
TOR
15-14-5

NSH
14-16-4
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
ashville Predators held off Toronto Maple Leafs, 5–3.
NSH +1.5 cashed (TOR lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
TOR · top performer

Bobby McMann
C · #74
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NSH · top performer

Steven Stamkos
C · #91
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs at Nashville Predators · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


TOR
15-14-5
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
NSH
14-16-4
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
6
PIM
4
Season series
Series tied 1-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NSH beat TOR 5-3.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| NSH | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Period scoring
TOR won 1 · NSH won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 289 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
TOR 3·NSH 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
TOR 3·NSH 5
- 3rd·19:51
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov
·
TOR 3·NSH 5
- 3rd·19:51
Cole Smith Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Brady Skjei (11), Michael McCarron (5)
· ·
TOR 3·NSH 5
- 3rd·19:43
Michael McCarron faceoff won against John Tavares
·
TOR 3·NSH 4
- 3rd·19:43
Icing
TOR 3·NSH 4
- 3rd·19:06
John Tavares faceoff won against Ryan O'Reilly
·
TOR 3·NSH 4
- 3rd·19:06
Bobby McMann Goal (9) Wrist Shot, assists: Nicholas Robertson (8), Easton Cowan (7)
· ·
TOR 3·NSH 4
- 3rd·18:25
Erik Haula faceoff won against Scott Laughton
·
TOR 2·NSH 4
- 3rd·18:25
Steven Stamkos Goal (13) Wrist Shot, assists: Filip Forsberg (12)
·
TOR 2·NSH 4
- 3rd·18:21
Takeaway by Filip Forsberg
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·18:08
Ryan O'Reilly shot blocked by Oliver Ekman-Larsson
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·17:45
Michael McCarron faceoff won against John Tavares
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·17:45
Goalie Stopped
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·17:38
Morgan Rielly Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·17:34
Calle Jarnkrok Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·17:03
Matthew Knies shot blocked by Erik Haula
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·16:34
Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Joseph Woll
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·16:33
Luke Evangelista Backhand saved by Joseph Woll
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·16:09
Dakota Joshua Tip-In Wide Right
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·15:59
Bobby McMann Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·14:55
William Nylander Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·14:35
Matthew Knies Tip-In High and Wide Left
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·14:29
Giveaway by Nick Blankenburg
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·14:03
Brady Skjei shot blocked by Morgan Rielly
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·14:02
Giveaway by Matthew Knies
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·13:34
Cole Smith hit Troy Stecher
· ·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·12:54
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Michael McCarron
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·12:54
Puck in Netting
TOR 2·NSH 3
- 3rd·12:52
Reid Schaefer Tip-In Above Crossbar
·
TOR 2·NSH 3
Team stats
TOR
Away
Stat
NSH
Home
22
Shots
34
0.0
PCT
50.0
6
PIM
4
28
Faceoffs W
17
23
Blocks
12
20
Giveaways
13
2
Takeaways
4
Betting line
TOR -1.5·O/U 5.5·TOR -110/NSH -110
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
Bobby McMannSEA · CSKATE MPH24.399
Ryan O'ReillyNSH · CDIST MI265.898
Brady SkjeiNSH · DSKATE MPH23.497
Calle JarnkrokTOR · CSHOT MPH94.596
Filip ForsbergNSH · LWDIST MI246.195
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.6%
ensemble · NSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NSH win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NSH win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NSH win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
-110
Close price
-110
Open no-vig
50.0%
Close no-vig
50.0%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit