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FINAL+31SEA
SEA

SEA

7-5

9867
LA

LA

4-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBATue, Jun 17FinalSeriesLA wins series 3-1

Recap · WNBA

eattle Storm went into Los Angeles Sparks and beat them, 98–67. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WNBA · Seattle Storm at Los Angeles Sparks · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
98
67
SEA7-5LA4-9
SEA

SEA

7-5

98
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
272652300+31
291147801+34
16235063+3
291537011+35
281532102+9
191422000+27
137311010
21321101+11
14512101+4
Team98272915710
LA

LA

4-9

67
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
25873205-20
2416101312-11
361722204-32
24643003-5
341271002-31
16281001-20
11011032-14
10601000+1
16011003-26
Team6742147422
DNP: O. Sims, J. Allemand

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

52

FG %

33

29

Ast

14

Season series

LA wins series 3-1

Jun 18SEASEA98@LALA67today
Aug 2LALA108@SEASEA106
Aug 11SEASEA91@LALA94
Sep 2LALA91@SEASEA85

Headlines · top performers

Game flowSEA LA

Biggest swing: 29pp · 1st Quarter · 10.1

SEASEA
N. Ogwumike

N. Ogwumike

F

Game leader · 27 min

26 PTS · 5 REB · 2 AST

LALA
A. Stevens

A. Stevens

F

Game leader · 24 min

16 PTS · 10 REB · 1 AST

How it ended

SEA beat LA 98-67. N. Ogwumike paced them with 26 PTS, 5 REB, 2 AST. SEA outscored the other side 28-14 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

LA vs SEA

0255075100Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
SEASEAstarters 70% of pts

Starters(5)

69 PTS · 18 REB · 23 AST

GS 73

Bench(5)

29 PTS · 9 REB · 6 AST

GS 18

LALAstarters 88% of pts

Starters(5)

59 PTS · 30 REB · 10 AST

GS 37

Bench(5)

8 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST

GS 3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
SEA1st Quarter · 10.1 · 26-19
+29pp77% WP

Emma Cannon · enters the game for Rickea Jackson

LA2nd Quarter · 7:42 · 28-25
+7pp38% WP

Liatu King · makes free throw flagrant 1 of 2

SEA2nd Quarter · 1:26 · 45-37
+8pp80% WP

Alysha Clark · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Nneka Ogwumike assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
SEA2621282398
LA1918141667

Period scoring

SEA won 4 · LA won 0

26
19

Q1

Wheeler 7

Barker 6

21
18

Q2

Ogwumike 8

Jackson 7

28
14

Q3

Ogwumike 10

Jackson 7

23
16

Q4

Malonga 5

Diggins 5

SEA
LA

Shooting comparison

SEA
LA

52%

39-75

FG

33%

21-64

43%

13-30

3PT

27%

6-22

70%

7-10

FT

83%

19-23

Play-by-play · 395 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    SEA 98·LA 67

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    SEA 98·LA 67

  3. Q4·21.0

    Emma Cannon turnover

    SEA 98·LA 67

  4. Q4·21.0

    Emma Cannon offensive foul

    SEA 98·LA 67

  5. Q4·32.1

    Emma Cannon defensive rebound

    SEA 98·LA 67

  6. Q4·36.1

    Zia Cooke misses 25-foot three point shot

    SEA 98·LA 67

  7. Q4·42.1

    Mackenzie Holmes defensive rebound

    SEA 98·LA 67

  8. Q4·44.1

    Shey Peddy misses free throw 2 of 2

    SEA 98·LA 67

  9. Q4·44.1

    Shey Peddy makes free throw 1 of 2

    SEA 98·LA 67

  10. Q4·44.1

    Lexie Brown personal foul

    SEA 98·LA 66

  11. Q4·44.1

    Emma Cannon defensive rebound

    SEA 98·LA 66

  12. Q4·46.1

    Sania Feagin blocks Zia Cooke 's 3-foot layup

    ·

    SEA 98·LA 66

  13. Q4·1:00

    Storm defensive team rebound

    SEA 98·LA 66

  14. Q4·1:01

    Sania Feagin misses 24-foot three point jumper

    SEA 98·LA 66

  15. Q4·1:10

    Emma Cannon defensive rebound

    SEA 98·LA 66

  16. Q4·1:14

    Dominique Malonga misses 25-foot three point jumper

    SEA 98·LA 66

  17. Q4·1:22

    Sarah Ashlee Barker makes 24-foot three point jumper (Emma Cannon assists)

    ·

    SEA 98·LA 66

  18. Q4·1:33

    Erica Wheeler makes 5-foot two point shot

    SEA 98·LA 63

  19. Q4·1:47

    shot clock turnover

    SEA 96·LA 63

  20. Q4·2:15

    Erica Wheeler makes 25-foot three point jumper (Zia Cooke assists)

    ·

    SEA 96·LA 63

  21. Q4·2:37

    Dominique Malonga defensive rebound

    SEA 93·LA 63

  22. Q4·2:40

    Sania Feagin misses driving layup

    SEA 93·LA 63

  23. Q4·2:58

    Zia Cooke makes 24-foot three point jumper (Dominique Malonga assists)

    ·

    SEA 93·LA 63

  24. Q4·3:00

    Dominique Malonga offensive rebound

    SEA 90·LA 63

  25. Q4·3:04

    Dominique Malonga misses free throw 2 of 2

    SEA 90·LA 63

  26. Q4·3:04

    Sarah Ashlee Barker enters the game for Rickea Jackson

    ·

    SEA 90·LA 63

  27. Q4·3:04

    Dominique Malonga makes free throw 1 of 2

    SEA 90·LA 63

  28. Q4·3:04

    Sania Feagin shooting foul

    SEA 89·LA 63

  29. Q4·3:13

    Rickea Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2

    SEA 89·LA 63

  30. Q4·3:13

    Sania Feagin enters the game for Azura Stevens

    ·

    SEA 89·LA 62

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

LA

Home

39-75

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

21-64

52

FG %

33

13-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-22

7-10

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

19-23

29

Assists

14

10

Turnovers

22

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · SEA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(LA win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LA vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

100

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Kelsey PlumLA
    24.5± 10.4low
  • Nneka OgwumikeLA
    16.4± 5.3low
  • Dearica HambyLA
    16.0± 8.0low

Rebounds

  • Dominique MalongaSEA
    7.6± 3.0low
  • Dearica HambyLA
    6.9± 5.0low
  • Nneka OgwumikeLA
    6.9± 3.6low

Assists

  • Kelsey PlumLA
    5.5± 3.9low
  • Erica WheelerLA
    5.1± 3.3low
  • Jade MelbourneSEA
    3.9± 2.1low

Blocks

  • Cameron BrinkLA
    1.6± 1.4low
  • Dominique MalongaSEA
    1.4± 1.5low
  • Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
    1.3± 1.8low

Steals

  • Ariel AtkinsLA
    1.7± 1.7low
  • Dearica HambyLA
    1.4± 1.9low
  • Erica WheelerLA
    1.2± 1.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

SEA

SEA

league avg

LA

LA

41.6%

FG%

44.7

50.7%

34.1%

3PT %

32.6

34.3%

79.5

PPG

85.4

91.6

17.0

Assists / G

18.0

21.1

13.6

Turnovers / G

13.0

16.4

Data via ESPN · wehoop