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FINAL+1UTA
UTA

UTA

16-15-3

54
PIT

PIT

14-8-9

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSun, Dec 14FinalSeriesUTA leads series 1-0VegasUTAH -130

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth went into Pittsburgh Penguins and beat them, 5–4 in overtime.

PIT +1.5 cashed (UTA won by 1). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

UTA · top performer

UTA
Michael Carcone

Michael Carcone

LW · #53

2Points

2

G

0

A

—

SOG

PIT · top performer

PIT
Ben Kindel

Ben Kindel

C · #81

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Utah Mammoth at Pittsburgh Penguins · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT
5
4
UTA16-15-3PIT14-8-9
UTA

UTA

16-15-3

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
PIT

PIT

14-8-9

4
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

10

Season series

UTA leads series 1-0

Dec 14UTAUTA5@PITPIT4today
Mar 15PITPIT4@UTAUTA3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAUTA-13057%
PITPIT+11048%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat PIT 5-4.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123OTT
UTA00415
PIT21104

Period scoring

UTA won 2 · PIT won 2

0
2

1

0
1

2

4
1

3

1
0

OT

UTA
PIT

Play-by-play · 308 plays

period
event
player
  1. OT·0:42

    Game End

    UTA 5·PIT 4

  2. OT·0:42

    End of OT

    UTA 5·PIT 4

  3. OT·0:42

    Dylan Guenther Goal (15) Wrist Shot, assists: John Marino (15)

    ·

    UTA 5·PIT 4

  4. OT·0:32

    Giveaway by Ben Kindel

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  5. OT·0:00

    Ben Kindel faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  6. OT·0:00

    Start of Overtime

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  7. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  8. 3rd·19:56

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Sidney Crosby

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  9. 3rd·19:56

    Icing

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  10. 3rd·19:34

    Ben Kindel faceoff won against Barrett Hayton

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  11. 3rd·19:34

    Puck in Benches

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  12. 3rd·19:09

    Giveaway by Parker Wotherspoon

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  13. 3rd·19:08

    Giveaway by Ian Cole

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  14. 3rd·19:02

    Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Nick Schmaltz

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  15. 3rd·19:02

    Icing

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  16. 3rd·18:24

    Giveaway by Ian Cole

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  17. 3rd·18:11

    Justin Brazeau hit Michael Carcone

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  18. 3rd·17:19

    John Marino Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  19. 3rd·17:16

    Dylan Guenther Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Murashov

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  20. 3rd·17:13

    Barrett Hayton faceoff won against Sidney Crosby

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  21. 3rd·17:13

    Icing

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  22. 3rd·17:04

    Clayton Keller Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Murashov

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  23. 3rd·16:53

    Connor Clifton hit JJ Peterka

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  24. 3rd·16:45

    JJ Peterka Wrist Shot saved by Sergei Murashov

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  25. 3rd·16:12

    Ben Kindel Wrist Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  26. 3rd·15:44

    Rutger McGroarty hit Jack McBain

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  27. 3rd·15:15

    Kris Letang hit Dylan Guenther

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  28. 3rd·15:15

    Giveaway by Dylan Guenther

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  29. 3rd·15:13

    Rickard Rakell hit Nate Schmidt

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

  30. 3rd·14:52

    Lawson Crouse hit Rickard Rakell

    ·

    UTA 4·PIT 4

Team stats

UTA

Away

Stat

PIT

Home

36

Shots

16

20.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

10

32

Faceoffs W

32

7

Blocks

17

20

Giveaways

15

5

Takeaways

4

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·UTA -130/PIT +110

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 skaters with EDGE
  • Erik KarlssonPIT · D
    SKATE MPH22.897
  • Sidney CrosbyPIT · C
    SHOT MPH88.787
  • Ben KindelPIT · C
    SHOT MPH87.584
  • Kris LetangPIT · D
    SHOT MPH91.775
  • Olli MaattaCGY · D
    SKATE MPH22.272

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · PIT favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(PIT win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+110

Close price

+110

Open no-vig

45.7%

Close no-vig

45.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR