May 27, 25sim 95
3109
18(H)87
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+5CHI
DAL
1-5
9297
CHI
1-4
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky held off Dallas Wings, 97–92.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Arike Ogunbowale
G · #24
30.1Game score
37
Pts
5
Reb
7
Ast
CHI · top performer
Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
20.2Game score
23
Pts
8
Reb
1
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL1-5
9297
CHI1-4
DAL1-5CHI1-4
DAL
1-5
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | |
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | |
| 36 | 37 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 37 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1 | |
| 36 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +7 | |
TS%.62099+ eFG%.58299+ AST/TO2.786 | ||||||||
| 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | |
| 23 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | |
| Team | 92 | 30 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 16 | ||
| DNP: L. Geiselsoder, T. Harris, A. James | ||||||||
CHI
1-4
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3 | |
| 26 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +6 | |
| 32 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -1 | |
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
| 35 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 23 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +16 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +6 | |
| Team | 97 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 13 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld, M. Jefferson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
51
FG %
47
23
Ast
28
Season series
CHI wins series 3-0
May 30DAL92@CHI97today
DAL92@CHI97todayJun 1CHI94@DAL83
CHI94@DAL83Jul 10DAL76@CHI87
DAL76@CHI87Headlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 23pp · 4th Quarter · 2:11
DALA. Ogunbowale
GGame leader · 36 min30+ point game
37 PTS · 5 REB · 7 AST
CHIK. Cardoso
CGame leader · 26 min
23 PTS · 8 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
CHI beat DAL 97-92. K. Cardoso led with 23 PTS, 8 REB, 1 AST. DAL outscored the other side 30-19 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 86% of ptsStarters(5)
79 PTS · 18 REB · 21 AST
GS 66
Bench(4)
13 PTS · 12 REB · 2 AST
GS 9
CHIstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
67 PTS · 25 REB · 23 AST
GS 59
Bench(5)
30 PTS · 9 REB · 5 AST
GS 25
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL4th Quarter · 3:24 · 87-85
+18pp→ 64% WP
Arike Ogunbowale · makes 25-foot three pointer (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
DAL4th Quarter · 2:30 · 87-89
+16pp→ 51% WP
Ariel Atkins · shooting foul
DAL4th Quarter · 2:11 · 92-91
+23pp→ 57% WP
Arike Ogunbowale · makes 26-foot three pointer (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 19 | 24 | 30 | 19 | 92 |
| CHI | 29 | 20 | 19 | 29 | 97 |
Period scoring
DAL won 2 · CHI won 2
19
29
Q1
Carrington 7
Cardoso 12
24
20
Q2
Ogunbowale 10
Atkins 5
30
19
Q3
Ogunbowale 14
Cardoso 4
19
29
Q4
Ogunbowale 8
Allen 8
DAL
CHI
Shooting comparison
DAL
CHI
51%
37-72
FG
47%
37-79
36%
8-22
3PT
42%
10-24
91%
10-11
FT
76%
13-17
Play-by-play · 392 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 92·CHI 97
+0.9pp
- Q4·5.1
Arike Ogunbowale bad pass (Courtney Vandersloot steals)
·
DAL 92·CHI 97
+0.6pp
- Q4·8.1
Courtney Vandersloot lost ball turnover (DiJonai Carrington steals)
·
DAL 92·CHI 97
−0.9pp
- Q4·8.1
DiJonai Carrington vs. Courtney Vandersloot (Arike Ogunbowale gains possession)
· ·
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·12.0
Sky Full timeout
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·12.0
Sky timeout
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·12.0
Sky defensive team rebound
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·14.1
Paige Bueckers misses 29-foot three point jumper
DAL 92·CHI 97
+0.9pp
- Q4·16.1
Wings timeout
DAL 92·CHI 97
- Q4·16.1
Ariel Atkins makes 14-foot pullup jump shot (Rebecca Allen assists)BIG MOMENT
·
DAL 92·CHI 97
+7pp
- Q4·32.1
Sky Full timeout
DAL 92·CHI 95
+1pp
- Q4·40.1
Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound
DAL 92·CHI 95
+2pp
- Q4·42.1
Arike Ogunbowale misses driving floating jump shotBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 95
+7pp
- Q4·46.1
Wings Full timeout
DAL 92·CHI 95
- Q4·46.1
Courtney Vandersloot makes 8-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 95
+14pp
- Q4·1:08
Ariel Atkins defensive rebound
DAL 92·CHI 93
+4pp
- Q4·1:09
Arike Ogunbowale misses driving floating jump shotBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 93
+11pp
- Q4·1:16
Wings Full timeout
DAL 92·CHI 93
- Q4·1:21
Angel Reese makes 4-foot layup (Ariel Atkins assists)BIG MOMENT
·
DAL 92·CHI 93
+9pp
- Q4·1:34
Angel Reese defensive rebound
DAL 92·CHI 91
+4pp
- Q4·1:37
Arike Ogunbowale misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 91
+10pp
- Q4·1:39
Myisha Hines-Allen offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
·
DAL 92·CHI 91
−10pp
- Q4·1:42
Paige Bueckers misses 20-foot pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 91
+10pp
- Q4·1:53
Angel Reese travelingBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 91
−12pp
- Q4·1:56
Angel Reese offensive reboundBIG MOMENT
DAL 92·CHI 91
+9pp
- Q4·1:59
Rebecca Allen misses 17-foot jumper
DAL 92·CHI 91
+3pp
- Q4·2:01
Myisha Hines-Allen kicked ball violationBIG MOMENT
·
DAL 92·CHI 91
−12pp
- Q4·2:04
Arike Ogunbowale personal foul
DAL 92·CHI 91
- Q4·2:11
Arike Ogunbowale makes 26-foot three pointer (Myisha Hines-Allen assists)BIG MOMENT
· ·
DAL 92·CHI 91
−23pp
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
37-72
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
37-79
51
FG %
47
8-22
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-24
10-11
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-17
23
Assists
28
16
Turnovers
13
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Paige BueckersDAL · GTS%.62099+
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI4.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
CHI
46.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
88.9
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
19.3
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
11.0