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FINAL+37WSH
CON

CON

2-7

67104
WSH

WSH

4-6

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASun, Jun 8FinalSeriestied 2-2

Recap · WNBA

ashington Mystics held off Connecticut Sun, 104–67. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CON · top performer

CON
Jacy Sheldon

Jacy Sheldon

G · #4

13.3Game score

15

Pts

1

Reb

1

Ast

WSH · top performer

WSH
Brittney Sykes

Brittney Sykes

G · #20

24.7Game score

28

Pts

3

Reb

6

Ast

WNBA · Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
67
104
CON2-7WSH4-6
CON

CON

2-7

67
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
H. PetersH. Peters★F · #7
14000100-28
T. CharlesT. Charles★C · #31
341791103-21
B. HartleyB. Hartley★G · #14
24613003-23
M. MabreyM. Mabrey★G · #3
301578113-20
S. RiversS. Rivers★G · #22
22202213-34
A. MorrowA. MorrowF · #24
17201112-17
K. DiabyK. DiabyC · #23
15221102-8
J. BrownJ. BrownG · #18
21820001-14
J. SheldonJ. SheldonG · #4
241511110-20
Team6722178417
DNP: O. Nelson-Ododa, R. Marshall, L. Allen
WSH

WSH

4-6

104
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
K. IriafenK. Iriafen★F · #44
261252102+26
S. DolsonS. Dolson★C · #31
13030001+4
B. SykesB. Sykes★G · #20
292836002+25
S. SuttonS. Sutton★G · #1
201014203+18
S. CitronS. Citron★G · #22
271134202+19
E. EngstlerE. EngstlerF · #21
18292101+11
A. EdwardsA. EdwardsF · #24
201371100+19
S. AustinS. AustinC · #0
161450003+14
L. OlsenL. OlsenG · #33
11513000+24
J. MelbourneJ. MelbourneG · #5
15512101+14
Team10442248015
DNP: G. Amoore

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

39

FG %

57

17

Ast

24

Season series

Series tied 2-2

May 18WSHWSH90@CONCON85
Jun 8CONCON67@WSHWSH104today
Aug 19CONCON80@WSHWSH69
Aug 21WSHWSH56@CONCON67

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCON ↔ WSH
CONCON
J. Sheldon

J. Sheldon

G

Game leader · 24 min

15 PTS · 1 REB · 1 AST

WSHWSH
B. Sykes

B. Sykes

G

Game leader · 29 min

28 PTS · 3 REB · 6 AST

How it ended

WSH beat CON 104-67. B. Sykes paced them with 28 PTS, 3 REB, 6 AST. WSH outscored the other side 26-14 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

WSH vs CON

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CONCONstarters 60% of pts

Starters(5)

40 PTS · 17 REB · 14 AST

GS 18

Bench(4)

27 PTS · 5 REB · 3 AST

GS 16

WSHWSHstarters 59% of pts

Starters(5)

61 PTS · 15 REB · 16 AST

GS 51

Bench(6)

43 PTS · 27 REB · 8 AST

GS 40

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CON2115171467
WSH28222826104

Period scoring

CON won 0 · WSH won 4

21
28

Q1

Charles 9

Iriafen 8

15
22

Q2

Mabrey 7

Edwards 5

17
28

Q3

Sheldon 9

Sykes 17

14
26

Q4

Charles 4

Kone 16

CON
WSH

Shooting comparison

CON
WSH

39%

26-66

FG

57%

36-63

29%

7-24

3PT

33%

6-18

89%

8-9

FT

70%

26-37

Play-by-play · 417 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CON 67·WSH 104

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CON 67·WSH 104

  3. Q4·2.1

    Jaelyn Brown bad pass (Emily Engstler steals)

    ·

    CON 67·WSH 104

  4. Q4·19.0

    Sika Kone makes free throw 2 of 2

    CON 67·WSH 104

  5. Q4·19.0

    Sika Kone makes free throw 1 of 2

    CON 67·WSH 103

  6. Q4·19.0

    Kariata Diaby loose ball foul

    CON 67·WSH 102

  7. Q4·19.0

    Mystics delay of game violation

    CON 67·WSH 102

  8. Q4·19.1

    Mystics offensive team rebound

    CON 67·WSH 102

  9. Q4·19.1

    Aaliyah Edwards misses free throw 2 of 2

    CON 67·WSH 102

  10. Q4·19.1

    Mystics offensive team rebound

    CON 67·WSH 102

  11. Q4·19.1

    Aaliyah Edwards misses free throw 1 of 2

    CON 67·WSH 102

  12. Q4·19.1

    Jaelyn Brown personal foul

    CON 67·WSH 102

  13. Q4·36.1

    Emily Engstler turnover

    CON 67·WSH 102

  14. Q4·36.1

    Emily Engstler loose ball foul

    CON 67·WSH 102

  15. Q4·36.1

    Kariata Diaby makes free throw 1 of 1

    CON 67·WSH 102

  16. Q4·37.0

    Jacy Sheldon makes 18-foot pullup jump shot

    CON 66·WSH 102

  17. Q4·48.1

    Sug Sutton makes layup (Emily Engstler assists)

    ·

    CON 64·WSH 102

  18. Q4·52.2

    Aaliyah Edwards offensive rebound

    CON 64·WSH 100

  19. Q4·55.1

    Aneesah Morrow blocks Aaliyah Edwards 's 6-foot layup

    ·

    CON 64·WSH 100

  20. Q4·1:12

    Emily Engstler defensive rebound

    CON 64·WSH 100

  21. Q4·1:13

    Aneesah Morrow misses 20-foot pullup jump shot

    CON 64·WSH 100

  22. Q4·1:24

    Sika Kone makes two point shot

    CON 64·WSH 100

  23. Q4·1:26

    Sika Kone offensive rebound

    CON 64·WSH 98

  24. Q4·1:29

    Sika Kone misses 2-foot tip shot

    CON 64·WSH 98

  25. Q4·1:29

    Sika Kone offensive rebound

    CON 64·WSH 98

  26. Q4·1:31

    Aaliyah Edwards misses 21-foot jumper

    CON 64·WSH 98

  27. Q4·1:37

    Saniya Rivers personal foul

    CON 64·WSH 98

  28. Q4·1:55

    Kariata Diaby traveling

    CON 64·WSH 98

  29. Q4·2:05

    Jaelyn Brown defensive rebound

    CON 64·WSH 98

  30. Q4·2:08

    Emily Engstler misses 9-foot two point shot

    CON 64·WSH 98

Team stats

CON

Away

Stat

WSH

Home

26-66

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

36-63

39

FG %

57

7-24

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

6-18

8-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

26-37

17

Assists

24

17

Turnovers

15

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 11 players in cohort
  • Brittney SykesTOR · G
    USG%.28786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · CON favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(WSH win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

WSH vs CON.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

110

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Shakira AustinWSH
    17.1± 6.1low
  • Sonia CitronWSH
    15.8± 11.7low
  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    14.5± 7.1low

Rebounds

  • Kiki IriafenWSH
    9.6± 5.6low
  • Aneesah MorrowCON
    9.4± 5.2low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    8.7± 4.7low

Assists

  • Saniya RiversCON
    3.7± 2.9low
  • Georgia AmooreWSH
    3.6± 2.4low
  • Shakira AustinWSH
    2.9± 2.6low

Blocks

  • Shakira AustinWSH
    1.1± 1.6low
  • Kennedy BurkeCON
    0.9± 0.8low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    0.6± 1.2low

Steals

  • Ashlon JacksonCON
    1.6± 1.5low
  • Rori HarmonWSH
    1.4± 1.7low
  • Angela DugalicWSH
    1.2± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CON

CON

league avg

WSH

WSH

40.7%

FG%

44.7

▶

45.7%

26.0%

3PT %

32.6

▶

28.0%

74.7

PPG

85.4

▶

83.4

17.9

Assists / G

18.0

▶

18.7

14.8

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

15.6

Data via ESPN · wehoop