NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1NJ

SEA

21-15-9

24-21-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Jan 14FinalSeriesNJ leads series 1-0VegasNJ -162

Recap · NHL

ew Jersey Devils held off Seattle Kraken, 3–2 in overtime.

SEA +1.5 cashed (NJ won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

SEA · top performer

Jared McCann

LW · #19

2Points

—

SOG

NJ · top performer

Nico Hischier

C · #13

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

SEA21-15-9

NJ24-21-2

SEA21-15-9NJ24-21-2

SEA

21-15-9

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

24-21-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NJ leads series 1-0

Jan 15

SEA2@

NJ3today

Jan 25

NJ2@

SEA4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NJ -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

SEA+13642%

NJ-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗SpreadBet NJ -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NJ beat SEA 3-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
SEA	1	1	0	0	2
NJ	1	1	0	1	3

Period scoring

SEA won 0 · NJ won 1

SEA

Play-by-play · 281 plays

period

event

player

OT·3:42
Game End
SEA 2·NJ 3
OT·3:42
End of OT
SEA 2·NJ 3
OT·3:42
Nico Hischier Goal (15) Backhand, assists: Jack Hughes (19), Luke Hughes (21)
· ·
SEA 2·NJ 3
OT·3:31
Vince Dunn Wrist Shot saved by Jacob Markstrom
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·3:10
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·3:10
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·3:08
Arseny Gritsyuk Snap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:49
Cody Glass faceoff won against Chandler Stephenson
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:49
Puck Frozen - Goalie
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:47
Jordan Eberle Snap Shot Failed Bank Attempt
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:45
Jordan Eberle Backhand Hit Left Post
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:15
Takeaway by Jack Hughes
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·2:05
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Ryker Evans
· ·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·1:02
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·1:02
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·0:59
Jack Hughes Backhand saved by Philipp Grubauer
· ·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·0:00
Chandler Stephenson faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·19:24
Dougie Hamilton Slap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·19:11
Eeli Tolvanen Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·19:00
Giveaway by Chandler Stephenson
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·18:12
Jordan Eberle Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:56
Cale Fleury hit Ondrej Palat
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:49
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Matty Beniers
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:49
Goalie Stopped
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:46
Dougie Hamilton Slap Shot saved by Philipp Grubauer
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:39
Connor Brown shot blocked by Jaden Schwartz
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:08
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Freddy Gaudreau
·
SEA 2·NJ 2
3rd·17:08
Icing
SEA 2·NJ 2

Team stats

SEA

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

50.0

PCT

50.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·SEA +136/NJ -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE

Matty BeniersSEA · C
DIST MI267.798
Jared McCannSEA · LW
SHOT MPH94.496
Jordan EberleSEA · RW
DIST MI236.192
Ryker EvansSEA · D
SKATE MPH23.092
Adam LarssonSEA · D
SHOT MPH98.491

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NJ favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NJ win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+136

Close price

+136

Open no-vig

40.7%

Close no-vig

40.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

NJ vs SEA.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 129 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high
Bobby McMannSEA
3.0± 1.8high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Dawson MercerNJ
0.4± 0.7high
Arseny GritsyukNJ
0.3± 0.5high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high
Nico HischierNJ
0.9± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands