Jun 18, 25sim 97
1679
19(H)72
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+11CHI
CHI
2-4
9483
DAL
1-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky went into Dallas Wings and beat them, 94–83.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Ariel Atkins
G · #7
23.7Game score
26
Pts
4
Reb
3
Ast
DAL · top performer
NaLyssa Smith
F · #1
16.1Game score
20
Pts
5
Reb
1
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Dallas Wings · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI2-4
9483
DAL1-6
CHI2-4DAL1-6
CHI
2-4
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 32 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | |
| 15 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | |
| 30 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3 | |
| 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | |
| 26 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +12 | |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +11 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +19 | |
| 10 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| Team | 94 | 39 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 15 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld, M. Jefferson | ||||||||
DAL
1-6
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +4 | |
| 28 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | |
| 31 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8 | |
| 35 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | |
| 32 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -10 | |
| 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9 | |
| 20 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -4 | |
| 11 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -14 | |
| Team | 83 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 14 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
41
FG %
40
20
Ast
15
Season series
CHI wins series 3-0
May 30DAL92@CHI97
DAL92@CHI97Jun 1CHI94@DAL83today
CHI94@DAL83todayJul 10DAL76@CHI87
DAL76@CHI87Headlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ DAL
Biggest swing: 46pp · 3rd Quarter · 9:31
CHIA. Atkins
GGame leader · 26 min
26 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST
DALN. Smith
FGame leader · 28 min
20 PTS · 5 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
CHI beat DAL 94-83. A. Atkins paced them with 26 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST. Sky Full's play in the 3rd quarter drove the biggest swing of the night (46pp).
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DAL vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 74% of ptsStarters(5)
70 PTS · 26 REB · 15 AST
GS 53
Bench(5)
24 PTS · 13 REB · 5 AST
GS 16
DALstarters 76% of ptsStarters(5)
63 PTS · 20 REB · 11 AST
GS 45
Bench(5)
20 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST
GS 16
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL3rd Quarter · 9:31 · 46-43
+23pp→ 55% WP
Ariel Atkins · shooting foul
DAL3rd Quarter · 9:19 · 48-45
+19pp→ 42% WP
Rachel Banham · enters the game for Ariel Atkins
CHI4th Quarter · 6:36 · 73-64
+46pp→ 92% WP
Courtney Vandersloot · enters the game for Hailey Van Lith
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 23 | 23 | 20 | 28 | 94 |
| DAL | 22 | 21 | 16 | 24 | 83 |
Period scoring
CHI won 4 · DAL won 0
23
22
Q1
Atkins 9
Smith 7
23
21
Q2
Vandersloot 5
de 6
20
16
Q3
Reese 6
Carrington 11
28
24
Q4
Atkins 11
Vandersloot 19
CHI
DAL
Shooting comparison
CHI
DAL
41%
30-73
FG
40%
27-67
29%
8-28
3PT
27%
4-15
81%
26-32
FT
76%
25-33
Play-by-play · 456 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 94·DAL 83
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 94·DAL 83
- Q4·17.1
Kaila Charles makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 94·DAL 83
- Q4·17.1
Kaila Charles makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 94·DAL 82
- Q4·17.1
Ariel Atkins shooting foul
CHI 94·DAL 81
- Q4·28.1
Angel Reese steps out of bounds turnover
CHI 94·DAL 81
- Q4·33.1
Kia Nurse offensive rebound
CHI 94·DAL 81
- Q4·35.0
Courtney Vandersloot misses 28-foot three point jumper
CHI 94·DAL 81
- Q4·52.1
Kaila Charles makes 23-foot three point jumper (DiJonai Carrington assists)
·
CHI 94·DAL 81
- Q4·1:09
Angel Reese makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 94·DAL 78
- Q4·1:09
Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 93·DAL 78
- Q4·1:09
Arike Ogunbowale personal foul
CHI 92·DAL 78
- Q4·1:12
Sky timeout
CHI 92·DAL 78
- Q4·1:12
Arike Ogunbowale makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 92·DAL 78
- Q4·1:12
Arike Ogunbowale makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 92·DAL 77
- Q4·1:12
Kia Nurse shooting foul
CHI 92·DAL 76
- Q4·1:29
Ariel Atkins makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 92·DAL 76
- Q4·1:29
Ariel Atkins makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 91·DAL 76
- Q4·1:29
Arike Ogunbowale personal foul
CHI 90·DAL 76
- Q4·1:41
DiJonai Carrington lost ball turnover (Ariel Atkins steals)
·
CHI 90·DAL 76
- Q4·1:53
Wings Full timeout
CHI 90·DAL 76
- Q4·1:53
Ariel Atkins makes 26-foot three point jumper (Courtney Vandersloot assists)
·
CHI 90·DAL 76
- Q4·2:14
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
CHI 87·DAL 76
- Q4·2:16
DiJonai Carrington misses driving floating jump shot
CHI 87·DAL 76
−0.5pp
- Q4·2:22
Courtney Vandersloot makes driving layup (Ariel Atkins assists)
·
CHI 87·DAL 76
−0.8pp
- Q4·2:37
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
CHI 85·DAL 76
- Q4·2:40
NaLyssa Smith misses free throw 2 of 2
CHI 85·DAL 76
−3pp
- Q4·2:40
NaLyssa Smith makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 85·DAL 76
+3pp
- Q4·2:40
(02:40) [Sky] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (CALL STANDS)
CHI 85·DAL 75
−3pp
- Q4·2:40
Courtney Vandersloot loose ball foul
CHI 85·DAL 75
+2pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
DAL
Home
30-73
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
27-67
41
FG %
40
8-28
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-15
26-32
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
25-33
20
Assists
15
15
Turnovers
14
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DAL vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI4.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
DAL
41.1%
FG%
44.7
▶46.6%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
▶37.3%
82.8
PPG
85.4
▶88.9
19.3
Assists / G
18.0
▶23.4
11.0
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶10.3