Jun 3, 25sim 99
1676
5(H)85
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+27IND
IND
4-4
7952
CHI
2-5
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ndiana Fever went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 79–52. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
IND · top performer
Aari McDonald
G · #2
11.9Game score
12
Pts
2
Reb
2
Ast
CHI · top performer
Elizabeth Williams
C · #1
6.1Game score
7
Pts
3
Reb
1
Ast
WNBA · Indiana Fever at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
IND4-4
7952
CHI2-5
IND4-4CHI2-5
IND
4-4
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +19 | |
| 27 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | +20 | |
| 25 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +6 | |
| 25 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +28 | |
| 29 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +27 | |
| 19 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | |
| 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 25 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +19 | |
| Team | 79 | 32 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 14 | ||
| DNP: S. Cunningham, C. Clark | ||||||||
CHI
2-5
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 27 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -20 | |
| 21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | |
| 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -25 | |
| 28 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -21 | |
| 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +3 | |
| 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -19 | |
| 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -11 | |
| 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -26 | |
| Team | 52 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 19 | ||
| DNP: M. Jefferson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
32
20
Ast
11
Season series
IND wins series 5-0
May 17CHI58@IND93
CHI58@IND93Jun 8IND79@CHI52today
IND79@CHI52todayJul 27IND93@CHI78
IND93@CHI78Aug 10CHI70@IND92
CHI70@IND92Sep 5CHI77@IND97
CHI77@IND97Headlines · top performers
Game flowIND ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 6pp · 2nd Quarter · 5:40
INDA. McDonald
GGame leader · 25 min
12 PTS · 2 REB · 2 AST
CHIE. Williams
CGame leader · 19 min
7 PTS · 3 REB · 1 AST
How it ended
IND beat CHI 79-52. A. McDonald led with 12 PTS, 2 REB, 2 AST. IND outscored the other side 27-11 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs IND
Starters vs bench
production by unitINDstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
56 PTS · 22 REB · 13 AST
GS 45
Bench(5)
23 PTS · 10 REB · 7 AST
GS 20
CHIstarters 40% of ptsStarters(5)
21 PTS · 21 REB · 7 AST
GS 5
Bench(6)
31 PTS · 9 REB · 4 AST
GS 13
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactIND2nd Quarter · 5:40 · 26-19
+6pp→ 79% WP
Aliyah Boston · blocks Rebecca Allen 's 3-foot driving layup
IND2nd Quarter · 56.2 · 37-26
+6pp→ 87% WP
Lexie Hull · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Damiris Dantas assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 21 | 20 | 27 | 11 | 79 |
| CHI | 13 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 52 |
Period scoring
IND won 3 · CHI won 1
21
13
Q1
Mitchell 8
Cardoso 4
20
15
Q2
Hull 6
Allen 3
27
11
Q3
Mitchell 8
Lith 5
11
13
Q4
Bonner 3
Westbeld 5
IND
CHI
Shooting comparison
IND
CHI
46%
27-59
FG
32%
18-56
41%
11-27
3PT
20%
3-15
78%
14-18
FT
68%
13-19
Play-by-play · 375 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·4.0
shot clock turnover
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·26.0
Brianna Turner defensive rebound
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·29.1
Maddy Westbeld misses 28-foot three point jumper
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·42.1
Brianna Turner makes driving layup (Sydney Colson assists)
·
IND 79·CHI 52
- Q4·56.2
Elizabeth Williams personal foul
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:10
Hailey Van Lith out of bounds bad pass turnover
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:23
Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:25
Aari McDonald misses 25-foot three point jumper
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:39
Aari McDonald defensive rebound
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:39
Aari McDonald blocks Hailey Van Lith 's 2-foot driving layup
·
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·1:55
Sydney Colson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Brianna Turner assists)
·
IND 77·CHI 52
- Q4·2:15
Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 74·CHI 52
- Q4·2:15
Maddy Westbeld makes free throw 1 of 2
IND 74·CHI 51
- Q4·2:15
Makayla Timpson shooting foul
IND 74·CHI 50
- Q4·2:33
Aari McDonald makes 24-foot running pullup jump shot
IND 74·CHI 50
- Q4·2:40
Hailey Van Lith bad pass (Aari McDonald steals)
·
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·2:53
Elizabeth Williams defensive rebound
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·2:55
Brianna Turner misses 16-foot step back jumpshot
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·2:59
Fever offensive team rebound
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·3:00
Elizabeth Williams blocks Damiris Dantas 's 4-foot layup
·
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·3:14
Makayla Timpson enters the game for DeWanna Bonner
·
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·3:14
Fever Full timeout
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·3:21
Maddy Westbeld makes 25-foot three point shot (Rachel Banham assists)
·
IND 71·CHI 50
- Q4·3:28
Hailey Van Lith defensive rebound
IND 71·CHI 47
- Q4·3:31
Damiris Dantas misses 23-foot three point jumper
IND 71·CHI 47
- Q4·3:43
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 2 of 2
IND 71·CHI 47
- Q4·3:43
Hailey Van Lith makes free throw 1 of 2
IND 71·CHI 46
- Q4·3:43
Damiris Dantas shooting foul
IND 71·CHI 45
Team stats
IND
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
27-59
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
18-56
46
FG %
32
11-27
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
3-15
14-18
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-19
20
Assists
11
14
Turnovers
19
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · IND favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs IND.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Caitlin ClarkIND19.4± 9.7low
- Kelsey MitchellIND19.3± 7.5low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Aliyah BostonIND6.6± 6.4low
- Monique BillingsIND5.1± 3.3low
Assists
- Caitlin ClarkIND7.0± 3.5low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
- Aliyah BostonIND1.1± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
IND
league avg
CHI
45.4%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
32.1%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
92.9
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
22.3
Assists / G
◀
18.0
19.3
14.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.0