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FINAL+7WSH
WSH

WSH

5-7

7972
CHI

CHI

3-8

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBATue, Jun 17FinalSeriesWSH wins series 3-1

Recap · WNBA

ashington Mystics went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 79–72.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

WNBA · Washington Mystics at Chicago Sky · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
79
72
WSH5-7CHI3-8
WSH

WSH

5-7

79
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
27861104+12
27992244+23
363225303+13
20706200+2
361393302+21
12621111-6
13201100-15
24242102-8
Team79322114516
DNP: E. Engstler, S. Kone, G. Amoore
CHI

CHI

3-8

72
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
3517105117-7
2918101112+5
21754204+5
15301100-4
341027242-7
11610002-10
13601000-11
15011300-4
26521005-2
Team72312110622
DNP: M. Westbeld, C. Vandersloot, M. Jefferson

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

45

FG %

49

21

Ast

21

Season series

WSH wins series 3-1

Jun 18WSHWSH79@CHICHI72today
Jul 8CHICHI79@WSHWSH81
Jul 29CHICHI86@WSHWSH103
Aug 6WSHWSH64@CHICHI78

Headlines · top performers

Game flowWSH CHI

Biggest swing: 17pp · 4th Quarter · 3:15

WSHWSH
B. Sykes

B. Sykes

G

Game leader · 36 min30+ point game

32 PTS · 2 REB · 5 AST

CHICHI
K. Cardoso

K. Cardoso

C

Game leader · 29 min

18 PTS · 10 REB · 1 AST

How it ended

WSH beat CHI 79-72. B. Sykes paced them with 32 PTS, 2 REB, 5 AST. CHI outscored the other side 26-11 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CHI vs WSH

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
WSHWSHstarters 87% of pts

Starters(5)

69 PTS · 26 REB · 17 AST

GS 60

Bench(4)

10 PTS · 6 REB · 4 AST

GS 6

CHICHIstarters 76% of pts

Starters(5)

55 PTS · 27 REB · 18 AST

GS 48

Bench(4)

17 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST

GS 3

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
CHI4th Quarter · 4:04 · 69-66
+15pp38% WP

Aaliyah Edwards · shooting foul

CHI4th Quarter · 3:15 · 71-69
+17pp45% WP

Brittney Sykes · shooting foul

WSH4th Quarter · 2:17 · 73-70
+14pp88% WP

Angel Reese · shooting foul

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
WSH1121242379
CHI2618121672

Period scoring

WSH won 3 · CHI won 1

11
26

Q1

Sykes 4

Allen 7

21
18

Q2

Sykes 8

Reese 6

24
12

Q3

Sykes 9

Atkins 4

23
16

Q4

Sykes 11

Reese 5

WSH
CHI

Shooting comparison

WSH
CHI

45%

29-64

FG

49%

30-61

47%

7-15

3PT

30%

3-10

64%

14-22

FT

69%

9-13

Play-by-play · 395 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  3. Q4·7.0

    Sonia Citron defensive rebound

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  4. Q4·8.2

    Ariel Atkins misses 14-foot jumper

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  5. Q4·12.0

    Sky offensive team rebound

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  6. Q4·12.0

    Ariel Atkins misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  7. Q4·18.0

    Sky timeout

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  8. Q4·18.0

    Sonia Citron makes free throw 2 of 2

    WSH 79·CHI 72

  9. Q4·18.0

    Sonia Citron makes free throw 1 of 2

    WSH 78·CHI 72

  10. Q4·18.0

    Michaela Onyenwere personal foul

    WSH 77·CHI 72

    0.5pp

  11. Q4·18.0

    Sonia Citron defensive rebound

    WSH 77·CHI 72

  12. Q4·21.0

    Shakira Austin blocks Kamilla Cardoso 's 5-foot driving floating jump shot

    ·

    WSH 77·CHI 72

    1pp

  13. Q4·26.0

    Sky Full timeout

    WSH 77·CHI 72

  14. Q4·26.0

    Kiki Iriafen makes two point shot

    WSH 77·CHI 72

    2pp

  15. Q4·26.0

    Kiki Iriafen offensive rebound

    WSH 75·CHI 72

    4pp

  16. Q4·28.0

    Brittney Sykes misses driving floating jump shot

    WSH 75·CHI 72

    +3pp

  17. Q4·37.1

    Brittney Sykes offensive rebound

    WSH 75·CHI 72

    5pp

  18. Q4·39.1

    Jade Melbourne misses two point shot

    WSH 75·CHI 72

    +2pp

  19. Q4·1:01

    Kamilla Cardoso makes layup (Ariel Atkins assists)

    ·

    WSH 75·CHI 72

    +1pp

  20. Q4·1:17

    Rachel Banham enters the game for Hailey Van Lith

    ·

    WSH 75·CHI 70

  21. Q4·1:17

    Sky Full timeout

    WSH 75·CHI 70

  22. Q4·1:17

    Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound

    WSH 75·CHI 70

  23. Q4·1:18

    Brittney Sykes misses free throw 2 of 2

    WSH 75·CHI 70

    +4pp

  24. Q4·1:18

    Brittney Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2

    WSH 75·CHI 70

  25. Q4·1:18

    Michaela Onyenwere shooting foulBIG MOMENT

    WSH 74·CHI 70

    6pp

  26. Q4·1:40

    Shakira Austin defensive rebound

    WSH 74·CHI 70

    2pp

  27. Q4·1:42

    Angel Reese misses two point shotBIG MOMENT

    WSH 74·CHI 70

    5pp

  28. Q4·1:56

    Jade Melbourne out of bounds bad pass turnover

    WSH 74·CHI 70

    +5pp

  29. Q4·2:05

    Mystics Full timeout

    WSH 74·CHI 70

  30. Q4·2:05

    Angel Reese turnover

    WSH 74·CHI 70

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

29-64

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

30-61

45

FG %

49

7-15

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

3-10

14-22

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

9-13

21

Assists

21

16

Turnovers

22

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 16 players in cohort
  • Brittney SykesTOR · G
    USG%.28786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · WSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

100

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Shakira AustinWSH
    17.1± 6.1low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    16.0± 11.0low
  • Sonia CitronWSH
    15.8± 11.7low

Rebounds

  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    9.6± 5.6low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    8.7± 4.7low
  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    8.5± 5.1low

Assists

  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    5.4± 3.0low
  • Natasha CloudCHI
    4.4± 4.7low
  • Georgia AmooreWSH
    3.6± 2.4low

Blocks

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    1.2± 1.4low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    1.2± 1.6low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    1.1± 1.6low

Steals

  • Rori HarmonWSH
    1.4± 1.7low
  • Aicha CoulibalyCHI
    1.3± 1.2low
  • Angela DugalicWSH
    1.2± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

WSH

WSH

league avg

CHI

CHI

45.7%

FG%

44.7

41.1%

28.0%

3PT %

32.6

25.9%

83.4

PPG

85.4

82.8

18.7

Assists / G

18.0

19.3

15.6

Turnovers / G

13.0

11.0

Data via ESPN · wehoop