NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+2NYI

NYR

19-17-4

NYI

21-13-4

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLSat, Dec 27FinalSeriesNYI lead series 2-0VegasNYR -115

Recap · NHL

ew York Islanders held off New York Rangers, 2–0.

NYI +1.5 cashed (NYR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NYR · top performer

Jonny Brodzinski

C · #22

0Points

—

SOG

NYI · top performer

Simon Holmstrom

RW · #10

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

NYR19-17-4

NYI21-13-4

NYR19-17-4NYI21-13-4

NYR

19-17-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

NYI

21-13-4

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Skating
Player	+/-	G	A	PIM

	Goalie	Skating	Goalie
Player	GA	SA	SV	SV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

NYI lead series 2-0

Nov 9

NYI5@

NYR0

Dec 27

NYR0@

NYI2today

Jan 29

NYR2@

NYI5

Jan 30

NYI2@

NYR1

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

NYR-11553%

NYI-10551%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYI beat NYR 2-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
NYR	0	0	0	0
NYI	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

NYR won 0 · NYI won 2

NYR

NYI

Play-by-play · 318 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
NYR 0·NYI 2
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
NYR 0·NYI 2
3rd·19:43
Noah Laba faceoff won against Casey Cizikas
·
NYR 0·NYI 2
3rd·19:43
Simon Holmstrom Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: none
NYR 0·NYI 2
3rd·19:41
Giveaway by Scott Morrow
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:37
Bo Horvat faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:37
High Stick
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:22
Will Cuylle Snap Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:21
Alexis Lafrenière shot blocked by Scott Mayfield
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:19
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Alexis Lafrenière
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:17
Mika Zibanejad Wrist Shot Wide Left
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·19:14
Artemi Panarin shot blocked by Anders Lee
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:48
Artemi Panarin Wrist Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:44
Jean-Gabriel Pageau shot blocked by Mika Zibanejad
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:42
Mika Zibanejad shot blocked by Ryan Pulock
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:30
Simon Holmstrom shot blocked by Artemi Panarin
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:26
Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Jean-Gabriel Pageau
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:26
Goalie Stopped
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:24
Artemi Panarin Slap Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·18:02
Jean-Gabriel Pageau Snap Shot Wide Left
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:42
Jean-Gabriel Pageau faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:42
Timeout - Visitor
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:42
Off-side
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:33
Vincent Trocheck Snap Shot saved by David Rittich
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·17:06
Takeaway by Ryan Pulock
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:59
Mika Zibanejad faceoff won against Casey Cizikas
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:59
Bo Horvat Tripping against Noah Laba
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:55
Bo Horvat Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:54
Bo Horvat Backhand saved by Igor Shesterkin
·
NYR 0·NYI 1
3rd·16:19
Will Cuylle hit Casey Cizikas
·
NYR 0·NYI 1

Team stats

NYR

Away

Stat

NYI

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 5.5·NYR -115/NYI -105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 24 skaters with EDGE

Matthew SchaeferNYI · D
BURSTS26999+
Ryan PulockNYI · D
SHOT MPH103.099+
Mathew BarzalNYI · C
DIST MI274.399
Emil HeinemanNYI · LW
SHOT MPH97.399
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
DIST MI263.494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · NYI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NYI win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-105

Close price

-105

Open no-vig

48.9%

Close no-vig

48.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Player projections

NYI vs NYR.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

138

projections · 120 high confidence

Shots on goal

Bo HorvatNYI
2.9± 0.9high
Kyle PalmieriNYI
2.7± 1.6high
Anders LeeNYI
2.3± 1.0high

Goals

Gabe PerreaultNYR
0.4± 1.0high
Anders LeeNYI
0.3± 0.5high
Bo HorvatNYI
0.3± 0.4high

Points

Adam FoxNYR
1.2± 1.0high
J.T. MillerNYR
1.0± 1.0high
Mika ZibanejadNYR
0.9± 1.0high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands