Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+35IND
CHI

CHI

0-1

5893
IND

IND

1-0

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASat, May 17FinalSeriesIND wins series 5-0

Recap · WNBA

ndiana Fever held off Chicago Sky, 93–58. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Ariel Atkins

Ariel Atkins

G · #7

10.5Game score

11

Pts

4

Reb

2

Ast

IND · top performer

IND
Caitlin Clark

Caitlin Clark

G · #22

23.9Game score

20

Pts

10

Reb

10

Ast

WNBA · Chicago Sky at Indiana Fever · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
58
93
CHI0-1IND1-0
CHI

CHI

0-1

58
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
A. ReeseA. Reese★F · #5
2512171005-20
K. CardosoK. Cardoso★C · #10
22772022-13
C. VanderslootC. Vandersloot★G · #22
29445102-25
K. NurseK. Nurse★G · #11
20401000-12
A. AtkinsA. Atkins★G · #7
221142212-20
M. OnyenwereM. OnyenwereF · #12
17012001-17
E. WilliamsE. WilliamsC · #1
19171122-22
R. BanhamR. BanhamG · #24
19801021-19
R. AllenR. AllenG · #9
19721101-17
Team5842175717
DNP: M. Jefferson
IND

IND

1-0

93
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
D. BonnerD. Bonner★F · #25
27732200+15
N. HowardN. Howard★F · #6
291552314+26
A. BostonA. Boston★C · #7
2719130050+23
K. MitchellK. Mitchell★G · #0
301512100+25
C. ClarkC. Clark★G · #22
32201010243+20
D. DantasD. DantasC · #12
11200000+9
S. ColsonS. ColsonG · #51
13211301+17
L. HullL. HullG · #10
23990201+23
Team934619131010
DNP: S. Cunningham

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

29

FG %

47

17

Ast

19

Season series

IND wins series 5-0

May 17CHICHI58@INDIND93today
Jun 8INDIND79@CHICHI52
Jul 27INDIND93@CHICHI78
Aug 10CHICHI70@INDIND92
Sep 5CHICHI77@INDIND97

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHI ↔ IND

Biggest swing: 6pp · 1st Quarter · 5:57

CHICHI
A. Atkins

A. Atkins

G

Game leader · 22 min

11 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST

INDIND
C. Clark

C. Clark

G

Game leader · 32 minTriple-double

20 PTS · 10 REB · 10 AST

How it ended

IND beat CHI 93-58. C. Clark stuffed the line with 20 PTS, 10 REB, and 10 AST. IND outscored the other side 28-13 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

IND vs CHI

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CHICHIstarters 66% of pts

Starters(5)

38 PTS · 32 REB · 11 AST

GS 22

Bench(6)

20 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST

GS 1

INDINDstarters 82% of pts

Starters(5)

76 PTS · 32 REB · 16 AST

GS 70

Bench(5)

17 PTS · 14 REB · 3 AST

GS 15

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CHI1715131358
IND2223202893

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · IND won 4

17
22

Q1

Reese 4

Mitchell 9

15
23

Q2

Allen 5

Boston 8

13
20

Q3

Atkins 5

Boston 9

13
28

Q4

Banham 5

Clark 6

CHI
IND

Shooting comparison

CHI
IND

29%

23-79

FG

47%

35-75

22%

6-27

3PT

33%

7-21

50%

6-12

FT

64%

16-25

Play-by-play · 447 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CHI 58·IND 93

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CHI 58·IND 93

  3. Q4·16.1

    Brianna Turner defensive rebound

    CHI 58·IND 93

  4. Q4·19.1

    Michaela Onyenwere misses 7-foot two point shot

    CHI 58·IND 93

  5. Q4·34.1

    Makayla Timpson makes layup (Brianna Turner assists)

    ·

    CHI 58·IND 93

  6. Q4·41.1

    Hailey Van Lith bad pass (Sydney Colson steals)

    ·

    CHI 58·IND 91

  7. Q4·51.0

    Makayla Timpson makes free throw 2 of 2

    CHI 58·IND 91

  8. Q4·51.0

    Makayla Timpson makes free throw 1 of 2

    CHI 58·IND 90

  9. Q4·51.0

    Michaela Onyenwere shooting foul

    CHI 58·IND 89

  10. Q4·1:11

    Hailey Van Lith makes driving layup (Rachel Banham assists)

    ·

    CHI 58·IND 89

  11. Q4·1:19

    Damiris Dantas makes 12-foot two point shot (Sydney Colson assists)

    ·

    CHI 56·IND 89

  12. Q4·1:36

    Makayla Timpson defensive rebound

    CHI 56·IND 87

  13. Q4·1:40

    Maddy Westbeld misses 7-foot two point shot

    CHI 56·IND 87

  14. Q4·1:59

    Sydney Colson personal foul

    CHI 56·IND 87

  15. Q4·2:02

    Sydney Colson makes two point shot

    CHI 56·IND 87

  16. Q4·2:06

    Michaela Onyenwere bad pass (Sydney Colson steals)

    ·

    CHI 56·IND 85

  17. Q4·2:07

    Lexie Hull personal foul

    CHI 56·IND 85

  18. Q4·2:15

    Brianna Turner enters the game for Caitlin Clark

    ·

    CHI 56·IND 85

  19. Q4·2:15

    Sydney Colson personal foul

    CHI 56·IND 85

  20. Q4·2:21

    Makayla Timpson out of bounds lost ball turnover

    CHI 56·IND 85

  21. Q4·2:22

    Caitlin Clark defensive rebound

    CHI 56·IND 85

  22. Q4·2:26

    Maddy Westbeld misses 25-foot three point jumper

    CHI 56·IND 85

  23. Q4·2:34

    Lexie Hull makes tip shot

    CHI 56·IND 85

  24. Q4·2:34

    Lexie Hull offensive rebound

    CHI 56·IND 83

  25. Q4·2:39

    Caitlin Clark misses 31-foot three point pullup jump shot

    CHI 56·IND 83

  26. Q4·2:53

    Hailey Van Lith makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Maddy Westbeld assists)

    ·

    CHI 56·IND 83

  27. Q4·3:03

    Makayla Timpson enters the game for DeWanna Bonner

    ·

    CHI 54·IND 83

  28. Q4·3:03

    Lexie Hull enters the game for Aliyah Boston

    ·

    CHI 54·IND 83

  29. Q4·3:03

    Aliyah Boston loose ball foul

    CHI 54·IND 83

  30. Q4·3:03

    Sky offensive team rebound

    CHI 54·IND 83

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

IND

Home

23-79

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

35-75

29

FG %

47

6-27

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-21

6-12

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

16-25

17

Assists

19

17

Turnovers

10

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(IND win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

IND vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

110

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    19.4± 9.7low
  • Kelsey MitchellIND
    19.3± 7.5low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    16.0± 11.0low

Rebounds

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    8.5± 5.1low
  • Aliyah BostonIND
    6.6± 6.4low
  • Monique BillingsIND
    5.1± 3.3low

Assists

  • Caitlin ClarkIND
    7.0± 3.5low
  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    5.4± 3.0low
  • Natasha CloudCHI
    4.4± 4.7low

Blocks

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    1.2± 1.4low
  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    1.2± 1.6low
  • Elizabeth WilliamsCHI
    1.0± 1.0low

Steals

  • Aicha CoulibalyCHI
    1.3± 1.2low
  • Jacy SheldonCHI
    1.1± 2.0low
  • Aliyah BostonIND
    1.1± 1.6low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CHI

CHI

league avg

IND

IND

41.1%

FG%

44.7

▶

45.4%

25.9%

3PT %

32.6

▶

32.1%

82.8

PPG

85.4

▶

92.9

19.3

Assists / G

18.0

▶

22.3

11.0

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

14.4

Data via ESPN · wehoop