NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CGY

BOS

20-18-2

CGY

17-18-4

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLMon, Dec 29FinalSeriesCGY leads series 1-0VegasCGY -130

Recap · NHL

algary Flames held off Boston Bruins, 2–1 in overtime.

BOS +1.5 cashed (CGY won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

Sean Kuraly

C · #52

1Points

—

SOG

CGY · top performer

Mikael Backlund

C · #11

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

BOS20-18-2

CGY17-18-4

BOS20-18-2CGY17-18-4

BOS

20-18-2

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

CGY

17-18-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

CGY leads series 1-0

Dec 30

BOS1@

CGY2today

Jan 9

CGY1@

BOS4

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CGY -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOS+11048%

CGY-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CGY -1.5↗SpreadBet CGY -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CGY beat BOS 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
BOS	1	0	0	0	1
CGY	0	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

BOS won 1 · CGY won 2

BOS

CGY

Play-by-play · 287 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:53
Game End
BOS 1·CGY 2
OT·1:53
End of OT
BOS 1·CGY 2
OT·1:53
Connor Zary Goal (5) , assists: none
BOS 1·CGY 2
OT·1:51
Yegor Sharangovich Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·1:27
Nazem Kadri Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:58
Nikita Zadorov Snap Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:57
Pavel Zacha Wrist Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:53
Takeaway by Nikita Zadorov
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:42
Takeaway by Charlie McAvoy
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:09
Nikita Zadorov Slap Shot Wide Left
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:00
Nazem Kadri faceoff won against Pavel Zacha
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·20:00
Jonathan Aspirot High-sticking against Blake Coleman
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·18:49
Nikita Zadorov hit Morgan Frost
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·18:41
Morgan Geekie shot blocked by Yan Kuznetsov
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·18:35
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·17:45
Matt Coronato faceoff won against Fraser Minten
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·17:45
Puck in Benches
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·16:54
Giveaway by Casey Mittelstadt
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·16:27
Giveaway by Morgan Geekie
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·16:16
Andrew Peeke hit Connor Zary
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·16:03
Elias Lindholm Wrist Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
· ·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·15:51
Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Morgan Frost
· ·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·15:51
Off-side
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·15:48
Takeaway by Fraser Minten
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·15:40
Hampus Lindholm Wrist Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
· ·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·14:57
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·14:49
Nikita Zadorov Snap Shot saved by Dustin Wolf
·
BOS 1·CGY 1
3rd·14:39
Nikita Zadorov shot blocked by MacKenzie Weegar
·
BOS 1·CGY 1

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

CGY

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

20.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CGY -1.5·O/U 5.5·BOS +110/CGY -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE

Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
SHOT MPH100.297
Rasmus AnderssonVGK · D
DIST MI54.196
Mikael BacklundCGY · C
SHOT MPH93.594
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
SKATE MPH23.092
Morgan GeekieBOS · C
SHOT MPH88.989

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · CGY favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CGY win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-130

Close price

-130

Open no-vig

54.3%

Close no-vig

54.3%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

CGY vs BOS.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

144

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

David PastrnakBOS
3.2± 2.2high
Matthew PoitrasBOS
2.7± 2.8low
Blake ColemanCGY
2.7± 1.6high

Goals

Morgan GeekieBOS
0.6± 0.9high
Blake ColemanCGY
0.4± 0.7high
Morgan FrostCGY
0.4± 0.7high

Points

David PastrnakBOS
1.1± 1.1high
Morgan GeekieBOS
0.9± 1.2high
Matt CoronatoCGY
0.8± 0.8high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands