Dec 30, 25sim 99
11
3(H)2
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+1NJ
NJ
21-17-2
32
CBJ
17-16-6
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ew Jersey Devils went into Columbus Blue Jackets and beat them, 3–2.
NJ +1.5 cashed (CBJ lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NJ · top performer
Connor Brown
RW · #16
1Points
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
CBJ · top performer
Charlie Coyle
C · #3
1Points
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
NHL · New Jersey Devils at Columbus Blue Jackets · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE
Final
NJ21-17-2
32
CBJ17-16-6
NJ21-17-2CBJ17-16-6
NJ
21-17-2
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CBJ
17-16-6
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
11
PIM
7
Season series
NJ leads series 2-1
Oct 13NJ3@CBJ2
NJ3@CBJ2Dec 2CBJ5@NJ3
CBJ5@NJ3Jan 1NJ3@CBJ2today
NJ3@CBJ2todayFeb 4CBJ3@NJ0
CBJ3@NJ0Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CBJ -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
NJ-10250%CBJ-11854%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NJ beat CBJ 3-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJ | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| CBJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
NJ won 1 · CBJ won 2
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0
3
NJ
CBJ
Play-by-play · 329 plays
period
event
player
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·19:51
Kirill Marchenko Slap Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·19:39
Kirill Marchenko Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·19:31
Damon Severson Slap Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·19:24
Mason Marchment Slap Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·19:00
Damon Severson Slap Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·18:41
Adam Fantilli Snap Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·18:31
Arseny Gritsyuk Backhand Wide Right
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·18:11
Dante Fabbro shot blocked by Mason Marchment
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·17:58
Jack Hughes Tip-In saved by Jet Greaves
· ·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·16:14
Nico Hischier Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·16:09
Giveaway by Kirill Marchenko
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:24
Adam Fantilli shot blocked by Brett Pesce
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:13
Luke Glendening faceoff won against Boone Jenner
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:13
Puck in Netting
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:06
Boone Jenner faceoff won against Luke Glendening
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:06
TV Timeout
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·15:06
Brenden Dillon Interference against Mason Marchment
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·14:12
Jesper Bratt Snap Shot saved by Jet Greaves
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:54
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Brendan Gaunce
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:54
Puck Frozen - Skater
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:43
Ivan Provorov shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:30
Ondrej Palat faceoff won against Charlie Coyle
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:30
Puck in Netting
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:28
Ivan Provorov Slap Shot saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:21
Charlie Coyle Backhand saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·13:21
Ivan Provorov Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·11:40
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
- 3rd·11:40
Dmitri Voronkov Fighting against Cody Glass
·
NJ 3·CBJ 2
Team stats
NJ
Away
Stat
CBJ
Home
33
Shots
35
100.0
PCT
0.0
11
PIM
7
28
Faceoffs W
28
10
Blocks
11
14
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
8
Betting line
CBJ -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ -102/CBJ -118
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 12 skaters with EDGE
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · DDIST MI299.999+
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ · RWBURSTS30199
Adam FantilliCBJ · CDIST MI256.696
Denton MateychukCBJ · DBURSTS7792- Charlie CoyleCBJ · CDIST MI228.190
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · CBJ favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CBJ win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-118
Close price
-118
Open no-vig
51.7%
Close no-vig
51.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: miss
Player projections
CBJ vs NJ.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
138
projections · 126 high confidence
Shots on goal
- Jack HughesNJ4.3± 1.7high
- Zach WerenskiCBJ3.4± 2.5high
- Timo MeierNJ3.3± 3.0high
Goals
- Jack HughesNJ0.6± 0.8high
- Dawson MercerNJ0.4± 0.7high
- Adam FantilliCBJ0.3± 0.5high
Points
- Jack HughesNJ1.6± 1.7high
- Jesper BrattNJ1.0± 1.7high
- Nico HischierNJ0.9± 1.1high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands