May 18, 25sim 98
1459
11(H)81
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+5WSH
WSH
2-0
9085
CON
0-1
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ashington Mystics went into Connecticut Sun and beat them, 90–85.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
WSH · top performer
Brittney Sykes
G · #20
22.1Game score
27
Pts
2
Reb
7
Ast
CON · top performer
Tina Charles
C · #31
24.9Game score
23
Pts
10
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Washington Mystics at Connecticut Sun · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
WSH2-0
9085
CON0-1
WSH2-0CON0-1
WSH
2-0
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 31 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +4 | |
| 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 35 | 27 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | |
USG%.28780 ORB%.03740 DRB%.12540 | ||||||||
| 27 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | |
| 24 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +9 | |
| 11 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 | |
| 25 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +18 | |
| Team | 90 | 32 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 14 | ||
| DNP: A. Edwards, G. Amoore | ||||||||
CON
0-1
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 32 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -2 | |
| 25 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7 | |
| 24 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | |
| 35 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +8 | |
| 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 | |
| 17 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
| 19 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -10 | |
| Team | 85 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 12 | ||
| DNP: A. Morrow, R. Marshall, S. Rivers | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
44
17
Ast
17
Season series
Series tied 2-2
May 18WSH90@CON85today
WSH90@CON85todayJun 8CON67@WSH104
CON67@WSH104Aug 19CON80@WSH69
CON80@WSH69Aug 21WSH56@CON67
WSH56@CON67Headlines · top performers
Game flowWSH ↔ CON
Biggest swing: 27pp · 2nd Quarter · 6:08
WSHB. Sykes
GGame leader · 35 min
27 PTS · 2 REB · 7 AST
CONT. Charles
CGame leader · 32 min
23 PTS · 10 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
WSH beat CON 90-85. B. Sykes paced them with 27 PTS, 2 REB, 7 AST. CON outscored the other side 23-13 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CON vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 76% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 19 REB · 12 AST
GS 51
Bench(5)
22 PTS · 13 REB · 5 AST
GS 11
CONstarters 81% of ptsStarters(5)
69 PTS · 25 REB · 13 AST
GS 54
Bench(4)
16 PTS · 8 REB · 4 AST
GS 7
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactWSH2nd Quarter · 6:35 · 25-29
+19pp→ 33% WP
Haley Peters · misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH2nd Quarter · 6:08 · 27-29
+27pp→ 40% WP
Tina Charles · misses 15-foot jumper
WSH4th Quarter · 2:58 · 82-77
+18pp→ 84% WP
Lindsay Allen · blocks Sonia Citron 's 3-foot layup
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 13 | 28 | 19 | 30 | 90 |
| CON | 23 | 23 | 19 | 20 | 85 |
Period scoring
WSH won 2 · CON won 1
13
23
Q1
Sykes 5
Nelson-Ododa 6
28
23
Q2
Sykes 10
Charles 31
19
19
Q3
Melbourne 8
Allen 24
30
20
Q4
Sykes 9
Citron 8
WSH
CON
Shooting comparison
WSH
CON
52%
32-62
FG
44%
29-66
33%
5-15
3PT
21%
3-14
72%
21-29
FT
83%
24-29
Play-by-play · 444 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 90·CON 85
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 90·CON 85
−0.5pp
- Q4·2.1
Sun Full timeout
WSH 90·CON 85
- Q4·2.1
Sonia Citron makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 90·CON 85
- Q4·2.1
Sonia Citron makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 89·CON 85
- Q4·2.1
Lindsay Allen enters the game for Jacy Sheldon
·
WSH 88·CON 85
- Q4·2.1
Jacy Sheldon personal foul
WSH 88·CON 85
−1pp
- Q4·3.0
Mystics Full timeout
WSH 88·CON 85
- Q4·3.0
Kiki Iriafen defensive rebound
WSH 88·CON 85
−1pp
- Q4·4.1
Marina Mabrey misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
WSH 88·CON 85
−17pp
- Q4·25.1
Bria Hartley enters the game for Lindsay Allen
·
WSH 88·CON 85
- Q4·25.1
Sun Full timeout
WSH 88·CON 85
- Q4·25.1
Sonia Citron makes driving layupBIG MOMENT
WSH 88·CON 85
+7pp
- Q4·46.1
Mystics Full timeout
WSH 86·CON 85
- Q4·46.1
Jacy Sheldon makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
WSH 86·CON 85
−10pp
- Q4·46.1
Jacy Sheldon makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 86·CON 84
+3pp
- Q4·46.1
Sug Sutton enters the game for Brittney Sykes
·
WSH 86·CON 83
- Q4·46.1
Brittney Sykes loose ball foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 86·CON 83
+17pp
- Q4·46.1
Sun defensive team rebound
WSH 86·CON 83
+2pp
- Q4·47.1
Brittney Sykes misses 7-foot jumperBIG MOMENT
WSH 86·CON 83
+5pp
- Q4·1:04
Kiki Iriafen defensive rebound
WSH 86·CON 83
−3pp
- Q4·1:07
Marina Mabrey misses 25-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
WSH 86·CON 83
−8pp
- Q4·1:19
Brittney Sykes makes 12-foot two point shotBIG MOMENT
WSH 86·CON 83
−8pp
- Q4·1:36
Olivia Nelson-Ododa makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
WSH 84·CON 83
−9pp
- Q4·1:36
Olivia Nelson-Ododa makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 84·CON 82
+2pp
- Q4·1:36
Stefanie Dolson personal foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 84·CON 81
+13pp
- Q4·1:49
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
WSH 84·CON 81
+6pp
- Q4·1:49
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 83·CON 81
−2pp
- Q4·1:49
Tina Charles personal foulBIG MOMENT
WSH 82·CON 81
−11pp
- Q4·2:03
Lindsay Allen makes driving layupBIG MOMENT
WSH 82·CON 81
+6pp
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
CON
Home
32-62
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
29-66
52
FG %
44
5-15
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
3-14
21-29
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
24-29
17
Assists
17
14
Turnovers
12
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 11 players in cohort- Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28780
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CON vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Shakira AustinWSH17.1± 6.1low
- Sonia CitronWSH15.8± 11.7low
- Kiki IriafenWSH14.5± 7.1low
Rebounds
- Kiki IriafenWSH9.6± 5.6low
- Aneesah MorrowCON9.4± 5.2low
- Shakira AustinWSH8.7± 4.7low
Assists
- Saniya RiversCON3.7± 2.9low
- Georgia AmooreWSH3.6± 2.4low
- Shakira AustinWSH2.9± 2.6low
Blocks
- Shakira AustinWSH1.1± 1.6low
- Kennedy BurkeCON0.9± 0.8low
- Brittney GrinerCON0.6± 1.2low
Steals
- Ashlon JacksonCON1.6± 1.5low
- Rori HarmonWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Angela DugalicWSH1.2± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
WSH
league avg
CON
44.8%
FG%
◀
44.9
40.7%
28.8%
3PT %
◀
33.0
26.0%
82.8
PPG
◀
86.0
74.7
17.5
Assists / G
18.0
▶17.9
15.7
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶14.8