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FINAL+1NYR
NYR

NYR

17-15-4

21
STL

STL

13-15-8

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLThu, Dec 18FinalSeriesNYR win series 2-0VegasNYR -142

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers went into St. Louis Blues and beat them, 2–1 in overtime.

STL +1.5 cashed (NYR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

NYR
Will Cuylle

Will Cuylle

LW · #50

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

STL · top performer

STL
Jonatan Berggren

Jonatan Berggren

RW · #29

1Points

1

G

0

A

—

SOG

NHL · New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
2
1
NYR17-15-4STL13-15-8
NYR

NYR

17-15-4

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
STL

STL

13-15-8

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

6

Season series

NYR win series 2-0

Nov 25STLSTL2@NYRNYR3
Dec 19NYRNYR2@STLSTL1today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYRNYR-14259%
STLSTL+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗

Line movement · 15 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat STL 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
NYR01012
STL10001

Period scoring

NYR won 2 · STL won 1

0
1

1

1
0

2

0
0

3

1
0

OT

NYR
STL

Play-by-play · 307 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·2:21

    Game End

    NYR 2·STL 1

  2. OT·2:21

    End of OT

    NYR 2·STL 1

  3. OT·2:21

    J.T. Miller Goal (10) Wrist Shot, assists: Vincent Trocheck (11), Vladislav Gavrikov (8)

    · ·

    NYR 2·STL 1

  4. OT·1:58

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Pius Suter

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  5. OT·1:58

    Goalie Stopped

    NYR 1·STL 1

  6. OT·1:56

    Justin Faulk Wrist Shot saved by Igor Shesterkin

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  7. OT·1:52

    Giveaway by Mika Zibanejad

    NYR 1·STL 1

  8. OT·1:40

    Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Robert Thomas

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  9. OT·1:40

    Puck in Benches

    NYR 1·STL 1

  10. OT·1:02

    Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  11. OT·1:02

    Icing

    NYR 1·STL 1

  12. OT·0:00

    Robert Thomas faceoff won against J.T. Miller

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  13. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    NYR 1·STL 1

  14. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    NYR 1·STL 1

  15. 3rd·19:52

    Pius Suter faceoff won against Noah Laba

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  16. 3rd·19:52

    Puck in Crowd

    NYR 1·STL 1

  17. 3rd·19:00

    Conor Sheary Slap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  18. 3rd·18:47

    J.T. Miller Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  19. 3rd·18:43

    J.T. Miller Deflected saved by Jordan Binnington

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  20. 3rd·18:37

    Giveaway by Colton Parayko

    NYR 1·STL 1

  21. 3rd·18:29

    Giveaway by Justin Faulk

    NYR 1·STL 1

  22. 3rd·18:00

    Pius Suter faceoff won against Noah Laba

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  23. 3rd·18:00

    Off-side

    NYR 1·STL 1

  24. 3rd·17:34

    Vladislav Gavrikov Slap Shot saved by Jordan Binnington

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  25. 3rd·16:57

    Giveaway by Vladislav Gavrikov

    NYR 1·STL 1

  26. 3rd·16:50

    Will Borgen hit Jonatan Berggren

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  27. 3rd·16:45

    Giveaway by Conor Sheary

    NYR 1·STL 1

  28. 3rd·16:27

    Takeaway by Brayden Schenn

    NYR 1·STL 1

  29. 3rd·16:21

    Vincent Trocheck hit Otto Stenberg

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

  30. 3rd·15:53

    Carson Soucy Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington

    ·

    NYR 1·STL 1

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

STL

Home

31

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

0.0

8

PIM

6

28

Faceoffs W

31

17

Blocks

7

15

Giveaways

13

5

Takeaways

5

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR -142/STL +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 23 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Colton ParaykoSTL · D
    BURSTS9494
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494
  • Cam FowlerSTL · D
    DIST MI260.294

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · STL favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(STL win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+120

Close price

+120

Open no-vig

43.7%

Close no-vig

43.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Player projections

STL vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

141

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    3.1± 1.3high
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL
    2.6± 2.1high
  • Mika ZibanejadNYR
    2.2± 1.0high

Goals

  • Robert ThomasSTL
    0.7± 1.2high
  • Gabe PerreaultNYR
    0.4± 1.0high
  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    0.4± 0.8high

Points

  • Robert ThomasSTL
    1.4± 1.1high
  • Adam FoxNYR
    1.2± 1.0high
  • Dylan HollowaySTL
    1.2± 1.1high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR