | +3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -11 | |
| 24 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +18 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +10 | |
| Team | 83 | 31 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 16 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson, L. Brown | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
35
FG %
48
18
Ast
22
Season series
SEA wins series 3-1
May 20SEA79@DAL71
SEA79@DAL71Jun 4DAL77@SEA83today
DAL77@SEA83todayJul 23DAL87@SEA63
DAL87@SEA63Aug 22SEA95@DAL60
SEA95@DAL60Headlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ SEA
Biggest swing: 14pp · 4th Quarter · 6:07
DALM. Hines-Allen
FGame leader · 23 min
16 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST
SEAG. Williams
FGame leader · 31 min
18 PTS · 3 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
SEA beat DAL 83-77. G. Williams led with 18 PTS, 3 REB, 4 AST.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
SEA vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 82% of ptsStarters(5)
63 PTS · 36 REB · 13 AST
GS 40
Bench(5)
14 PTS · 12 REB · 5 AST
GS 10
SEAstarters 64% of ptsStarters(5)
53 PTS · 22 REB · 14 AST
GS 39
Bench(4)
30 PTS · 9 REB · 8 AST
GS 26
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL4th Quarter · 8:03 · 59-56
+10pp→ 78% WP
Skylar Diggins · shooting foul
SEA4th Quarter · 6:07 · 61-63
+14pp→ 59% WP
Gabby Williams · makes 23-foot three point shot (Erica Wheeler assists)
SEA4th Quarter · 4:55 · 61-66
+13pp→ 82% WP
Arike Ogunbowale · misses 21-foot pullup jump shot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 20 | 18 | 17 | 22 | 77 |
| SEA | 19 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 83 |
Period scoring
DAL won 2 · SEA won 2
20
19
Q1
Hines-Allen 5
Williams 6
18
11
Q2
Carrington 12
Cooke 4
17
24
Q3
Carrington 6
Ogwumike 7
22
29
Q4
Hines-Allen 6
Williams 9
DAL
SEA
Shooting comparison
DAL
SEA
35%
30-86
FG
48%
30-62
25%
5-20
3PT
40%
8-20
67%
12-18
FT
71%
15-21
Play-by-play · 424 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·1.1
Wings offensive team rebound
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·1.1
DiJonai Carrington misses running pullup jump shot
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·4.1
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·6.1
Skylar Diggins misses free throw 2 of 2
DAL 77·SEA 83
−0.5pp
- Q4·6.1
Skylar Diggins makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 77·SEA 83
- Q4·6.1
Maddy Siegrist personal foul
DAL 77·SEA 82
+0.5pp
- Q4·9.0
Arike Ogunbowale makes 5-foot two point shot
DAL 77·SEA 82
- Q4·12.1
Nneka Ogwumike lost ball turnover (Arike Ogunbowale steals)
·
DAL 75·SEA 82
- Q4·13.1
Nneka Ogwumike defensive rebound
DAL 75·SEA 82
- Q4·14.0
Myisha Hines-Allen misses two point shot
DAL 75·SEA 82
+0.7pp
- Q4·18.1
Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 75·SEA 82
−0.6pp
- Q4·18.1
Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 75·SEA 81
- Q4·18.1
Kaila Charles personal foul
DAL 75·SEA 80
+2pp
- Q4·20.0
Kaila Charles makes layup (DiJonai Carrington assists)
·
DAL 75·SEA 80
−0.9pp
- Q4·24.1
Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
DAL 73·SEA 80
−0.7pp
- Q4·24.1
Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
DAL 73·SEA 79
- Q4·24.1
Myisha Hines-Allen personal foul
DAL 73·SEA 78
+2pp
- Q4·25.1
Myisha Hines-Allen makes two point shot
DAL 73·SEA 78
−2pp
- Q4·27.1
Myisha Hines-Allen offensive rebound
DAL 71·SEA 78
−0.8pp
- Q4·28.1
Myisha Hines-Allen misses driving layup
DAL 71·SEA 78
+1pp
- Q4·29.0
Myisha Hines-Allen offensive rebound
DAL 71·SEA 78
−0.8pp
- Q4·32.2
Arike Ogunbowale misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 71·SEA 78
- Q4·36.2
Maddy Siegrist enters the game for JJ Quinerly
·
DAL 71·SEA 78
+1pp
- Q4·36.2
Wings timeout
DAL 71·SEA 78
- Q4·36.2
Gabby Williams out of bounds bad pass turnover
DAL 71·SEA 78
−1pp
- Q4·36.2
JJ Quinerly enters the game for Aziaha James
·
DAL 71·SEA 78
- Q4·36.2
Kaila Charles enters the game for Maddy Siegrist
·
DAL 71·SEA 78
- Q4·36.2
Storm Full timeout
DAL 71·SEA 78
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
30-86
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
30-62
35
FG %
48
5-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-20
12-18
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-21
18
Assists
22
14
Turnovers
16
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
SEA vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
100
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
- Dominique MalongaSEA13.6± 9.4low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
- Mackenzie HolmesSEA5.0± 3.8low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
Blocks
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Jade MelbourneSEA1.2± 1.2low
- Alanna SmithDAL1.0± 1.2low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
SEA
46.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.6%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
34.1%
88.9
PPG
◀
85.4
79.5
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.0
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
13.6