Dec 31, 25sim 99
274
37(H)2
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+4SEA
SEA
19-14-7
51
CGY
18-20-4
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
eattle Kraken went into Calgary Flames and beat them, 5–1.
SEA +1.5 cashed (CGY lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
SEA · top performer
Matty Beniers
C · #10
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
CGY · top performer
Adam Klapka
RW · #43
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
SEA19-14-7
51
CGY18-20-4
SEA19-14-7CGY18-20-4
SEA
19-14-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CGY
18-20-4
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
2
PIM
2
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Dec 19SEA2@CGY4
SEA2@CGY4Jan 6SEA5@CGY1today
SEA5@CGY1todayApr 11CGY1@SEA4
CGY1@SEA4Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CGY -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
SEA+13043%CGY-15561%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
SEA beat CGY 5-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| CGY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Period scoring
SEA won 2 · CGY won 1
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
0
3
SEA
CGY
Play-by-play · 334 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:58
Yegor Sharangovich Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:44
Morgan Frost faceoff won against Ben Meyers
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:44
Off-side
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:29
Nazem Kadri faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:29
High Stick
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·19:00
Matt Coronato Wrist Shot Short
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·18:55
Brayden Pachal hit Jacob Melanson
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·18:51
Giveaway by Mikael Backlund
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·18:48
Takeaway by Mikael Backlund
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·18:43
Brayden Pachal shot blocked by Ben Meyers
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·18:11
Kevin Bahl Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:39
Shane Wright faceoff won against Morgan Frost
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:39
Matty Beniers Goal (7) Wrist Shot, assists: Jared McCann (5)
·
SEA 5·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:36
Jared McCann Wrist Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
SEA 4·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:35
Giveaway by Justin Kirkland
SEA 4·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:25
Matty Beniers faceoff won against Justin Kirkland
·
SEA 4·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:25
Freddy Gaudreau Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Chandler Stephenson (15)
·
SEA 4·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:15
Nazem Kadri faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:15
Goalie Stopped
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·17:13
Blake Coleman Tip-In saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·16:35
Nazem Kadri shot blocked by Adam Klapka
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:50
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Nazem Kadri
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:50
Goalie Stopped
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:48
Blake Coleman Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:46
Blake Coleman shot blocked by Jared McCann
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:43
Mikael Backlund Wrist Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:32
Kevin Bahl hit Shane Wright
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
- 3rd·15:21
Mikael Backlund faceoff won against Shane Wright
·
SEA 3·CGY 1
Team stats
SEA
Away
Stat
CGY
Home
28
Shots
42
0.0
PCT
0.0
2
PIM
2
25
Faceoffs W
30
14
Blocks
12
16
Giveaways
20
2
Takeaways
6
Betting line
CGY -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +130/CGY -155
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 25 skaters with EDGE- Matty BeniersSEA · CDIST MI267.798
Yan KuznetsovCGY · DSHOT MPH100.297
Jared McCannSEA · LWSHOT MPH94.496
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · DDIST MI54.196
Mikael BacklundCGY · CSHOT MPH93.594
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · CGY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CGY vs SEA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
144
projections · 129 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Bobby McMannSEA3.0± 1.8high
- Brandon MontourSEA3.0± 1.3high
- Blake ColemanCGY2.7± 1.6high
Goals
- Blake ColemanCGY0.4± 0.7high
- Morgan FrostCGY0.4± 0.7high
- Joel FarabeeCGY0.3± 0.5high
Points
- Matt CoronatoCGY0.8± 0.8high
- Morgan FrostCGY0.7± 1.0high
- Blake ColemanCGY0.6± 0.7high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands