NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1WPG

22-21-2

WPG

17-22-5

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSun, Jan 11FinalSeriesWPG leads series 1-0VegasWPG -130

Recap · NHL

innipeg Jets held off New Jersey Devils, 4–3.

NJ +1.5 cashed (WPG won by 1). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 1.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NJ · top performer

Cody Glass

C · #12

2Points

—

SOG

WPG · top performer

Cole Perfetti

C · #91

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NJ22-21-2

WPG17-22-5

NJ22-21-2WPG17-22-5

22-21-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

WPG

17-22-5

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

WPG leads series 1-0

Jan 11

NJ3@

WPG4today

Jan 28

WPG4@

NJ3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

WPG -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NJ+11048%

WPG-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗SpreadBet WPG -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

WPG beat NJ 4-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NJ	1	2	0	3
WPG	1	2	1	4

Period scoring

NJ won 0 · WPG won 1

WPG

Play-by-play · 294 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:56
Arseny Gritsyuk Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:55
Timo Meier Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:45
Mark Scheifele hit Nico Hischier
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:39
Nico Hischier Deflected Wide Right
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:35
Luke Hughes shot blocked by Dylan DeMelo
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:26
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:26
Icing
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:22
Kyle Connor Snap Shot Wide Right
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:18
Luke Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:12
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:12
Icing
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·19:10
Alex Iafallo Backhand Wide Right
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·18:42
Giveaway by Nino Niederreiter
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·18:19
Jack Hughes shot blocked by Nino Niederreiter
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·17:43
Giveaway by Vladislav Namestnikov
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·17:40
Dylan Samberg Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·16:47
Jonathan Toews faceoff won against Cody Glass
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·16:47
Goalie Stopped
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·16:44
Mark Scheifele Tip-In saved by Jake Allen
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·16:38
Kyle Connor Backhand Wide Right
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:50
Simon Nemec Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:42
Jack Hughes Wrist Shot Wide Left
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:39
Nico Hischier faceoff won against Mark Scheifele
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:39
Goalie Stopped
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:37
Luke Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:11
Adam Lowry faceoff won against Nico Hischier
·
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:11
Goalie Stopped
NJ 3·WPG 4
3rd·15:08
Jack Hughes Wrist Shot saved by Connor Hellebuyck
· ·
NJ 3·WPG 4

Team stats

Away

Stat

WPG

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

WPG -1.5·O/U 5.5·NJ +110/WPG -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE

Kyle ConnorWPG · LW
DIST MI293.099+
Colin MillerWPG · D
SHOT MPH102.599
Cole KoepkeWPG · LW
SKATE MPH24.299
Josh MorrisseyWPG · D
DIST MI282.397
Logan StanleyBUF · D
SHOT MPH95.991

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · WPG favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(WPG win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

WPG vs NJ.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 114 high confidence

Shots on goal

Jack HughesNJ
4.3± 1.7high
Kyle ConnorWPG
3.7± 1.8high
Timo MeierNJ
3.3± 3.0high

Goals

Jack HughesNJ
0.6± 0.8high
Kyle ConnorWPG
0.6± 0.8high
Dawson MercerNJ
0.4± 0.7high

Points

Jack HughesNJ
1.6± 1.7high
Mark ScheifeleWPG
1.4± 1.2high
Jesper BrattNJ
1.0± 1.7high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands