May 24, 25sim 95
375
20(H)83
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+13LA
CHI
0-3
7891
LA
2-3
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks held off Chicago Sky, 91–78.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Angel Reese
F · #5
12.9Game score
13
Pts
12
Reb
4
Ast
LA · top performer
Azura Stevens
F · #23
23.4Game score
24
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Los Angeles Sparks · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI0-3
7891
LA2-3
CHI0-3LA2-3
CHI
0-3
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 32 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -14 | |
| 19 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9 | |
| 35 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -22 | |
| 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -19 | |
| 27 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | |
| 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -4 | |
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +10 | |
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4 | |
| Team | 78 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 17 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld | ||||||||
LA
2-3
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 35 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +19 | |
| 32 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +20 | |
| 27 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +17 | |
| 36 | 28 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +19 | |
| 26 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7 | |
| 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
| 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -8 | |
| Team | 91 | 32 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 11 | ||
| DNP: S. Feagin | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
47
17
Ast
24
Season series
CHI wins series 2-1
May 25CHI78@LA91today
CHI78@LA91todayJun 25LA86@CHI97
LA86@CHI97Jun 29CHI92@LA85
CHI92@LA85Headlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ LA
Biggest swing: 9pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:02
CHIA. Reese
FGame leader · 32 min
13 PTS · 12 REB · 4 AST
LAA. Stevens
FGame leader · 32 min
24 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
LA beat CHI 91-78. A. Stevens led with 24 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST. LA outscored the other side 33-25 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LA vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
54 PTS · 27 REB · 14 AST
GS 37
Bench(4)
24 PTS · 7 REB · 3 AST
GS 14
LAstarters 91% of ptsStarters(5)
83 PTS · 20 REB · 23 AST
GS 77
Bench(4)
8 PTS · 12 REB · 1 AST
GS 5
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCHI1st Quarter · 6.1 · 18-21
+9pp→ 35% WP
Courtney Vandersloot · makes free throw 1 of 2
LA2nd Quarter · 4:52 · 33-34
+8pp→ 61% WP
Odyssey Sims · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Dearica Hamby assists)
LA2nd Quarter · 3:02 · 35-37
+9pp→ 64% WP
Odyssey Sims · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kelsey Plum assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 19 | 20 | 25 | 14 | 78 |
| LA | 21 | 22 | 33 | 15 | 91 |
Period scoring
CHI won 0 · LA won 4
19
21
Q1
Reese 6
Hamby 5
20
22
Q2
Allen 8
Sims 9
25
33
Q3
Nurse 6
Plum 17
14
15
Q4
Cardoso 4
Stevens 8
CHI
LA
Shooting comparison
CHI
LA
46%
32-69
FG
47%
31-66
20%
4-20
3PT
48%
13-27
83%
10-12
FT
70%
16-23
Play-by-play · 382 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·3.0
shot clock turnover
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·29.0
Julie Allemand defensive rebound
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·29.0
Courtney Vandersloot misses 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·34.0
Angel Reese offensive rebound
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·37.1
Ariel Atkins misses 26-foot three point jumper
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·39.1
Ariel Atkins offensive rebound
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·44.0
Courtney Vandersloot misses 23-foot three point jumper
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·47.0
Kelsey Plum enters the game for Sarah Ashlee Barker
·
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·47.0
Sky Full timeout
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·47.0
Azura Stevens makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 78·LA 91
- Q4·47.0
Sarah Ashlee Barker enters the game for Kelsey Plum
·
CHI 78·LA 90
- Q4·47.0
Azura Stevens makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 78·LA 90
- Q4·47.0
Kia Nurse personal take foul
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·48.1
Sparks Full timeout
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·48.1
Kia Nurse out of bounds lost ball turnover
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·51.1
Odyssey Sims enters the game for Sarah Ashlee Barker
·
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·51.1
Sky timeout
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·51.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 78·LA 89
- Q4·51.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 78·LA 88
- Q4·51.1
Ariel Atkins personal foul
CHI 78·LA 87
- Q4·59.1
Azura Stevens defensive rebound
CHI 78·LA 87
- Q4·1:03
Angel Reese misses driving layup
CHI 78·LA 87
+0.6pp
- Q4·1:08
Kelsey Plum out of bounds lost ball turnover
CHI 78·LA 87
−0.9pp
- Q4·1:18
Ariel Atkins personal foul
CHI 78·LA 87
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:35
Kia Nurse makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 78·LA 87
- Q4·1:35
Sky offensive team rebound
CHI 77·LA 87
+0.6pp
- Q4·1:35
Kia Nurse misses free throw 1 of 2
CHI 77·LA 87
+1pp
- Q4·1:35
Julie Allemand shooting foul
CHI 77·LA 87
−2pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
LA
Home
32-69
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
31-66
46
FG %
47
4-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
13-27
10-12
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
16-23
17
Assists
24
17
Turnovers
11
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LA vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA6.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
LA
41.1%
FG%
44.7
▶50.7%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
▶34.3%
82.8
PPG
85.4
▶91.6
19.3
Assists / G
18.0
▶21.1
11.0
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
16.4