Jan 20, 26sim 99
112
3(H)1
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+3PIT
PIT
23-14-11
63
SEA
21-18-9
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ittsburgh Penguins went into Seattle Kraken and beat them, 6–3.
PIT -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
PIT · top performer
Sidney Crosby
C · #87
2Points
0
G
2
A
—
SOG
SEA · top performer
Ben Meyers
C · #59
2Points
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
PIT23-14-11
63
SEA21-18-9
PIT23-14-11SEA21-18-9
PIT
23-14-11
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
SEA
21-18-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
6
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Nov 23SEA3@PIT2
SEA3@PIT2Jan 19PIT6@SEA3today
PIT6@SEA3todayVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
PIT -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
PIT-13057%SEA+11048%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PIT beat SEA 6-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| SEA | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Period scoring
PIT won 2 · SEA won 0
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
PIT
SEA
Play-by-play · 304 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:53
Giveaway by Ben Kindel
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:36
Giveaway by Jamie Oleksiak
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:30
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Ben Kindel
·
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:30
Connor Dewar Goal (11) Wrist Shot, assists: Blake Lizotte (7)
·
PIT 6·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:25
Giveaway by Vince Dunn
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·19:07
Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·18:36
Jared McCann hit Rickard Rakell
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·18:32
Chandler Stephenson Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·18:30
Matty Beniers shot blocked by Ryan Shea
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·18:00
Vince Dunn shot blocked by Ryan Shea
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·17:46
Sidney Crosby Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:48
Noel Acciari faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:48
Rickard Rakell Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Sidney Crosby (29)
·
PIT 5·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:45
Takeaway by Sidney Crosby
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:22
Brandon Montour Wrist Shot High and Wide Left
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:19
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·16:19
Icing
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:31
Ryan Shea hit Jared McCann
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:24
Takeaway by Brandon Montour
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:07
Ben Kindel faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:07
High Stick
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·15:03
Matty Beniers hit Connor Clifton
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:57
Frederick Gaudreau Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:48
Ryan Winterton hit Connor Clifton
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:19
Giveaway by Tommy Novak
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:11
Ben Meyers faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:11
Goalie Stopped
PIT 4·SEA 3
- 3rd·14:09
Egor Chinakhov Wrist Shot saved by Joey Daccord
·
PIT 4·SEA 3
Team stats
PIT
Away
Stat
SEA
Home
32
Shots
23
0.0
PCT
33.3
6
PIM
6
30
Faceoffs W
23
10
Blocks
16
18
Giveaways
17
6
Takeaways
3
Betting line
PIT -1.5·O/U 5.5·PIT -130/SEA +110
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
Egor ChinakhovPIT · RWSHOT MPH94.799
Brandon MontourSEA · DSHOT MPH101.698
Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Jared McCannSEA · LWSHOT MPH94.496
Jordan EberleSEA · RWDIST MI236.192
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · SEA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(SEA win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+110
Close price
+110
Open no-vig
45.7%
Close no-vig
45.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss
Player projections
SEA vs PIT.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
141
projections · 126 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Rickard RakellPIT3.0± 2.1high
- Bobby McMannSEA3.0± 1.8high
- Brandon MontourSEA3.0± 1.3high
Goals
- Evgeni MalkinPIT0.5± 1.0high
- Anthony ManthaPIT0.3± 0.4high
- Avery HayesPIT0.3± 0.8medium
Points
- Evgeni MalkinPIT1.1± 1.4high
- Sidney CrosbyPIT1.1± 1.1high
- Rickard RakellPIT0.7± 0.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands