Jul 9, 25sim 98
1778
9(H)87
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+5WSH
WSH
11-10
7469
SEA
13-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ashington Mystics went into Seattle Storm and beat them, 74–69.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Brittney Sykes
G · #20
14.5Game score
19
Pts
4
Reb
4
Ast
SEA · top performer
Ezi Magbegor
F · #13
18.3Game score
19
Pts
7
Reb
1
Ast
WNBA · Washington Mystics at Seattle Storm · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
WSH11-10
7469
SEA13-9
WSH11-10SEA13-9
WSH
11-10
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +14 | |
| 23 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | |
| 33 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9 | |
USG%.28780 ORB%.03740 DRB%.12540 | ||||||||
| 26 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +9 | |
| 36 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | |
| 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3 | |
| 26 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -2 | |
| Team | 74 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 15 | ||
| DNP: S. Kone, L. Olsen, G. Amoore | ||||||||
SEA
13-9
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 28 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -16 | |
| 33 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 36 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | |
| 35 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | |
| 27 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | |
| 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 23 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -3 | |
| Team | 69 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 15 | ||
| DNP: K. Samuelson, M. Holmes, L. Brown | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
44
FG %
36
19
Ast
13
Season series
WSH wins series 2-1
Jul 13WSH74@SEA69today
WSH74@SEA69todayJul 26SEA58@WSH69
SEA58@WSH69Aug 24SEA84@WSH82
SEA84@WSH82Headlines · top performers
Game flowWSH ↔ SEA
Biggest swing: 22pp · 2nd Quarter · 2:01
WSHB. Sykes
GGame leader · 33 min
19 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
SEAE. Magbegor
FGame leader · 36 min
19 PTS · 7 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
WSH beat SEA 74-69. B. Sykes led with 19 PTS, 4 REB, 4 AST. WSH outscored the other side 27-14 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
SEA vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
57 PTS · 23 REB · 14 AST
GS 36
Bench(4)
17 PTS · 13 REB · 5 AST
GS 15
SEAstarters 83% of ptsStarters(5)
57 PTS · 24 REB · 11 AST
GS 31
Bench(4)
12 PTS · 5 REB · 2 AST
GS 5
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactWSH3rd Quarter · 8:57 · 34-30
+22pp→ 54% WP
Nneka Ogwumike · misses layup
SEA2nd Quarter · 2:01 · 26-28
+22pp→ 70% WP
Kiki Iriafen · enters the game for Stefanie Dolson
WSH4th Quarter · 20.1 · 72-69
+17pp→ 75% WP
Brittney Sykes · makes driving layup
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 16 | 15 | 16 | 27 | 74 |
| SEA | 10 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 69 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · SEA won 2
16
10
Q1
Iriafen 6
Ogwumike 6
15
18
Q2
Sykes 4
Magbegor 9
16
27
Q3
Citron 4
Ogwumike 6
27
14
Q4
Sykes 10
Ogwumike 6
WSH
SEA
Shooting comparison
WSH
SEA
44%
28-63
FG
36%
25-69
21%
3-14
3PT
37%
7-19
68%
15-22
FT
86%
12-14
Play-by-play · 408 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 74·SEA 69
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 74·SEA 69
- Q4·5.1
Erica Wheeler bad pass (Shakira Austin steals)
·
WSH 74·SEA 69
−3pp
- Q4·13.0
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 74·SEA 69
+1pp
- Q4·13.0
Shakira Austin enters the game for Stefanie Dolson
·
WSH 73·SEA 69
- Q4·13.0
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 73·SEA 69
−0.6pp
- Q4·13.0
Erica Wheeler personal take foul
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·13.2
Erica Wheeler enters the game for Gabby Williams
·
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·13.2
Ezi Magbegor personal take foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 72·SEA 69
−9pp
- Q4·17.0
Stefanie Dolson enters the game for Shakira Austin
·
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·17.0
Tiffany Mitchell enters the game for Erica Wheeler
·
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·17.0
Mystics timeout
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·17.0
Skylar Diggins steps out of bounds turnoverBIG MOMENT
WSH 72·SEA 69
−14pp
- Q4·20.1
Erica Wheeler enters the game for Tiffany Mitchell
·
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·20.1
Storm Full timeout
WSH 72·SEA 69
- Q4·20.1
Brittney Sykes makes driving layupBIG MOMENT
WSH 72·SEA 69
−17pp
- Q4·40.1
Tiffany Mitchell enters the game for Erica Wheeler
·
WSH 70·SEA 69
- Q4·40.1
Mystics Full timeout
WSH 70·SEA 69
- Q4·40.1
Nneka Ogwumike makes driving layup (Skylar Diggins assists)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 70·SEA 69
+9pp
- Q4·44.0
Erica Wheeler enters the game for Tiffany Mitchell
·
WSH 70·SEA 67
- Q4·44.0
Storm timeout
WSH 70·SEA 67
- Q4·44.0
Shakira Austin travelingBIG MOMENT
WSH 70·SEA 67
+12pp
- Q4·54.1
Kiki Iriafen defensive rebound
WSH 70·SEA 67
−4pp
- Q4·57.2
Nneka Ogwumike misses 6-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
WSH 70·SEA 67
−10pp
- Q4·1:10
Storm Full timeout
WSH 70·SEA 67
- Q4·1:10
Sonia Citron out of bounds lost ball turnoverBIG MOMENT
WSH 70·SEA 67
+12pp
- Q4·1:13
Nneka Ogwumike lost ball turnover (Brittney Sykes steals)BIG MOMENT
·
WSH 70·SEA 67
−12pp
- Q4·1:23
Storm offensive team rebound
WSH 70·SEA 67
- Q4·1:23
Shakira Austin vs. Ezi Magbegor (Skylar Diggins gains possession)BIG MOMENT
· ·
WSH 70·SEA 67
+8pp
- Q4·1:27
Skylar Diggins misses 17-foot pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
WSH 70·SEA 67
−8pp
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
28-63
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
25-69
44
FG %
36
3-14
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
7-19
15-22
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
12-14
19
Assists
13
15
Turnovers
15
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort- Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28780
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
SEA vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Shakira AustinWSH17.1± 6.1low
- Sonia CitronWSH15.8± 11.7low
- Kiki IriafenWSH14.5± 7.1low
Rebounds
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.6± 5.6low
- Shakira AustinWSH8.7± 4.7low
- Dominique MalongaSEA7.6± 3.0low
Assists
- Jade MelbourneSEA3.9± 2.1low
- Natisha HiedemanSEA3.7± 2.2low
- Georgia AmooreWSH3.6± 2.4low
Blocks
- Dominique MalongaSEA1.4± 1.5low
- Flau'jae JohnsonSEA1.3± 1.8low
- Shakira AustinWSH1.1± 1.6low
Steals
- Rori HarmonWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Jade MelbourneSEA1.2± 1.2low
- Angela DugalicWSH1.2± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
WSH
league avg
SEA
44.8%
FG%
◀
44.9
41.6%
28.8%
3PT %
33.0
▶34.1%
82.8
PPG
◀
86.0
79.5
17.5
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.0
15.7
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶13.6